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Houston at Giants - Analysis with the biggest WRITE-UP this board has to offer this weekend!

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Posted: #26
GL, Lets get it!
 
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Posted: #27
Giants blow pick em games usually go to road team Eli is a pick machine Houston wins be careful better games out there to play
 
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Posted: #28
Like the play Scal and already on it. Appreciate the effort and opinion. but why do you have to say things like:

I'll try to reduce the size of my write-ups for the reader who has a shorter attention span. Even at that, this will be the biggest write-up of the week on one game on this entire board.

Just makes you look like you think you are better than the rest. We both know this why so many people give you such much crap. Which I know you love! Does hearing yourself talk make you feel that good about yourself?

This is NOT a bash of you or the play, Love the play and BOL 
Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad
 
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Posted: #29

Love the write up!!!!!  I'm with you... this is must win for NYGs.

 
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Posted: #30
Here's my attention span: I read  the topic and I know the play is the rat Giants.  Am I wrong?  Usually am.
 
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Posted: #31
Good luck scal..

Long time ...

Good luck sir

Pakalolo sweeeeett
 
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Posted: #32
What's up, Bro? I am on the G-men here as well. It sets up nicely for them. Buy low-sell high...we have that here.

Also, why do people always say to New Yorkers, "You think you are better than us?" It happens to me almost everyday!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #33
Giants get the win today. We totally agree!
 
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Posted: #34
I have no opinion on the game but good luck Scal,
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by 1TimeLucky1:

Man I wrote a long a$$ write up and poof it was gone. Probably one of the longest rebuttal write ups this week  So here is the cliff notes.

I love the work you do but I disagree on this one. 

GL but don't go heavy on this one.

Lol. Love the cliff notes. 
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by St2ee:

As I'm sure you know Scal, I am a die hard lifer Gmen fan.  I must say I hate the way we have played football for the last 20 months or so.  Where have the days of Thunder and lightning gone?  If you can't block you can't run.  Our Power running game opened up the passing lanes for Eli and this switch from Gilbride was welcomed by myself.  I knew It would take some time, as most complete offensive overhauls do.  Manning definitely looked better last week.  I am not expecting them to put 34pts on the board, but I do think they win!!!!! Donnell has definitely been a pleasant surprise and should have a big week.  Hopefully Cruz can get involved early and often as well.
I am with you on this one buddy, and that usually works out well for us.  Good luck my man, and Go GMEN!!

Thunder is as loud as a packet of pop rocks and lightening is static electricity.

As you noted, when we agree (and we both know the Giants well) we win.
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by PapaShango:


Very good defense?  Why, because of JJ Watt?  

Football Outsiders has Hou ranked 16th in Def Efficiency, 8th in Pass, and 32nd in Rush Def Eff. 

If Giants can run the ball and Eli can limit mistakes, Giants can win this game.  I hate the Giants and hope they lose, but let's be realistic and not be prisoner of the moment here.

Great point.

JJ watt anchors the perception this defense is better than it is. Relevant stats here especially for a team that badly needs to pick up it's run game in the Giants. 32nd run defense efficiency will help.
 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by smarterthanyou:

Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

1. Preseason lines

Cantor gaming releases lines before the season for all weeks and when there is a huge disparity, it should be looked into. The preseason line fore this game was -5 Giants. It is now a pickem on 5Dimes and +1 on Bovada.

That's a 6 point swing and among the biggest of the week. Worse it's from a favorite to an underdog.

When it's a home dog, that makes the swing against the previous favorite even more attractive. So just on that basis alone, you have have to open the door and consider the Giants as a bet.

 

is there empirical data from previous pre-season lines that support these statements?



I do not but it's good you vet statements like that from anyone.

But there is something to be said about it:

1) the line swing holds "inherent" value in the team it swung against
2) in my experience, this has been a helpful line comparison when capping as game and has worked out well, for me.
 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by glyde69:

Good stuff Scal. I'm with u on the Giants all the way! 


We were on the jets and faded the giants in week 1 and now we support the giants. We know how the former worked out.
 
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Posted: #40
@cap @summa
 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by MTFN50:

thanks for the write up .Everyone doesn't have to go  with so much depth if they don't want to but at least give a thought ,All these people post picks ,not even followed by a covers posted record and or any thought. I guess they like seeing there pick in print??? we could cut out the blind pick threads or the 10 GL or ,  (1 or 2 is plenty good wishes)I  this forum might actually do what it suppose to .Pick winners to beat the book ,,Who cares who right or wrong  

Giants PK  this is a desperate must win game at home for Giants .I just cant count out the situation.I did flip over to the Giants .Texans are better team and will run the ball with or with out Foster,but if the Giants can slow down the run they can grab this   

..


No problem. If you read the write up, I only hope the reader takes something out of it that can help them!
 
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Posted: #42
Sure Giants seem like the play. But can you really trust them?

I can't. Bet Houston or fade
 
MVP
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Posted: #43
"Just makes you look like you think you are better than the rest. We both know this why so many people give you such much crap. Which I know you love! Does hearing yourself talk make you feel that good about yourself?"

i say that if a fella wants to say such things to feel good,hey wtf,it has not cost u a dime and a guy feels good...no harm, interesting psych ,but no harm to us. imo there is a better play than the gints.   saints-10 is fun.
bigFnPOO
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by uclalumnus:

Dammit. Going Texans and know you're going opposite? Im screwed.  Ha

GL

 

It's the Giants Texans not Pats Raiders! No need to fret before kickoff.

 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by billsneedhelp:

NIce write up.  I think this is a classic case of over and undervalued teams in a given week. Stock i really high on Houston and stock is really low on Giants. So lots of love for Houston this week justified.  Houston looks like the obvious and easy pick to most but I look for the Giants to come out strong this week at home. I also remember who houston has at the qb postion.

But no way I can back this Giants team at this point so I will stay away. GL

 

I don't blame ya. I follow the Giants every day so I have the confidence in this one. If

 
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Posted: #46

@rjas @Saigon

@Peewee- Yes thank you. Which is the reason for the line move. And I would have supported the Giants if he was playing at +2.5 as well.

 
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Posted: #47

Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321:

Scal...I completely agree with you......let's get it today....

 

 

 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by aNTsKiLLz:

GL, Lets get it!
 
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Posted: #49

Quote Originally Posted by captainandseven:

Giants blow pick em games usually go to road team Eli is a pick machine Houston wins be careful better games out there to play

 

I like this game so I'm gonna play it.

 
 
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Posted: #50
Thanks for the "long" write up. I personally love it!! Win or lose, it's good to see the reason for backing a side vs the majority on the site that goes something like: "Bet the house on team X! The reason? They are better team." Thanks for even taking the time out to type out the write up. I for one, appreciate it.
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