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GIANTS @ BROWNS: It's back to capping basics with this one. Road chalk can burn in HELL.

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Posted: #76
Quote Originally Posted by jdr016:

Cleveland was on my radar already. But, it's the Browns, so I'm going to wait a little to decide if I'm pulling the trigger.

It's interesting how I agree with most of your NFL plays, but disagree with most of your college football plays.




You were front and center agreeing with Purdue yesterday.

Only reason you disagreed lately is because you don't like road chalk. You didn't like Memphis -3 over SMU because of road chalk too. That worked out nicely.
 
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Posted: #77
Thanks for the writeup.  Also on Browns but we know writeup is fade material if it loses, no matter what the writeup

Tickets are $7 online.  There will be no atmosphere

Eli loves turf, he has a grass game today in a stadium he doesn't recognize.

The Browns run game has been beyond awful as shown by the Steelers last game.  Critical that the Giants can't run the ball.

Also critical is McCown has time.  Last week he didn't have time and got killed.  He's a traditional pocket passer like Sam Bradford and simply must have time to throw the ball.

It's brutal being on the Browns, isn't it.  This team has been beyond awful, I mean not even competitive, like Alabama vs Auburn, they just get railroaded and outclassed game after game.

So we'll see.

gl.
 
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Posted: #78
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:


You were front and center agreeing with Purdue yesterday.

Only reason you disagreed lately is because you don't like road chalk. You didn't like Memphis -3 over SMU because of road chalk too. That worked out nicely.

I don't like chalk. Period.

I would say 75% of my plays are on Dogs.

Let's go Browns! 
 
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Posted: #79
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

I'm telling you folks, points are very important. Not in EVERY case but in many cases.

You better justify EVERY SINGLE POINT you lay. If you take points, you need only justify the side.

If you lay them you have to justify the side AND the points. That's hard to do! I've been doing this for many years. It is very hard to do.


Look at UMass RIGHT NOW. NOTHING to play for against Hawaii.

They are a TERRIBLE CFB program and a 2 win team. They schedule a trip to Hawaii for their final game. Many thought it was a Thanksgiving vacation. No one knew.

Hawaii is fighting for a bowl with 5 wins and needs to get to 6.

EVERYTHING to play for.

This is a ROAD dog traveling thousands of miles and has body clock issues vs. a team that's home who desperately wants a bowl.

Current score? Umass 33 Hawaii 40

The line is???? 7.5.

Well Umass just tied it up 40-40 as I typed. Unreal.

And points are at even more of premium in the NFL where millionaires do not play with the same do-or-die intensity college players do. They have tens of millions and sometimes hundreds of millions of dollars in investment to protect. That affects these scores.

We get points here at home with the Browns = valuable. 

You are reaching here, I would agree with you if you were talking about the NBA but in the NFL these guys give their body and everything they have every Sunday and everyone one of them wants to win.

I agree with your pick but I think you add angles that aren't there sometimes just because you feel you need to justify to the Minions that follow you why you chose your team. GL, I am on Clev also
 
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Posted: #80
Scal, you were all over the trash talk angle on Ark/Mizzou, why not on this one with Jenkins and Pryor?
 
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Posted: #81
Scal, would you still take them +6.5?
 
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Posted: #82
[
Quote Originally Posted by jefff:

good luck Scal.  i hate backing the ultra-crappy teams (Jax, Cle, SF) because they find ways to lose (and lose ATS).

Cle rushing is the worst right now.  Leading rusher the last 4 weeks
McClown 11 yards
Crowell   23 yards
Johnson  30 yards
Crowell  29 yards

They were better off using the read option with Hogan  

They have some good WRs to throw to but their OLine is brutally bad which doesnt give whatever QB they put out there time to throw the ball to them.

Tough call.  NYG has beaten 1 team by more than 7.  They just dont blow up other teams....but Cleveland is much worse than any team the Gnats have faced this year.





Giants have not beaten any team by more than 7, and let's not point out the Browns Rushing issue. The Giants rushing offense is 31st in the league WORSE than the Browns. Oh wait, correction 32nd, It is THE WORST.

Fewer yards TD's ypc than the Browns. Browns are 20th in the league in total yards. Look it up.

 
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Posted: #83
Good luck Scal! Get that 
 
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Posted: #84
Bills with at Oakland and home vs Steelers next 2 weeks, would think this is a MUST win spot for them or else their season is over. Any opinion on them today? Line went from 7.5 to 9 in blink of an eye this morning 
 
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Posted: #85
 
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Posted: #86
I jumped on your bandwagon last week and I'm 0-3.  I think we are a jinx together as I have grown my bank roll 39X since a small $50 investment about 3 months ago.  

