BILL @ BENGALS: They'll all tell you otherwise, but this is all about one man and one man only

2016 Record: 30-12 (71%) (Colorado State -4.5 as a 30th win is pending; up 49-17 right now) 

The pick:

Bills +125 over Bengals

Too pist off to do a detailed write-up right now after all the SDSU hoopla.

This is yet another "Rex Ryan's career is on the line" game.

And Rex is not Charlie Strong. Strong only has so much behind him to support as seen vs. Kansas. Apparently, in a loss like that, they gave up on him. These Bills players will not give up on Rex.

The Bills scheduling has gone through it's roughest patch.

They lost to the following:
A clearly rejuvenated Miami team in Miami

 The Pats in a revenge spot (Bill is NOT losing to the Bills 2x in 1 year)

@ Seattle - A leader for the NFC crow.

Not chopped liver there. All explainable.

Now they get a struggling Bengals team that, wait for this, got outrushed by the Giants by almost 50 yards last game. Are you fu**ing kidding me? They have Jenning and Paul fu**ing Perkins as RB's. Bengals passing game isn't scaring anyone either. Even MANNING ran for + 6 yards (his over under per game is usually 2 yards). Now the second best rushing attack in coming in after them. And Taylor looked superb last game.

For all the squawking about the Bills D and what Ryan has done to them (for the worse last year), they lead the league in sacks at 30. They'll get to Dalton who the Bengals cannot protect and are 28th in the league allowing 28 sacks.

The points are meaningless. If Ryan doesn't win, it's over. He'll throw the kitchen sink at them. The weather looks fine at 44 degrees and no precipitation for this one.

You want to take +3 -125 as insurance go right ahead. I'm taking the ML in an absolute must-win off a bye week where Rex had two weeks to gameplan for this.

I love the Bills coming in on 3 game losing streak with a tough loss to Seattle to motivate them even more. Ideally, I'd want the Bengals coming in off a win but at 3-5-1 how can they seriously think playoffs? Bills at 4-5 and able to get to 5-5 can given the back end of their schedule (jags/browns/jets) is so favorable.

Trust in Rex. He'll bring us home. He's made us a hell of a lot of money over the years in situations just like this one. End of story.

love it thanks scal I was hoping to see u post nfl

Quote Originally Posted by FadeOnly:

Not what I wanted to see.  I'm awake at 4:34AM EST.  Nothing good happens at this hour.  Good luck, friend. 

Nobody liked the Bills +ML vs. the Pats and that was an easy cover.

Always a pleasure Risk

It's not YOUR record of 2-6 off a bye that has made us money (a meaningless stat that encompasses almost his entire career with the Jets). He has made us a hell of a lot of money in games I'VE posted in situations I've assessed he's had a must-win. Why post and have an angle otherwise.

Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

Suuma, I read your write-up and respectfully disagree.

Ideally, I want Cincy off a win and I was cheering hard for them to beat the Giants but the rest of the game was so ugly it's not even worth mentioning. Then all you need to do to get the ball back down 1 is stop Rashad Jennings....and they couldn't do it: McCoy will give them far bigger problems.

Sausage Titz (can't believe I have to address someone in this way...):

It's a bit much for you to say this is NOT ALL about Rex. That is a bit of hyperbole on my part since Rex is not actually ON the field. The players will actually win or lose the game on the field. That is understood by all.

And as far as tilting, my tilting plays would have been the games I posted that came AFTER the SDSU game and here were the results:

Colorado State (-4.5) 49

New Mexico 31

and

Penn State (-28) 39

Rutgers 0

While the second play wasn't official, there were many here who likely made it for themselves which I why I post. And winning 7 posts out of 8 is tilting?

You do know people WILL lose at capping. Like baseball players, even if you hit .400 you'll get an out 60% of the time. A loss is completely unremarkable.

Well I got the same exact reaction when I took the Bills ML over the Pats and won that so it's good to see here as well.