High Risk

High Reward

After week 8, non-div conf road favs w/a total 38+ & less than 7 days rest, off a s/u loss at home by more than -14 as a dog of more than +3:

0-3 s/u...by -17.7ppg

0-3 ats...by -20.2ppg

3-0 o/u...by 7.5ppg

-2...lost 21-31...43

-2'...lost 14-40...42'

-3...lost 14-31...43

Indy is -2' & 42'

avg TO's:  3.0 vs 0.7

avg 1st-half...9.0 - 17.0

avg 2nd-half...7.3 - 17.0

Play on:  NE+2', NE m/l, Over 42'

NE 1st-half, NE 2nd-half, NE Over TT, NE alt lines

GL 

Add:  Conf road dogs between +1 & +5.5 w/a total more than 34 between weeks 9 & 17, off a s/u loss on the road & not a dog of 3+ in which both teams combined for less than 24pts...

9-0 s/u & ats

Zona+3'

Zona m/l

Non-conf road dogs of less than +3.5 in the 4pm time frame, team is off a s/u win as a road fav:

3-2 s/u & 4-0 1 ats

w/a total more than 45:

3-0 s/u & ats

Philly+3

Philly m/l

Road teams not a dog off 3+ w/a total more than 34 & not off abye, team is off a s/u loss by less than 14pts as a home dog vs Balty:

8-0 s/u

&

0-8 o/u...by -17.1ppg...all unders by -9' or more

Chargers-1

Under 47

since the '02 re-align, teams off at least 5 dogs & unders, team is off a s/u win:

0-5 o/u...by -10.9ppg

-11', -11, -8', -11' & -12

Under 42 Seat/NYJ

Did very well on Sunday. Lost NE m/l & Ariz m/l as they both lost s/u by -1pt each, but won both ats.  For MNF...

Since the '02 re-align, after week 7 MNF home favs of more than -3' w/a total of 52 or less with less than 14 days rest, both teams off a s/u win in which they both allowed between 13pts & 26pts:

0-6 s/u

0-6 ats

0-6 o/u

Play on:

Cleve+6

Cleve m/l

Under 42

Here are the games:

'23 KC-11 L...14-20

'20 Pitt-6' L...17-23

'16 Wash-6 L...15-26

'14 Dal-9' L...17-20

'05 GB-5 L...17-20

'02 TB-4' L...7-17

MNF conf road dogs in Dec, off Pitt are:  3-0 s/u & ats

thanks for the info

Add:  Denver Under Team Total

for the sdql's out there:  day=Monday and p:AFW and CHF and -4>line>p:line-3 and week>8 and total<47.5 and po:RZA>2 and season>=2001

0-3 s/u

favs of -11, -11 & -9.5...Chiefs in '23, Eagles in '22 & Rams in '01 all lost s/u

+6' is a cake walk for Cleve

Add:  Cleve+ 1st-half