Posted:
#1
Why isn't there some sharp dude with a boatload of money hammering this line until kingdom come?
If NE -3 is really that much of a gift where NE backers think the line is up to 3 points off, wouldn't it be getting pounded into oblivion? It doesn't make sense. Sure, there are some big boy bets on Atlanta to counter the overall action, but if the line really gave that much value, especially to the most successful football team of the modern era, surely there would be enough money being bet to overcome the Atlanta money and move the line?
The greatest coach/QB combo in the history of Pro Football is being given a line that is 3 points off yet there is not enough money to move the line? That cannot be true. If it were true, there would be someone willing to risk more than seven figures on this game. From a pure investment perspective, if there were that much value, again sorry to repeat myself, and that value comes from backing THE MOST RIDICULOUSLY SUCCESSFUL COACH/QB DUO POSSIBLY IN THE HISTORY OF SPORTS INVOLVING A BALL, someone would have to invest in it. It would be too good of an investment to not take chance at.
Are the big Atlanta bettors really that insane? Have the linesmakers lost their minds?
I refuse to believe that there are enough Atlanta backers willing to risk six figure wagers on a team that should in reality be getting 3 more points on the spread, that they would be able to counter the action from NE backers who see 3 points of value. The betting markets would not allow that to happen, its just economics.
Or is this what happens when you become a whale? That six figure amounts matters so little to you that you would bet against Brady and Belichik on what appears to be an unfavorable line?
It would be one thing if it were just a few rich idiots who didn't know anything about football and just wanted some action on Atlanta, but its the linesmakers as well who believed that even before any money was placed that a line of +3/-3 was correct.
If there is truly 3 points of value on the NE side, the books know Atlanta will cover. If the game should actually be a FG either way, then I'm still confused.
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