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Don't Be Sucked In

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by zamigo6:


I don't believe "most people" think like that. Maybe the wannabe sharps. Most people see a team lose and think they suck, or see a team win and think they are great. Especially if they lost or won money on that team. Of course covers is a different playing field where everybody thinks they are an expert. Either way, there is in fact more to picking winners.

BOL to you, I don't necessarily disagree with the plays, but the logic is suspect...

A lot of them actually do. For example, the Saints might win and cover next week but anyone who bet on them will have to pay a "premium" in doing so.

 
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Posted: #27
There will be no winners tonight. Patriots win by 3.   
 
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Posted: #28
U have a great point there Igetmoney!!!  I take in all perspectives and angles, and all my years of sportsbetting I do see that.  People usually have short memory when it comes to sportsbetting.. Like oh that team is so weak got blown out last week, or that team is so strong blew their opp out by 30+.  That is a great point. 
For ex: u see alot of similar spreads: NE giving -14 to Oak, did not cover.
This weeknd u see SD giving 13 goes down to -12.5, similar spread, they do cover.
Or u see ATL smashing on TB, and then get smacked by Minn. the next week. 
Bookmakers play alot of perception into the lines and pple usually only recall the last week how a team did.

GL tonight !!  I am leaning KC , but scares me alot of pple leaning home dogg again tonight
 
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Posted: #29
Some people are missing my point.

So many bettors get sucked into thinking that New England can't lose in this situation. Oh my Brady is only laying 3 to a shaky KC team.

Wake up!  New England got trounced in the 2H to the Dolphins.  KC almost beat Denver in week 2. Yes they got spanked in week 1 but this is the NFL.

 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by strike4106:

U have a great point there Igetmoney!!!  I take in all perspectives and angles, and all my years of sportsbetting I do see that.  People usually have short memory when it comes to sportsbetting.. Like oh that team is so weak got blown out last week, or that team is so strong blew their opp out by 30+.  That is a great point. 
For ex: u see alot of similar spreads: NE giving -14 to Oak, did not cover.
This weeknd u see SD giving 13 goes down to -12.5, similar spread, they do cover.
Or u see ATL smashing on TB, and then get smacked by Minn. the next week. 
Bookmakers play alot of perception into the lines and pple usually only recall the last week how a team did.

GL tonight !!  I am leaning KC , but scares me alot of pple leaning home dogg again tonight
You are a smart man 

jump on board with KC! 
 
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Posted: #31
Hmmmmmmmmmmm
 
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Posted: #32
Ridley averaging 2.8 ypc lol

edelman, dobson, thompkins, lafell! 

some offensive weapons

You are giving me KC +3 at home vs that
 
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Posted: #33
Where are the KC weapons at?  

14-0 KC 
 
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Posted: #34
Quick  make sure you pound New England next week in a must win 
 
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Posted: #35
 
Captain
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Posted: #36
If you think New England will beat Cincy or even cover the +3 you should be drug tested  
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by IgetMoney101:

...to believing the mighty Patriots won't go 2-3 after next week and Tom Brady and Bill Belichek can't lose 2 primetime games in a row.

Ya that's right the Patriot's lose tonight and next sunday night the top dog of the AFC currently, the Bengals, beat New England in Foxboro.
Every Joe in America will be pounding New England next week after they lose tonight with Tom and the boys.

This isn't 2004-2013 anymore. The Patriots aren't the same team.

What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!
 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by IgetMoney101:

Trust me i know many people who think like this when they bet. They are what i call captain crunch cappers. They open up the Sunday paper, look at the lines and make their picks. They don't put any research into a game they just go off instinct and what line looks good.

What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!
 
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Posted: #39
Just be on the pats and the saints after a loss as 4 or more point favorite the same weeks... 
 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:


Happy Belated Birthday Mac 
A true covers capper and respectable guy 
 
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Posted: #41
Pats have some serious O-line problems and something is just not clicking The Bengals win by 14
 
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Posted: #42
nice call!!!!
 
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Posted: #43
OK I lied.
New England will win on Sunday. I've analyzed the game more and like the Pats
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by IgetMoney101:

OK I lied.
New England will win on Sunday. I've analyzed the game more and like the Pats


Haha
 
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Posted: #45

Quote Originally Posted by IgetMoney101:

OK I lied.
New England will win on Sunday. I've analyzed the game more and like the Pats

smart man  

 
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Posted: #46
Please go to this page to help me figure out a fantasy trade.  

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101961463

Thanks!!
 
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Posted: #47
I jumped the gun on this thread saying New England would lose 2 straight.
 
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Posted: #48
New England is the home dog getting the most points on Sunday EXCLUDING JAX.  This has been flawless for 4 straight weeks. That guy bieber believer started the thread...
 
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Posted: #49
Based on what we have seen you would think Cincy would be a big fave even on the road, but they come in at a pick???? 


SHADY LINE MEANS NEW ENGLAND WINS. No big money line dog,but we still get the cover.  

JUST THOUGHTS, NOTHING ELSE
 
 
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Posted: #50
doesn't appear that every Joe will be betting the Patriots after a loss like that...
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