Since 2002 home favorites of 6-12 points before bye are 52-12 ATS and 59-5 SU.
Thanks for your feedback !!!
I find this one hard to believe. That's a very high % for such a vanilla criteria. And why would an upcoming bye affect a Team's play? Certainly coming off a bye is a big deal.
Can you post a link to a list of the actual games?
Thanks for your systems. I too am looking for trends like these.
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Quote Originally Posted by WinAllSports:
Bonus system posted Thursday:
Since 2002 home favorites of 6-12 points before bye are 52-12 ATS and 59-5 SU.
Thanks for your feedback !!!
I find this one hard to believe. That's a very high % for such a vanilla criteria. And why would an upcoming bye affect a Team's play? Certainly coming off a bye is a big deal.
Can you post a link to a list of the actual games?
Thanks for your systems. I too am looking for trends like these.
NFL teams before a divisional dog game are 974-1214 ATS in first 16 weeks of the season. Big sample system, particularly good when these teams are looking forward to a big rival (Vikings 5-12 ATS before GB, Redskins 5-17 ATS before Cowboys,etc).
NCAA teams in this same situation are just as bad as the NFL teams. Probably the best way to use this system is to split it team-by-team as you will find out that some teams struggle in this situation more than other teams, especially before big rivals. Vanderbilt is 5-20 ATS in this situation before being a dog against Georgia. CMU is 1-12 ATS in this situation before being a dog against WMU...
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Sunday system of the day:
NFL teams before a divisional dog game are 974-1214 ATS in first 16 weeks of the season. Big sample system, particularly good when these teams are looking forward to a big rival (Vikings 5-12 ATS before GB, Redskins 5-17 ATS before Cowboys,etc).
NCAA teams in this same situation are just as bad as the NFL teams. Probably the best way to use this system is to split it team-by-team as you will find out that some teams struggle in this situation more than other teams, especially before big rivals. Vanderbilt is 5-20 ATS in this situation before being a dog against Georgia. CMU is 1-12 ATS in this situation before being a dog against WMU...
NFL teams with 13-15 wins last season usually struggle in the first 5 weeks of the following season. Here is the breakdown of their ATS records depending on how many of those wins were upsets.
In the first 5 weeks of the season, teams with 13-15 wins last season are:
18-44 ATS if they had 0 upset wins last season... 25-40 ATS if they had 1 upset win last season... 63-80 ATS if they had 2-5 upset wins last season... 8-5 ATS if they had 6+ upset wins last season.
In conclusion, 12-15 wins teams are a very good early season fade if they collected 0 or very few dog wins last season. (New Orleans could be the team to go against early on, but dont forget to go with an occasional fade against New England, Baltimore and GB as well).
As for the NCAA, there is a good system to go against teams with less than 4 wins last season if they were upset at least 3 times. That system is good for the first two weeks only and it is 43-82 ATS (82-43 ATS if we are going against those teams).
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Monday System of the day:
NFL teams with 13-15 wins last season usually struggle in the first 5 weeks of the following season. Here is the breakdown of their ATS records depending on how many of those wins were upsets.
In the first 5 weeks of the season, teams with 13-15 wins last season are:
18-44 ATS if they had 0 upset wins last season... 25-40 ATS if they had 1 upset win last season... 63-80 ATS if they had 2-5 upset wins last season... 8-5 ATS if they had 6+ upset wins last season.
In conclusion, 12-15 wins teams are a very good early season fade if they collected 0 or very few dog wins last season. (New Orleans could be the team to go against early on, but dont forget to go with an occasional fade against New England, Baltimore and GB as well).
As for the NCAA, there is a good system to go against teams with less than 4 wins last season if they were upset at least 3 times. That system is good for the first two weeks only and it is 43-82 ATS (82-43 ATS if we are going against those teams).
Honestly, not to be an asshole or anything but these are not only garbage, but harmful. The fact that a home dog who's been a dog for 2 straight weeks playing on a Saturday in November against a team that has gone over the total the week before when facing a team that starts with the letter C in an afternoon game is 21-4 ATS is absolutely 100% irrelevant to the game being played. These are strictly coincidence and have absolutely no impact on, or anything to do with present day match up what so ever.
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Honestly, not to be an asshole or anything but these are not only garbage, but harmful. The fact that a home dog who's been a dog for 2 straight weeks playing on a Saturday in November against a team that has gone over the total the week before when facing a team that starts with the letter C in an afternoon game is 21-4 ATS is absolutely 100% irrelevant to the game being played. These are strictly coincidence and have absolutely no impact on, or anything to do with present day match up what so ever.
Also, for every trend such as these, there's always a counter trend. These stats and trends can be manipulated any way you'd like to either positively or negatively support the play.
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Also, for every trend such as these, there's always a counter trend. These stats and trends can be manipulated any way you'd like to either positively or negatively support the play.
These systems are as asimple as they come with only 2-3 parameters. Not even close to what you are saying. And nobody is forcing you to read my posts. I have been winning big money with those same systems for the past 7 years. Anyways, thanks for your feedback.
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These systems are as asimple as they come with only 2-3 parameters. Not even close to what you are saying. And nobody is forcing you to read my posts. I have been winning big money with those same systems for the past 7 years. Anyways, thanks for your feedback.
I'm not trying to hate, you seem like a good dude, but cap the games then you dont need a system. your numbers are interesting, but to me playing systems takes away the best part of betting, breaking down the teams and situations and the satisfaction that you picked the winner. But the money is still green so what do I know?
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I'm not trying to hate, you seem like a good dude, but cap the games then you dont need a system. your numbers are interesting, but to me playing systems takes away the best part of betting, breaking down the teams and situations and the satisfaction that you picked the winner. But the money is still green so what do I know?
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