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don't get fooled again week 3

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Posted: #26
thx....love unders in prime time games.
 
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Posted: #27
regarding our analysis of what we have seen last week and how that is translated into the picks - here is a valuable example that will teach you to fish rather eating one i provide:

we all remember jets colts game and how "dominant" the jets were and how "bad" luck was. well, that was for the sole purpose of that game as one in a previous week for the purpose to have jets colts game balanced which apparently didn't help and then had to happen what we saw happened.
so, if the pattern of public not believing that luck and the colts are as weak as they were "looking" continues - we may see another "bad performance". the meaning is that the imbalance of the money dictates the result and not opposite. the line that opened at colts -5.5 in tennessee has quickly dropped to -3 colts despite "sharp" money being on the colts. by my calculations the only people who has been really in the biggest hole since the beginning of this nfl season are the same "sharps" who did not adapt to ever changing "vegas" policies of conduct.
and again -  there is much more between the lines than i wrote and it is about the time you began deciphering the codes as that is the only way you are going to survive in this ever changing scenery of super crooks working for the legit businesses. you have to be super duper crook in your thinking process and great accountant at the same time. only those two characteristics will get you thru week after week
 
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Posted: #28
Thanks for your work, Phixer.  BOL.
 
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Posted: #29
rolling with ya phix...looking forward to having a profitable season along with you and the others on this thread!!! enjoy reading your analysis all the time.
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

...you have to be super duper crook in your thinking process and great accountant at the same time.



 
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Posted: #31
 BOL   

Thank You
 
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Posted: #32
BOL Phixer this week Phixer!
 
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Posted: #33
So are you leaning towards Titans?
 
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Posted: #34
Phixer,  I pm you as requested?
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

regarding our analysis of what we have seen last week and how that is translated into the picks - here is a valuable example that will teach you to fish rather eating one i provide:

we all remember jets colts game and how "dominant" the jets were and how "bad" luck was. well, that was for the sole purpose of that game as one in a previous week for the purpose to have jets colts game balanced which apparently didn't help and then had to happen what we saw happened.
so, if the pattern of public not believing that luck and the colts are as weak as they were "looking" continues - we may see another "bad performance". the meaning is that the imbalance of the money dictates the result and not opposite. the line that opened at colts -5.5 in tennessee has quickly dropped to -3 colts despite "sharp" money being on the colts. by my calculations the only people who has been really in the biggest hole since the beginning of this nfl season are the same "sharps" who did not adapt to ever changing "vegas" policies of conduct.
and again -  there is much more between the lines than i wrote and it is about the time you began deciphering the codes as that is the only way you are going to survive in this ever changing scenery of super crooks working for the legit businesses. you have to be super duper crook in your thinking process and great accountant at the same time. only those two characteristics will get you thru week after week


Very interesting perspective.

To me what your describing is nothing more than regression and random chance, 2 mathmatical principles that the ave Joe has no clue what so ever.

Even good teams play poorly and sometimes very poorly as the Colts did is nothing more than random chance as is the 5 TO's that came the Jets way.

Teams will have regression to the mean, in other words the Jets will not continue getting all those TO's nor will the Colts lose them, simply regression.

Why the ave Joe loses is because he does not understand a word I just said, what he does is watch games on TV, he follows the sport and he thinks by following the sport he can beat the line which is basically impossible.

When the general concensous is the Colts are now terrible well quess what ? If there's a strong feeling amounst the general population that finds it's way to the players through family and friends and the players themselves are not stupid, they know they are not playing to their capabilities and PRO Athletes being the ego driven people they are become very motivated to fix the problem so they put more focus, energy,  and attention to detail in practice as do the coaches who now demand such things along with the Owner who's not happy and riding the head coach and bingo they now win.


You basically described the exact same senerio I just did but with the fix is in, I suppose it works to pick winners either way because it's almost the same thing.
 
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Posted: #36
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

regarding our analysis of what we have seen last week and how that is translated into the picks - here is a valuable example that will teach you to fish rather eating one i provide:

we all remember jets colts game and how "dominant" the jets were and how "bad" luck was. well, that was for the sole purpose of that game as one in a previous week for the purpose to have jets colts game balanced which apparently didn't help and then had to happen what we saw happened.
so, if the pattern of public not believing that luck and the colts are as weak as they were "looking" continues - we may see another "bad performance". the meaning is that the imbalance of the money dictates the result and not opposite. the line that opened at colts -5.5 in tennessee has quickly dropped to -3 colts despite "sharp" money being on the colts. by my calculations the only people who has been really in the biggest hole since the beginning of this nfl season are the same "sharps" who did not adapt to ever changing "vegas" policies of conduct.
and again -  there is much more between the lines than i wrote and it is about the time you began deciphering the codes as that is the only way you are going to survive in this ever changing scenery of super crooks working for the legit businesses. you have to be super duper crook in your thinking process and great accountant at the same time. only those two characteristics will get you thru week after week

I am really feeling your thought pattern in the above statements.  Thanks for dropping invaluable game week after week. .
 
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Posted: #38
jets moneyline got me ahead... im rolling.., 

redskins look juicy.  who are gints to lay 4?
bigFnPOO
 
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Posted: #39
Under look great
 
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Posted: #40
Keep up the good work!!
 
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Posted: #41
Phixer must respect, your picks are great!
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

NFL Week 3: TNF NY Giants vs WASH Redskins TotalsThis is a 5 Units PlayUnder 45  -110  (i took 45 when it was still that. sorry for delay but 44 is ok too as it 44 now)

Thank you sir
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

regarding our analysis of what we have seen last week and how that is translated into the picks - here is a valuable example that will teach you to fish rather eating one i provide:we all remember jets colts game and how "dominant" the jets were and how "bad" luck was. well, that was for the sole purpose of that game as one in a previous week for the purpose to have jets colts game balanced which apparently didn't help and then had to happen what we saw happened.so, if the pattern of public not believing that luck and the colts are as weak as they were "looking" continues - we may see another "bad performance". the meaning is that the imbalance of the money dictates the result and not opposite. the line that opened at colts -5.5 in tennessee has quickly dropped to -3 colts despite "sharp" money being on the colts. by my calculations the only people who has been really in the biggest hole since the beginning of this nfl season are the same "sharps" who did not adapt to ever changing "vegas" policies of conduct.and again -  there is much more between the lines than i wrote and it is about the time you began deciphering the codes as that is the only way you are going to survive in this ever changing scenery of super crooks working for the legit businesses. you have to be super duper crook in your thinking process and great accountant at the same time. only those two characteristics will get you thru week after week

Thank you for you all work sir
 
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Posted: #44
Very Nice Phixer.

Here is some info I was reading to add to your pick.

Was at ny(3.5) 44...
Series...games played in ny are 1-13-1 under s 00
...........only 1 of last 15 games has exceeded 40 total pts s 00
...........the dog is 6-1-1 ats in sept match ups s 00
...........su winner is 26-3-1 ats s 00

I'm glad we agree  
 
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Posted: #45
goodluck
 
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Posted: #46
BOL this week PHIX
 
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Posted: #47
Best of luck this week
 
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Posted: #48
Just curious where is the money going?
 
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Posted: #49
BOL Phixer, with you on the Under 44 and Giants ??????
 
 
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Posted: #50
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