Big letdown spot for Buffalo?

@invest4profits

 
Exactly why I think there’s no value to this game except for including Bills ML as part of a 3-4 team parlay. I think including it in a teaser would work out as well. I see Bills covering in the 7-10 range. Public optics are terrible on the Chargers after a 63-21 loss, and very favorable on the Bills after a blowout win vs Cowboys

I dont think the situational angles apply in this particular game. Let down spots normally apply to teams that arent fighting in must win situations every week. New coach angle is always good, but here we have a new coach w no chance at playoffs and its not a rivalry either, and the players already look like theyve given up so are these guys even going to play for pride? They might but i wouldnt feel good about counting on it. 

Raiders did it smart firing the coach while they still had a chance to make playoffs. Those guys are playing inspired football. Im just not sure the chargers even care. Maybe bills dont cover but they should win easily. Maybe they get up 24-6 and let off the gas and backdoored late. 

This is a stone cold stay away for me. Im a bills homer and theres no chance im laying double digits on the road with them to anybody, but also no chance im counting on chargers to cover vs anyone

This one has 26-20 vibes either way. Home teams and overs are the Saturday plays throughout the history of Saturday games. Not sure the trends but they’re home and over way more than not. 

A lock? Like these games were?

2023 Bills -8 at NE Lose SU
2022 Bills -10.5 at NYJ Lose SU
2021 Bills -14.5 at JAC Lose SU

If stringing together 3 or 4 favorites on the ML was an effective strategy, the books would be hurting because everyone makes those bets. How long you been doing this?

Dont disagree with your thought and if they were playing a better team with a better QB I think Buffalo would be on upset alert.  Given the time of year and where Buffalo sits in the standings a lot is at stake and they know it.

Does that mean Buffalo covers? No, but I’d be shocked if they lost - The Chargers are a hot mess with a back up QB 

this

So you're saying LAC ATS is the play. OK, money down...as a burnt offering in thanks of Staley being invited to coach jr. high.

If Stick and his lack of tape other than FCS championship games is going to surprise anyone, it's going to be this week. He couldn't be in a better position to surprise people.

Not saying bills gonna lose.  But the odds are against them covering.

The Colts in 2021 just needed to beat the lowly Jaguars Week 18, and they would clinch a playoff spot. They lost by double digits. Probably not the best example but you get my drift. Not expecting the Bills to lose here, but I’m leaning towards this game being much closer. Keep in mind it’s a Primetime Saturday night game, so the scriptwriters may want to fabricate some unexpected drama. 

Exactly!

The Bills could accidentally beat the Chargers by 13+ points.  "Stick" has his work cut out for him.  For me, it's Buffalo minus the points, or no bet.

@Jimmy_Cats

Yea, Im not buying into the who let down thing.This late in the season and a basically must game for the Bills

All this arguing over nothing. Only one spot with any value and that’s  Over  44

Before thinking about a let down spot, think about this- could Buffalo come out kind of flat, play a game half as good as last week, and still beat this Chargers team by 13? I think so. If Buffalo plays their best game of the season they win by  4 touchdowns. If they play half of that…

I guess its somewhat expected---but even playing at half-speed dont know if S.D. has much they can do to put up a fight.

@KyleBowler

 BOL 

@CanadaCup

 Thank you. Sharper minds prevail. 

Yes