Hollywood CG NFL Championship Weekend

FINAL REGULAR SEASON NFL YTD 62-54-3 +$4423

Playoffs YTD 6-4 +$11564

Overall NFL YTD 68-58-3 +$15987

Sunday 1/24/21

Green Bay Packers -3 (-110) $2200/$2000

The Pack is the team I thought would win the SB before the playoffs started.. I backed them last week and they torched the Rams number 1 D... Rodgers is on a different level this year and the Pack proved that they can destroy you on the ground as well last week. The speed of Jones the power of Williams and Dillon. Dillon could be out but who cares then it's still the speed of Jones and the power of Williams. Best WR in football in Adams and a TE in Tonyan that is coming on. Lizard and Scantling both playing well also.

Pack D is thought to be so bad but still ranked 11th in football overall I believe. And have a great pass rush. I faded the Bucs on Sunday and lost. They played a good game not turning the ball over etc and taking advantage of Noodle arm Brees picks and Cooks phantom fumble so I give them credit for that.

But this is a different animal playing against a focused and machine type Rodgers and pack offense now in the cold and possible snow of Lambeu. Factor in the Bucs beat them 38-10 in Tampa this year and the revenge angle is in play too.  

I don't usually love locking in too early with the covid etc but I don't see this game any other way and the fact one of my books had it at -3 -110 I released.  I see this line going up if anything and the Pack machine winning this game by 7+ easily 

BOL Vegas 

Classic, Mac!!  I know you have Bucs +4 in your thread. 

The nice line you got there Custer's goodbye.

-3 -110 at westgate and golden nugget now also 

Can never predict where line will go but I expect it to go to -4 quicker than -2.5 

  With you on Green Bay as well.  If Bucs wins and Brady reaches his 10th super bowl  my hats off to them. BUT in Aaron Rodgers MVP campaign, the special season Green Bay has had, revenge angle, and Raymond James stadium hosting the SB (no team has ever played in their true home stadium in a super bowl), there are too many variables to fade the Bucs.  Even in his prime years with the Patriots when Brady was in all-pro form, his wins against elite QBs (i.e. Peyton Manning) largely occurred AT HOME.  Patriots would routinely beat the Colts and Broncos at home in the playoffs but lose to them on the road in the playoffs.  This battle between two hall of fame QBs is no different.  It's tough for me to see an all-time great like Aaron Rodgers lose a regular season as badly as his team did, AND lose in the playoffs to the same team, let alone at HOME.

Adding....sure one could argue that "home field advantage" is irrelevant in a COVID year without fans, but travel is still travel, and this Buccaneers team will be traveling for a third straight week.  This figures to be tough enough on its own for players, let alone when facing a juggernaut like the Packers.  It would be no surprise to me if the Bucs defense gets gassed in the 2h and starts giving up big chunk plays that blow the game wide open.  Tom Brady and the coaching ability of Arians suggests to me this game won't get ugly, but if it were to get ugly, I can see it being in favor of Green Bay.

I agree maybe line value Bc of Brady factor also

The only thing I don’t like about this bet is the fact super bowl is in Raymond James bc eventually team will host SB

but that’s only thing I don’t like about it and a ridiculous reason to bet Tampa 

I just don’t see anyone getting in front of the Packers train especially in Lambeu and the revenge factor from this juggernaut Packer team being disgraced by the Bucs 38-10 earlier in year 

Bucs benefited from turnovers last week. I don’t see the Pack turning the ball over as Rodgers is the safest with ball of anyone in league. Just hope they don’t fumble randomly a ton which u can never predict 

@hehateme_OLD_15815

 No one seems to mention the Super Bowl being in Tampa, think it is huge . I think The Rodgers train is not stopping now! 

went 0-3 today in college hoops and two bets for 1.1K risked including a dumb 2H bet.

I stink at hoops and with only 3 football games left I SNAPPED and added $5500/$5000 on the Packers -3

Total play on the Bucs at Packers game of:

Green Bay Packers -3 (-110) $7700/$7000

Oh My

I snapped way worse just released 17K on the Packers ML also at -170. Private message me if anyone wants to see the bet tickets they were JFR

Total play on game now of:

Green Bay Packers -3 (-110) $7700/$7000

Green Bay Packers ML (-170) $17000/$10000

I don't see them losing this game and if they do they do. I am in this to try and turn my 401K into 50-100K and this is my best route to doing that.

If I lose it will be devastating but football is ending and I got 3 shots at trying to do it and I am confident in myself and this team.