I will pass.  

 
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Posted: #87
Quote Originally Posted by risktaker:

love this pick scal and your write up just made me even more confident lets get it thanks

Thanks Risk. We will even if out this weekend.
 
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Posted: #88
Quote Originally Posted by Eprince:

Scal, not sure if I can back this Browns team at the regular spread but was able to throw it on my 13 point  teaser and they look really good at +22.5. 


Your work here is unmatched by any other capper.   
GL on your day 



13 point teaser I'll bet you have to hit 7/8 plays just for even money!
 
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Posted: #89
Quote Originally Posted by CanadaCup:

After this write up Scal I/m going to have to reconsider taking the GMen as my survivor pick.

The fact you are even still in the survivor pool at week 11

 
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Posted: #90
Quote Originally Posted by DJMechas:

Mr. Scalabrine, thank you for your picks on Purdue & San Jose (ml) in NCAAF 
 
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Posted: #91
Quote Originally Posted by EZmoney25:

Nice write up Scal!

This is NYG or no bet. The Browns aren't a typical underdog. You're dealing with a team looking at 0-16 because they're really bad. They may cover or even pull out win but instead of being a hero I'd put money on another game that has more value.

BOL as always

Looked good against the Titans, a pretty good team.

Looked good against the Jets when they had something to play for.

Looked good against the Ravens when they were healthy.

Looked decent against the Steelers last week ATS before a fumble TD moose.

I've seen worse. Far worse. (And I've bet on those teams too....)
 
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Posted: #92
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

Same here
 
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Posted: #93
Don't now how anybody could back the Browns, regardless of any trends.

Giants -8.5
 
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Posted: #94
pro writeup as always. much appreciated.
 
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Posted: #95
Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

The state of that O line alone makes this a viable play.

The fact that you looked over the other dogs and choose this one says something..."this guy isn't just trying to pick the ugliest team to look like a genius"

When it comes to McCown, I always remember 1 game. It was the Cam Newton car accident game where Derrick Anderson started. McCown started for the Bucs. The ENTIRE WORLD was on the Bucs cause Cam was out, the line moved 4 pts w/ the news. I took the Panthers on the discount(and it was a large wager) Panthers are covering the whole game. McCown in the last minute scrambled his way into the endzone while breaking 4 tackles. My nuts were in my throat for days after that one play.

McCown is the right type of "put it on the line" type of guy to help get the Browns a win at some point. I also recall a few games w/ the Bears where he played through injury, tough dude.

On a serious note..do you get much sleep Scal? You are on a capping crusade brotha, I know how much it can drain a person.

BOL

Good memory on McCown. You broke him and his moxie down well as well as the spread details.

Insomniac issues definitely. I'm up watching Moutain West games on the East Coast so I'm pretty wired in the AM on Saturday. That Hawaii Umass game ended at around three am. Tough to just doze off after a 46-40 final with a 7.5 point spread!

 
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Posted: #96
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:



13 point teaser I'll bet you have to hit 7/8 plays just for even money!


I've got a -120 13 point teaser going this week with only 4 plays
 
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Posted: #97
Quote Originally Posted by Vegas187:

Scal, always like your writeup's.  Thank you!

What's your thoughts on the Mia/49r's?  Seems to almost be the same game. 

Miami's won 5 in a row.  Mostly to .500 or less teams.  They beat pitt, after knocking Ben out.

my book has SF +8 (-110).  

Didn't spend a second capping it. Sorry.
 
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Posted: #98
Quote Originally Posted by deanos7:

Captain with all do respect I dont even know Scal, I would never bet what another person puts in a blog. If im going to lose my money im not going to do it on someone else because they like a play. lol lol. however if you would like my plays id be happy to put them up on here for you. Also Captain dont look now but that line has dropped down to +6.5 now off a key number 7 . Vegas is begging you to take NYG my guess is sharp money came in this morning on Cleveland. But hey what do I know lol lol

And that is how you should bet. Your pick with your money. This post is just a nudging.
 
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Posted: #99
Here we go.....
 
 
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Posted: #100
Quote Originally Posted by jasperslegs:

Scal,
Cleveland will try to blow the game in the 2nd half if the go in winning. They want to remain the worst team in the league for draft pick. If they win a game they will be tied with the 1 loss teams that are out there. Hopefully they lose by less than 7 points though. Lost a lot of value in this game when the line moved from +7.5 to +7.

Purdue plays the same way and I took them on the road yesterday. They almost won the game.

I'm FAR more comfortable taking the Browns at home with 7. If you've watched Purdue play at all in the past 4 years you'd know exactly how the fear of god can be put in you with them, with any spread. 
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