Posted:
#1
Books on handicapping say that the home field advantage is worth 3 points. But before assigning the 3 point advantage, they're basing their point predictions on historical stats which don't specify who the home team was. So when you look at past scores, you don't know which team had a 3 point advantage by playing at home. Would you compensate for this incomplete historical data by adding between 0 to 2 points to your home team's score prediction instead of 3? If so, how many, exactly? Is 3 still considered the best number to use, in spite of not knowing who the home team was for each past game that you're basing your predictions on?
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