Posted:
#1
Hello all,
It’s me again, your old super bowl buddy, still alive and kicking . There’s
an old saying ... “A serious football fan is
never alone. We are a legion, and football is often the only thing we have in
common”
As you know, I’m not a big fan of statistics. I prefer
recent trends and take an overview of the game. I think
my Super bowl record of 14-3 over 17 years is
because it’s on a neutral field, and easier to figure.
Over the last few years the NFL has made further changes to protect the
players. No helmet to helmet, no hitting the quarterback below the knees, or
hand to helmet. And, the defender is responsible for avoiding landing on the
quarterback when taking him to the ground. It used to be that defenses win
championships, that’s not necessarily true anymore. The NFL says they hit too
high, they hit too low, too hard, whatever! Putting defenses at a huge
disadvantage. So offenses now have the edge, and good quarterbacks rule. As a
result, there’s more scoring and longer careers.
Obviously, the Patriots have most of the advantages this year. More
experience in championship games, coaching, and at quarterback, etc. It is very
difficult to beat them. You may ask...how did the Pats lose last year? Look at
the play of Nick Foles. He’s the reason I took Philly + 4.5, because
of his experience. He bounced back and forth for seven years, but was a pro-bowl
MVP.
His final drive before halftime was impressive, which included the
4th down “Philly Special “play. Also, look at Nick’s 4th quarter winning drive
of that Super bowl. Like Brady, every clutch pass by Foles was right on the
money. So in my mind, the question is .. Can Goff win this game on the final
drive, in a close game? I doubt it. I don’t think he has the experience to
make the last pressure-packed drive! Remember week-13 this year, when the Bears
beat the Rams in Chicago? Not so unusual. But, on week-14 the Rams were 13
point favorite over Philly in Los Angeles, Goff was picked off three times in that game, the
Rams lost..
The Rams certainly have great individual players on defense, but I just don’t
trust them. For those reasons, I think the Patriots win this game. It
should be a high scoring game, the last two Super bowls in a domed stadium
involving the Patriots, the total scores were 74, 62.
This year, the last four playoff games had a total of 49 points or over,
and three of four were outdoors! Further, after that bad no-call on New Orleans
two weeks ago, the refs are ready to throw a flag on anything close.
My official pick for Super
bowl 53 is ... New England – 2.5 Score, in the area of
34-27
A three way teaser is not a bad idea either ...New England + 7.5...L.A.Rams
+ 12.5 ...Over 46.5.
Good luck all ! See you next year, God willing!
Don Juan
0
Tell me I can’t, then watch me work twice as hard to prove you Wrong.
!!
I live in Los Angels, I love Rams . Put a gun at my head still bet Rams 
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