Commando’s vs Lions write up.

Up 3 dimes today. Bull Dogs + 6.5 & Texans + 10. Got lucky with the Texans cover but, I should’ve needed it. Washington have a very bright future with their team. JD is a stud. He’s poised and he’s a gamer. You can tell , he has the it factor. This game will be to much for Washington though. My numbers have Detroit by - 10. 49. My other model has Detroit by - 9.5. ( Back up ) model. My graph has Washington overall ranking as a top 12 team in the league. Detroit is a top 3 team playing @ home off of a bye. Their other stud RB will play in this game . Washington’s net EPA is 0.13 , where as Detroits is @ 0.22. That’s not too far off but, that’s pretty on a neutral playing field. Detroit @ home has a 7 - 2 SU record and a 5 - 4 ATS @ home. Washington is pretty decent as well with a 4-4-1 ATS road record. The glaring difference in this game is the SOS vs offensive and defensive teams. Washington’s SOS offensively is + 1.2% ranked 29th , where as Detroits ranks - 2.0% ranked # 4. Huge disparity. Defense SOS . Washington ranks 29th and the Lions SOS defensively 11th. This is where we get the cover. Should be another good game with us getting what we need. 

Lions - 8 ( buy ) 1,250/1000

GL

Nice writeup Rolex. Think it will be a shootout and a Lions double digit win. 10-14 pt. victory gl 

Thanks guys … Love that analysis Digital… 

lets go !!! 

I had Det 1Q -.5/-145.00 Bol to us

I pegged this at Lions in the 40"s and Commanders in the 20's.

Gonna try large next week taking Eagles to clobber JDaniels. And JD is fast becoming my favorite nfl player. Eagles D end of the line for him. Bc the Eagles D is o so fierce and vicious. Watch em nail down Stafford today. 

Lets get it.

Your Model couldn't make up for the turnovers....Lions offense could've had their way with the Washington D if not been for the miscues. Daniels is waaaay to good