Conference Championship Sunday: A day of Atonement & Reckoning

ATONEMENT:

SF has scored more than 30 points 5 times this year. @ Jets, NO and NE & home vs Chic and Buff. After 3 of those games, they came out and laid an egg. After Buff/NO/NE, the 49ers scored 29 combined points in 3 games. Atl has given up more than 21 points only 5 times this year (only once at home),and havent given up over 30 points all season, and havent really lost at home (last game vs TB was meaningless to Atl).

So, do I believe SF and a rookie qb are gonna walk into Hotlanta and run wild over the Falcons or do I think Matty Ice and his crew come to play? Seems most people think SF is an awesome squad that cant be beat based on what they did last saturday. I was at the game they lost @ the Rams. I see things more clearly. Gore doesnt have breakaway speed, their receivers are mediocre at best and SF already played their trump card letting Kaep loose. We've all seen it before. What looks amazing one week gets stuffed the next. Atl secondary is better than GBs and I expect them to move safeties up and make a rookie read defenses in probably the loudest environment of his career.

Falcons +4.5 & U49.5

RECKONING:

Baltimore had last years game in the palm of Lee Evans hands. Fail. Flacco has a few more weapons around him and Brady has less. Welker/Lloyd/Edelman dont strike fear and Gronk is out. Of course Brady will dink and dunk, but with Lewis covering the middle I wouldnt be surprised to see some alligator arms and Brady will be weary of Ed Reed ball hawking.

If not for 2 special teams tds by NE, they might be watching this game. Of course Baltimore had a lapse of their own, so i dont expect the return games of either team to be a factor this week. Ray Rice is the best back on the field and the Pats should get a steady dose of him. Torrey Smith has been great all year and Boldin is a great target. If Pitta and Dickson can get in the mix it would benefit the Ravens greatly. Its not like the Pats have a stellar defense. I mean, look at New England schedule this year.....atrocious. Miami x2, Tenn, Jets x2, Jacksonville, Buff x2, Zona and Stl.....Very unimpressive. They only have 2 wins vs playoff teams (SF/Sea).....Yes, Balt only has 2 as well.....but much tougher schedule (weekness being Clev x2, KC, Oak).....

Ray Lewis brings an emotion no other player does.This could be his last game. I know I wouldnt want to go over the middle.

Ravens +10.5 -130 & U53

Atl/Balt ML parlay +1027

Atl ML/Balt ML & both unders parlay +4009

I'm sure the NFL really wants a NE/SF SB....much more exciting from the normal fans p.o.v. Wont be surprised if there are some shady calls that go against me. Such is life.

Kap has already played in Seattle, so that puts a flaw in your decision making.