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Crazy line movement- again...

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Posted: #26

@mrusso

 Honestly and embarrassingly on BetMGM, I never even looked at the vig.

 
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Posted: #27

Quote Originally Posted by mrusso:

@vanzack  Oh I agree, crazy line movement is what we saw on the Bucs/ Eagles game last week, still haven't figured that out, all the way to the bank

Im glad you did.

But if you - or anyone - could provide me a cheat sheet on how to read the moving line tea leaves - I would certainly appreciate it.

And I am being serious - not sarcastic.  I would love to learn and be proven wrong.

an_cheers

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Posted: #28

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Quote Originally Posted by mrusso: @vanzack  Normally if I want to buy off -3, -110 down to -2.5 it's gonna cost anywhere from -125 to -135. OK.  Right now at Bookmaker: Bucs -3 -101Bucs -2.5 -121 The Bucs -3 -101 is currently their primary line - the one that sits out front without expanding.  If they switch their primary line to -2.5 -121, you are saying that is a line move? I really must be losing my mind.  Help me understand.

Can someone answer this?

Please and thank you.

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Posted: #29

an_popcornpeaceclover

Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
 
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Posted: #30

@vanzack

 We're nit picking here Van, r-e-l-a-x. Oh can't use that anymore can I Mr. Rodgers?an_wink

"I'm afraid all we may have done is awakened a sleeping giant."
 
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Posted: #31

Quote Originally Posted by Unclebenelli:

Be easy and coach them up on your perspective or experience.   For new bettors that have been terrorized by all the info of the Key number -3    and it goes against tom brady, just like last week,You get alot of people trying to understand whats and whys.   Remember we have million folks betting football for real for first time.   They are all over internet trying to learn.  Not everyone is just looking to tail.Many of the young kids want to learn.  To Much ego to tail anyone.  LOLAnyways,  2 cents

OK, this is helpful.

So you are saying the "primary number" is important to novice bettors because it looks like a line move when it really isnt.  Seems reasonable to me that if true, that books would use this to draw action on one or the other.

Still not a line move - but I understand your point.

Thanks for that.

peace_5

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Posted: #32

@Crashdavis565

 I am taking the Rams, lets see Brady play with constant pressure on him, without a line he is dead!  Rams ML

 
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Posted: #33

TB -2.5 -115 on BetMGM

 

 
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Posted: #34

Quote Originally Posted by mrusso:

@vanzack  We're nit picking here Van, r-e-l-a-x. Oh can't use that anymore can I Mr. Rodgers?

Nothing gets me worked up more than a line discussion.

Character flaw.

an_cheersan_roll_laugh

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Posted: #35

@vanzack an_clap

an_light Bingo!!!

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Posted: #36

I"ll be honest i was on titans big, and was huge on rams big. After the crazy games yesterday, I rethought my rams position. playoffs is all about not  making big mistakes and I can't go big pregame on rams w stafford error prone and unsure about the health of  his back. Even  against the cards you  could see he was getting happy feet in the pocket, he just happened to to have wide open receivers every play.  Also the cards couldn't exploit the injuries to safety, but Brady def can if he gets time to throw.  I still lean rams but will try to get them live at 4.5 or ideally 7.5. These playoff lines are too fucking sharp

 
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Posted: #37

The formula for beating Brady in the playoffs has always been pressure, make him move his feet.

 

The Rams front has some elite players who can push / collapse the pocket.  Plus some of the better Buccaneers' OL had to play hurt last game.

 

No Godwin, no more AB.  If someone's looking for reasons to side with LA, they're there.

 
 
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Posted: #38

rams d line wins this one.peace_5peace

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