Crazy line movement- again...

Last week, I made my only mistake of these playoffs when I came off the obvious Buccaneer winner for the flightless Eagles, when the line inexplicably moved to the birds on game day.

I could not for the life of me, figure out why and who was betting the birds and I figured, someone had to be " in the know".

Today, it has happened again. To me, the Buccaneers are not only better but so Square Joe  obvious better  with the Brady versus Stafford angle, yet the line has dropped to 2.5, meaning that Vegas actually thinks the Rams are slightly better than TB on a neutral field.

I just don't see it.

Someone explain it to me like I am a 5 year old, who the hell is  taking the Rams?

You have the GOAT, you have the defending SB champs, you have home field and you only have to lay 2.5 against Matthew ( I finally won a playoff game ) Stafford?

10 day old Herring- stinky shit there.

Gl sir, you're thinking correctly 

@Crashdavis565

 I agree it’s caviar supreme.

Crash... Let me explain since you asked....

There has been very little line movement.

It has been a cheap 3 or and expensive 2.5 all week.  The PRICE and the SPREAD cannot be separated, and 2.5 -120 is the same as -3 ev.  THe fact that it has bounced between those two doesnt represent a line move.

Lines move in the direction the money goes, not about what "Vegas thinks" I'll never understand you guys with your ideas that there is some Monolithic "Vegas" creature who has a crystal ball and decides who is going to win--and as for the stupid "You are thinking correctluy" yeah, hes not thinking at all

@warrenator

 But the line HASNT MOVED.

Bol 

Bucs it is

Seems to me its like the public thinks Brady cant keep winning at his age and he has to lose sometime defiantly not a good way to cap or bet reminds me off chasing on roullette 6 reds in a row and its got to hit black wright (wrong) probably hits green LOL anyway im not  buying that Stafford is ready to beat the Goat for that matter nobody is TB wins the SB again

@Crashdavis565

 Most people feel Brady will be under constant pressure, in which case he would struggle. Of course you can say that about most any QB, Matt Stafford, who's about as mobile as the immobile Brady, too. They think the Bucs defensive play has dropped off. They see no Chris Godwin or Antonio Brown and have been reading about how "beat up" their O-line is all week. These are the reasons Tampa will lose in their opinion.

Always two sides to every story. Good luck in your plays!

But the line hasnt moved.

@vanzack

 Technically it has. Early in the week I could get Tampa -3 -110. Right now, -2.5, but at -120, the vig being the trade-off. The books bent a little, but that's it.

How is this crazy line movement? The line barely budged.

THERE IS NO LINE MOVE!!

WTF??

The line hasn't moved,  Van is correct .

Would you characterize a 10 cent line move over the course of  week as "crazy line movement"???

I must be losing my mind.

@vanzack

 Normally if I want to buy off -3, -110 down to -2.5 it's gonna cost anywhere from -125 to -135.

@vanzack

 Oh I agree, crazy line movement is what we saw on the Bucs/ Eagles game last week, still haven't figured that out, all the way to the bank

@vanzack

 Thanks buddy-

I am not sure what I am going to do today but I will tell you, you have made me a fucking mint the last month, I appreciate you. Mostly we have agreed, today, ( like the damn Eagles) I am just not so sure...

Big Fucking Gross Hairy Elephant Balls to fade, Rodgers, Mahomes and Brady in two days- Props to you my friend !!

OK.  Right now at Bookmaker:

Bucs -3 -101
Bucs -2.5 -121

The Bucs -3 -101 is currently their primary line - the one that sits out front without expanding.  If they switch their primary line to -2.5 -121, you are saying that is a line move?

I really must be losing my mind.  Help me understand.

Based on recent History Rams have owned the Bucks, with or without brady, You give rams no respect, there defense 

is one of the best, second brady is missing 2 of his top 4 Receiver's i have given this game a lot of thought and looked  

at all the Data, and have decided to Take the 3 Points -114 sucks. win or lose fellas   Enjoy your Day!

@mrusso

 Thank you and spot on

@Crashdavis565

 Well when you think LA you see flashy. On paper you have celebs OBJ, Kupp, Donald, and Miller big names! Who I have mistakenly bet before when seeing superstars over proven game players. Yeah Tampa has stars of course we know who. So you definitely have the right side or thought in my opinion T-brady and company find a way to get the win. 

Much love in return also.

My words sometimes come off as harsh.  Nothing personal.  All content related.  Love this stuff!!!

@Crashdavis565

Good luck to your plays, if any, today!