My out of the box methodology of the NFL Fixed League is the following:
FOX is hosting Superbowl.
In playoffs, FOX had 3 games and the outcomes are below:
Philly beat GB (Favorite covered and under covered)
Washington beat Detroit (Underdog covered and over covered)
Philly beat Washington (Favorite covered and over covered)
Only 1 combination left (Underdog and UNDER).
Betting $1300 on this parlay on Superbowl Sunday.
Hopefully it hits.
so far since 1977 every team that lost a meninfull gane to tampa bay never won a super bowl this teams playoof teams 3 went home chargers lons wash.
eagles lost @ tampa as -1.5 chlak with hurts 33-13
they will not win vs chiefs hurts is hurting bad but will be ok after two weks of cortizne shots Chiefs gas STOP defense lots of 3 and outs eagles defnse is vs cgumps all years
ok wn in brazil over packers but i dropped hamer when home vs falcons took falcons ml +7.5 dog huge +280 they wob 22-21
then eagles @ aints w on as 2.5 dog 15-12 b 2 b roads @ tampa bay -1.5 i said no way season over 33-13 s/u loss
bye week home -935 vs nrowns no cover 20-16 then @ giants weeeeeeeeeeeee 28-3 @ bengals +2.5 dog 32-17 win
home - 8 vs jaz no cover 28-23
@ cowboys i said yes -7 winner 31-6 then tnf vs wash -4 26-16
@ rams -2.5 37-20 then +3@ balty upset 24-19
home -12.5 vs panthers alm ost lost game 21-16
then of course as ual home vs steelrs winnee but sure as shit 100% vs anybdy home or away they lose lost at WASH -5 chalk 33-38 cowboys home blow out winner 41-7 7 pot fav then vs giants home -3 7 point win 20-13
superbowl = 1.5 even +2.5 i take chiefs i know siraani will have braib farts and these new cooridnators will be lost watch the total melt down of my birds
@tjones1270
All things including trends usually come to an end. In my case, I look at this as entertainment. The TV stations are in on the betting stuff along with the NFL and Vegas. It is too lucrative to not be the case. If I am looking at this from an X's and O's perspective, Philly has the advantage in the trenches and playing against a Fangio defense means less big plays for KC. Same on the other side against a Spags defense. KC will need to win on the outside with their WR's (Brown, Worthy Thompkins).. in this game. Philly's corners match up well. The run game will not be there and Fangio's defense typically covers the middle of the field well. (Much better than Buffalo). Philly can run better than Buffalo as well which will shorten this game. (Think UNDER 49.5) Philly's offense is no slouch as they have talent on the outside that can beat KC's corners but it is really Goedert who will be doing the damage in this game since KC is not that good at covering TE's. I look at this game as being a better version of the KC / TB super bowl. I think that Philly will extend drives more than KC because they have the better 3rd down defense. Yes, I am aware that Fangio is 0-8 against Mahomes but this defense is special and their front 4 can get home without sending extra bodies especially on the exterior. The interior line is an advantage for KC. I see a close middle scoring game like a 23-20 final with Mahomes driving down field at end of game for a win to put the game over 49.5 but he gets picked off. Philly gets revenge and the crown. The public loses on the KC ml and over bets. Just the way I see it. I believe Tom Brady is calling this game on FOX. It would sure suck to have to be the announcer watching Mahomes get the 3 peat which is something Brady never did. Safe to say it won't happen either for Mahomes. Just my opinion.
I just saw total dip to 49 from 49.5. This triggered me to make the bet now. I couldn't wait until next Sunday.
Feel strong about a straight up Philly win here but honestly the way this season has went, it would not surprise me at all if KC won by exactly 1 point. (not more)
To avoid a push on the spread, I pulled the trigger.
Eagles +1.5 and Under 49 .........$1186 to win $3130.
Done.
Head coach Andy Reid after the bye week: 21-4
Eagles defensive coordinator Vic Fangio: 0-8 against Patrick Mahomes.
Patrick Mahomes is 15-0 in domed / closed roof stadiums.
White jersey has won 37 times .637 vs color jersey has won 21 times .362
No quarterback with #1 jersey won the super bowl.
Russell Wilson was the last quarterback to win the super bowl with 539 rushing yards.
There has never been a quarterback with over 539 rushing yards in the regular season to win the super bowl. Jalen Hurts has 630 rushing yards in the regular season.
@tjones1270
You keep on mentioning historical information. Well, I have one for you. Recently, for the Superbowl, the team that played MORE playoff games is 9-0 SU and ATS as opposed to the team that played less playoff games in a given season.
Example: The Eagles did not have a bye. They played 3 playoff games so far this year. The Chiefs played 2 games because they had the BYE as being the #1 seed. Therefore, based on this historical trend, the Eagles will win and cover.
@jasondemz
Oh and if you want a player prop..take TE Dallas Goedert - He is going to have over 6 receptions and 100 yards and a TD in this game. Put $100 down on that player parlay. Everyone focusing on Barkley or AJ Brown or Devonte Smith....NOPE....Dallas Goedert is going off this game. Might even be the MVP. Was there ever a TE as an MVP. You just might see that this game.
I just placed a prop bet parlay $125 that pays out $1625. The prop bet is the following:
1.) Under 48.5
2.) Philly+1.5
3.) Mahomes over 23 completions
4.) Goedert over 6 receptions
5.) Goedert over 53.5 receiving yards
By the way, Walterfootball.com just put their prediction today. Final score: Philly 23 KC 20. (How ironic and identical to my prediction)
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