In game betting now 14-2 last 2 weeks

14-2 started with $50, now +$1,313.74

Been betting college and NFL for years. Just started this 2 weeks ago. Note: all bets posted here in NFL or college threads immediately after placing the wagers, so you can look it up.

Finally figured out something that works. I find that by waiting at least 8 plays, I can see which team is bringing the juice, or the mojo. What team wants to be there. it's amazing how clear it becomes in the first quarter. Now winning my bets by 2 touchdowns. And happy I have chosen "the right team" finally, so the games are enjoyable!

Anyone else doing the same thing?  ($ amount bet, usually around -120-130 in game) 

11/28/2023  STEELERS at BENGALS TOTAL UNDER 41.5  Live Won $200.00

11/27/2023 BEARS at VIKINGS TOTAL UNDER 41.5 Live Won $200.00

11/25/2023 FLORIDA STATE at FLORIDA SIDE FLORIDA PK Live Lost $200.00 (cashed out of $850, now on remainder)

11/24/2023 OREGON STATE at OREGON SIDE OREGON -18.5 Live Won $300.00

11/24/2023 OREGON STATE at OREGON TOTAL UNDER 47.5 Live Won $200.00

11/24/2023 DOLPHINS at JETS SIDE DOLPHINS -8.0 Live Won $200.00

11/23/2023 49ERS at SEAHAWKS SIDE 49ERS -6.5 Live Won $200.00

11/20/2023 EAGLES at CHIEFS SIDE CHIEFS -3.0 Live Lost $200.00

11/20/2023 EAGLES at CHIEFS TOTAL UNDER 44.5 Live Won $200.00

11/19/2023 VIKINGS at BRONCOS SIDE VIKINGS +2.5 Live Won $140.00

11/19/2023 RAIDERS at DOLPHINS SIDE RAIDERS +9.5 Live Won $100.00

11/18/2023 WASHINGTON at OREGON STATE TOTAL UNDER 66.5 Live Won $150.00

11/16/2023 BENGALS at RAVENS SIDE RAVENS +1.0 Live Won $79.00

11/13/2023 BRONCOS at BILLS SIDE BRONCOS +7.5 Live Won $50

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Hope this helps someone!

I do not bet pregame anymore. I wait until I see at least 8-15 plays.

Good shit imma tail next time!!!

@Espn80000

Ive also found live betting to be strong when the book over prices a favorite or under prices a dog. So if a line was say 7 pts and the fav goes up a score or even 10 pts the books seem to over price the favorite especially if the game is early on and Ive found good value in going the other side when the line is far away from the original line and if the other team seems to have a pulse and the ability to compete.

Sometimes when a tight line starts slow and the book starts to edge into the bet pricing it can be profitable too, so say a 3 pt line and the dog scores a FG first, that brings the live line down and affordable if you think the fav still wins/covers.

I think the key on live betting is to not go crazy and be on the button to take a line, it is changing so fast you can miss a move in a few seconds.

ZigZagTheory

Mangowoman

wallstreetcappers

So are you posting your plays as you place them (after 8-15 plays) on here? 

Do you post them live when you play them? 

@MrFreedo

 He did in his original thread

@Charo757

 yes

@MrFreedo

 From last night, late first Q:

POSTED: 18 hours ago#2
BEARS at VIKINGS
Proposition: TOTAL
Outcome: UNDER 41.5-120
Risking $200.00 To win $166.67

To see my posts, click on my name and see them. (NFL here titled In Game Betting, College in College, duh.)

from above: "Note: all bets posted here in NFL or college threads immediately after placing the wagers"

I mostly do live

I like @Live but my book crushes me on Vig 

BleedBlue33

LVTruck - yeah, the spread generally goes to a .30 differential, like -155/+125 for opposite teams. For me, it is the difference between winning and losing, so it is way worth it. 

@Espn80000

 Been following, keep up the great work 

@cusefan8711 

Thanks, Bud! Let's make it 15!

Today, I am switching up a bit. I think the Dallas spread will go higher, and at this vig of -106ish, gotta hop on now...Once the game starts, it will be -130. So (gulp!):

Dallas Cowboys -9 -107
For Game
$200.00
Ticket Number: 743356696-1
Accepted Date: 11/29/23 07:45 GMT-8
Amount:
$200.00
Status:
Pending
To win:
$186.92
Type:
Spread

This W & W writeup says it all, and I agree. (All the thing I am looking for, and don't think the 'Boys will choke with Uncle Jerry getting Taylor Swift airtime.)

Rating: *****
The Cowboys will be extra focused in this game. The Seahawks are vying for the same wildcard spots in the playoffs that the Cowboys are battling for, owning the head to head tiebreaker is huge if the standings are tight late. Dallas will not want to miss an opportunity to give the Seahawks another loss, and grab that all important tiebreaker. Dallas also has a brutal stretch coming up, after this week they play the Eagles, Bills and Dolphins in consecutive weeks; this is not a look-ahead spot, it's a must win spot. The Cowboys do not want to be coming off a loss heading into those games. For the Seahawks, Geno Smith has begun to regress to the mean, and look like the mediocre quarterback he has been for the majority of his career. In his past five games he has thrown for under 250 yards three times, and has just a 5-4 TD-INT ratio. The Cowboys have the 5th best passing attack in the league based on yards per game, while the Seahawks pass defense ranks 22nd in the league. Prescott will be able to pass all over this secondary, and put up numbers in a hurry. Cowboys will be motivated here.

And...not good when your coach is dumbfounded, "confused" ie: doesn't know how to fix it: From Covers' writeup:

Seahawks coach Pete Carroll said of the altered practice schedule with back-to-back weekday contests, "We're right in the midst of it. It's just turning your brain around because you feel like you're on a different planet here. So yeah, there's a challenge to that. But that's why we tried to get right back into the routine so it feels the same regardless. It's kind of like a bit of a time warp and we just go at it."

The Seahawks have lost two in a row and three of four. That doesn't bode well for their playoff hopes, as they follow the game against the Cowboys (8-3) with a rematch against the 49ers (8-3) in Santa Clara, Calif., and then a home game against the defending NFC champion Philadelphia Eagles (10-1).

The Seahawks took a 17-16 road loss against the Los Angeles Rams before falling to the 49ers, and Seattle's only touchdown vs. San Francisco came on a pick-six by linebacker Jordyn Brooks.

"I'm concerned. I'm concerned about our club. I'm concerned about everything we're doing right now," Carroll said. "That (loss to San Francisco) will make you challenge everything, which is why you're asking all the questions. There's questions to be asked and answers to be found."

Carroll seemed especially miffed by the team's lack of offensive production the past two weeks.

"We have unique talents and we got to make sure we're maximizing that and I feel like we're not," Carroll said. "I feel like we're not seeing stuff."

The Cowboys, meanwhile, have won five of six games since a 42-10 loss to the 49ers on Oct. 8.

@cusefan8711

 Btw, I know a guy who used to work with Wildhack at ESPN 

Live betting really offers some good deals. Its amazing how they figure that sht out so fast and get it up for betting. Its computers at work but still amazing how they set all of that stuff. Now late in the game they will heavily juice a juicy line. You can watch the live lines and almost know whats going on before the ball is snapped on tv.

Makes sense. I definitely do much better live betting.

Good luck 

Dallas up to 9 1/2 this morning at my book. 

Nice stat by @jefff - fading Dallas who is 19-0 SU and 17-2 ATS on turf seems to be a very bad idea.