This might be the "squarest" post i have seen on covers in my year around this site
Most futures bets are sucker bets this one actually has value though. Who in the NFC wants to play Dallas in the playoffs? They just embarassed the no.1 seed Giants two weeks ago. What did Dallas have 8 sacks in that game? They were dominating the Steelers on the road until they threw the game away. Are they playing consistent great ball No, but who is in the NFC.
Is it a longshot yes, should it be 18-1 No. Any team can win it this year. I'll take my 18-1 and see how it plays out.
I'm gonna give it a test. I put a $100 on the money line at 18-1.
Starting this week and up until Dallas loses or wins the SB I'm gonna keep putting a hundred dollars plus any profit on Dallas ML and see where I end up.
LOL, so true. Not to mention that would be a 5 team ML parlay. God, this bet looks worse every moment.
Why the hell would you do a prop bet if there is more value taking it game by game? That's just stupid.
Ex. why take 18-1 on a prop, when you would get 20-1 game by game? It's stupid.
Why the hell would you do a prop bet if there is more value taking it game by game? That's just stupid.
Ex. why take 18-1 on a prop, when you would get 20-1 game by game? It's stupid.
Because most sports bettors dont wanna do a little extra work for some extra payout. They just wanna sit back, bet the first line they see, and hopefully they get to tell everyone what a great call the made after the Super Bowl.
Here is a mock 5 team parlay including the boys with projected money-lines and opponenets:
This week - Eagles , theyre around +105
Next week - AT AZ, MIN, or ??? Money-line = -110
Divisional Round - AT NYG or CAR, probably +200, actually probably more
Conference Championship - AT NYG or CAR, same as above +200 but prolly more
Super Bowl - VS -who knows, lets just say -110
Using my money-lines (which I think are actually conservative estimates) of +105, -110, +200, +200, and -110 that parlay pays 66/1. Juat a little better than just sittin back with your 18/1 prop that you think has so much value. 66/1, now thats value!!!!! LOL, actually not cuz theres about a 100 to 1 shot of thisdisfuctional team keeping it together for 2 games, let alone 5
Just some math for you though. f you wanna bet the Cowboys, do it this way. Bet each game seperately on the ML and roll it over each week till the bowl, GL
Great analysis. It's amazing that only 8-12 people on this website actually know what they're doing.
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