I locked in now so I don't have to think about it anymore until kickoff Sunday 

I snapped and went all in on the Chiefs. Lol. But I’m only putting all my winnings this year in football. 3300 to win 2200. But I imagine if I had your bankroll it might be more. I feel the same way about KC that you do about GB. Here is hoping for a Rodgers vs Mahomes SB. 

@begginerboy

 I love the Chiefs too bro. If I lose this bet tho idk if I can attempt a comeback from a loss of this stature if it hits and Mahomes is def playing I’ll have minimum 10K on chiefs also 

There is no QB or team I trust more than GB

i underestimate the Bucs a lot probably too much so but this GB team and Rodgers I feel is the best team in Football by miles

I was on the Bucs large in the First matchup but I feel they are walking into a buzzsaw Sunday and I’m trying to win big time money on this game 

Sometimes you just have a feel for a game and you go for it. I always thought Tampa would get to this stage. Over the years betting against Brady has not been profitable for me, which is why I didn’t touch this game, but it’s not because I think Tampa is a great team. I just hate losing money betting against Brady. I see the game as a shootout with the Packers keeping their nose ahead for the game. 

@Vegas11787

 GL!!!   

This is a must win for my betting organization like I said if I lose there is no way trying to comeback from a loss of this amount.

If Pack win game I profit either 2.3K or 17K depending if they cover or not.

If the Pack lose a career ending 24.7K is lost. (I will still have 21K left but I don't know how you even attempt to comeback from a loss like this)

Bucs third straight road game, 27 degrees and possible snow showers and revenge angle from 38-10 loss all in play here. Not to mention as I said I think the Packers are the best team in football. 

I have no regrets. If you are doing this to win money you need to take chances like this sometimes... My only question is do I want to go larger... I think 24.7K though is enough lol. 

Here are my current figures in PC2 (Pro Career 2)

Overall 56-37-3 +$20613

NFL 37-23-2 +$20565

College Foot 14-7-1 $2550

College Basketball 5-7 -$2502

Like I said my 0-3 in college hoops last night convinced me I am not good in that and can't win. Loved 3 games all ABL absolute blowout losers and as I am done the point of doing this for fun I want to turn this thing into 50K so I need to take a huge shot like I did on 5 huge bets Wildcard weekend and I really trust the PACKERS in this spot.

I know if i were just play it safe and bet $550/$2200 on the Pack even if they won I would just lose it back on college hoops so I need a big hit to really crush the books.  If the Pack win and cover i am up 37K in pro career two if they lose outright I am down like 4.1K and am convinced finally there is no real way to win a huge amount like I want to. 

LETS GO PACK it looks like Rodgers year to me and if it isn't I will be forced to retire most likely. 

HCG putting his career and betting legacy on the line sunday at NPST NOON PACIFIC STANDARD TIME 

I also feel this is the time to do it being up over 20K in PC2 because I know how it gets say if I were to just bet standard amounts on the final 3 NFL games and then say I get down to only +10K profit in April..... Then I would be bombing something in College Hoops or baseball just to be up 20K or break even.

This is my shot for the huge hit while I am still up a lot.  In the past I have gone for the massive hit just to break even or barely profit. Now I am going for it while I am already up a ton. 

The 0-3 basketball disgrace last night influenced this but the Packers were a must bet for me as soon as I saw them crush the Rams and I felt very confident in them winning the SB before the playoffs started. So I am hoping me having the 0-3 disgrace last night and now not touching anything until this bet helps me out in the long term bc It made me NUKE the Packers.

Yeah. That’s enough. Don’t need to go all in. Fumbles, injuries, still lots of variables. And if/when you win I would not start betting a sport that frustrates you and is a daily grind. Takes a different mentality and you need to develop it over time and get a feel for the teams, players, season etc. if you lose a couple of big bets you’ll get really frustrated and start chasing. 

@begginerboy

 Totally I am waiting for the news that Rodgers gets covid between now and gametime lol. 

Hey, at least your QB’s brain wasn’t turned into scrambled eggs last week. 

Good luck. I’ll be rooting for you.

@Vegas11787

 I hope you get a huge payday this weekend 

Good Luck. I was on Pack spread Bucs ML last week and I am confident you will win $17K. I am pulling for you. Also want to win a small amount of coin myself. Don't waste your winnings on the Chiefs. Mahomes could very well get knocked out of the game again but I just don't see the Bills losing. I haven't been this confident in a SB run since the Ravens beat my Broncos on a Hail Mary in Peyton Manning's first year. First year HOF QB with his team has never made it to the Super Bowl. It won't happen this year. The Pack are going to do the Tampa Two Step come Sunday evening.  

Yeah I’m not sure on chiefs game now to be honest

but just praying the packers deliver for me or career ending loss most likely