Even Before Running System, KC Looks Like a No Brainer Week 13!!

The fact that the 'fat pantload' guy is on the Falcons gives me even more comfort betting on them here, The Chiefs are in a bad spot. 

Yes sir!

Well, I will emphasize,again, after further review under the hood with the System referee  (lol) don't bet on either team. if u have to choose one, go Falcons but too close to call in my system. It's odd how  my instinct are  often 360 degrees off from the analysis. and that my friends is,why, I trust the hard work that went into building the system, not myelf!

So why bother starting this thread???  Now you are telling people to take the falcons? Wtf

Sorry Captain. its about the discussion, i guess, which hopefully leads us to better places than,just telling someone what to do. i sincerely thought the chiefs,were much better, but the consensus and my system which could not be,used until i had my line today suggests otherwise.  Better late than never :-)) ... and thru discussion we learn, not blind obedience 

Every thread is useful when it leads to a quality discussion. Mission accomplished.

KC for whatever reason I feel plays better on the road this year. Fade at home but ML on the road...

Teams off an overtime away dog win have been 15-12 against the spread playing as an away dog the next week.

BET the OVER!!! 

This may be highest score of WK 13.... 

Yes, love all this discussion and how the wisdom of convention and great insight (e.g., Suuma talking about how the Chiefs are in the worst possible spot going to Atlanta) often collides,with recent trends (last post). What this all,highlights,is one thing that is obvious: betting against a spread is one of the hardest things to do on the planet! and so in a,way, this forum is like a,support group for golfers trying to lower their handicap one mere, stroke!,its,just damn,hard!!  while i think discussion and different angles do increase our  ability go be accurate, because,it reveals,more information, and I love the discussions and feel it contributes to great learning as games approach and also,in our overall model,building on understanding of this challenge, I will add that there is,a,reason I am so relentless about my systems approach. while my,input is just one of many,angles, it has the enormous advantage of being based on trends over 8000+ games,rather than,10-25 games,or less that is,often expressed,as,wisdom. by the,way, i hate how my andoid produces commas that i did not type!!! anyway, my frends on over 8000+,games reveal much greater truths or more,sound,statistical realities,than what can possibly be re ealed in only 10, 100 or even 1000 games. i dont have all the answers, and the,most ideal handicapping probably combines,a,solid,system,with correct logic and k owledve of recent team status,,but if i had to rely on one thing alone, i think a system based on nesrly 10,000 games,would win habnds down but if brady,goes out, for example, my system cannot easily adapt to that ... But to continues to show,how,good my system is I will keep posting regardless of transitory injury status or other factors that might lower my success percentage, but increase the validity of what I am showing. 

Goodness my spelling was atrocious in that last post. Believe it or not, I typed most of it correctly but my Android Note 7 that blows up is also notorious for placing commas where you do not place them, and for messing up spelling. Has there ever been a more horrible product in history? Hopefully the Edge 7 that I am replacing this with is better.  Anyway, with all the statistical wisdom we have in 2016 it only makes sense to base my picks on a rigorous system solidly grounded in almost 10,000 past games. It is far from perfect, but so far so good (55-44-1) after 100 games and so I will continue to plod along. As this Super Contest winds down, however, I am going to give my picks after everybody else does as I am not too much into giving away my hard work to competitors ... but anyone who wants to go to the window on Saturday or Sunday morning will still have my top 5 picks just by tuning it and this fascinating study of how well this system really is will continue week to week and year to year. 

Chiefs are 9-2 in their last 11 RS road games. Thats not luck/random. KC are never going to be accused of looking flashy but they just continue to win and winning on the road const. is very hard and the chiefs are 1 of those rare birds that are doing it and are very confident away from home. To say that you cannot see how ANYONE could like KC in this game is nothing short of amazing/laughable.
High scoring game --very close---KCs old habits continue.

KC 37
ATL 34
OT final

My instincts were better than,the,system on this,one :-)