if people bet overs on the props cant see how many could make it there with just 2nd half left? Hurts has 39 yards passing, will he break a 100? AJ brown has 10 receiving, will he break even 40? The list goes on.
I already ripped up my fun 8 team lottery prop for this game. God couldnt help ,my bet win, loll
Good. I hate prop players. Never met one that was a consistent winner. They're the same as parlay players. They haven't a clue what they're doing most of them. They're a bookie's wet dream, mostly all fantasy football nerds who migrated to betting props when DK and FD became actual sportsbooks. They can't cap actual games to save their life these noobs who bet props and then complain all over social media when they lose. I wish I was their bookie tbh. Seems so stupid to me watching a game worrying about which player is getting the ball. All I want to be worrying about is if the team is winning or losing. Your guy gets hurt the bet is dead.
Great post, agree 100 percent
I only will play a lottery prop bet for 5-10 bucks and thats only if i didnt bet a side or total in that game and if i was actually gonna watch the game, just for entertainment. I know when i place the bet, it will take an act of God to win it.
Trying to cap players in my opinion is next to impossible, because you just cant figure out if the player is actually gonna show up physically and mentally to play. At least when you bet a side on a game, you have the rest of the team to still cash your bet, if 1 player is stinking the joint up.
Completely disagree with the props. There is so much money to be made on them. I have made a killing off them all year. The key is having 8-10 books so you get value with them. Look at defenses and their weaknesses. That is a start. GB/Philly screamed under for this game when it comes to passing. Tonight will be more fireworks. Daniels over rushing is a great one. McMillan is another good bet for going over his yards. Irving rushing/receiving over is a good bet too. Daniels loves throwing the ball to Ertz of late so that is a great opportunity. Over TB kicker over field goals. Just a small run here, but I feel very confident that these will hit.
LOL this is such a Boomer comment.
Thats all great if Ertz keeps getting the ball. You think tampa doesnt know that as well. Its up and down with players each week. Some weeks they will play great and other weeks stink.
In closing, if prop bets were so easily beatable the sharps would be killing books and quite honestly they wouldnt be offering them any more. Look at correlated parlays, books were getting killed with them and thats why sports books got rid of them. Sports books are advertising on tv and radio non stop to get players to be prop bets? Why you think that is? Not because players are beating them. I would bet books would love to just book prop bets and parlays.
All bets have a chance to win or lose. With player prop bets if a player does not get hurt they can make money for you. If they get injured you are done.
So you are betting on an event to happen. Meaning over yards or whatever. Although the chances are slim you are also betting will the player get hurt.
Again money can be made many ways. Find out what you are good at and your chances increase.
also the juice players are paying on prop bets is insane. Most prop bets with any value in betting are so frigging juice up, you gotta be nuts to bet them.
Just looked at ertzs receptions. book has it at 4+ receptions minus 304. next bet up is 5+ minus 130. Just looking at that line and am not a prop player, i have to think books dont believe hes gonna get 4 to receptions. If you make this bet, you gotta bet the 5, cause if you bet the 4 and lose the bet, that minus 304 juice is hard to overcome long term and will send you to the gamblers poor house
Or you win if you take the Under. You don’t just have to take Overs and TD’s.
Unless of course a poster keeps blurting out plays and no record is kept. Why someone could martingale to infinity. How many posters post and update their record on a daily or weekly basis? 20 maybe.
This is true as well. Great point.
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