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Interesting take on how to bet NFL

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Prospect
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Posted: #226
What's up poopdollar? I have been followed your pick. What do you like this Sunday games?
 
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Posted: #227
Quote Originally Posted by ham_choi:

So your system would say pick the
Browns +3
Indy +2.5 Because 65 percent of the public go with the fav or put another way kc and jets have a 65 percent chance of winning those game. ???

PLEASE read this thread before you ask these questions.
 
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Posted: #228
thxs for the insight 'Nerd...bol
 
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Posted: #229
Quote Originally Posted by Debo71:

Quote Originally Posted by ham_choi:

So your system would say pick the Browns +3 Indy +2.5 Because 65 percent of the public go with the fav or put another way kc and jets have a 65 percent chance of winning those game. ???
PLEASE read this thread before you ask these questions.

My ???? Was how can he differentiate between picking gb and not Cleveland or Indy. There are so many games with spread that falls into those categories. I like his pick on gb. But if you following his bet, he shouldn't be blind eye.
 
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Posted: #230
Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:

Falcons off OT loss and play next Thursday...


Packers and Patriots my teaser of the week..
 
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Posted: #231
Quote Originally Posted by ham_choi:

PLEASE read this thread before you ask these questions.
My ???? Was how can he differentiate between picking gb and not Cleveland or Indy. There are so many games with spread that falls into those categories. I like his pick on gb. But if you following his bet, he shouldn't be blind eye.

The information is in the first post on page 1. 

"...Now how do you select those key games throughout the 17 week season? The games that the program I use that selects a team to win by 65% and only by 65% no other number.  If a team is selected to win by exactly 65% you wager on the opposite team..."

I underlined the important part. You wouldn't know that there are many games that fall into this category because you do not have access to his program!!!
 
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Posted: #232
AFN - is GB still a play with all these injuries? 
 
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Posted: #233
GB +3 !!!  So damn close for the win but I didn't take ML either.  Good job AFN.
 
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Posted: #234
VegasW 

Disney sure put on a show on Sunday night prime time with the Cowboys  10k halfway into the season I'm not falling for it Disney . 
 
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Posted: #235
Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:

QUOTE#177
Posted: 10/19/2016 2:18:04 AM
NFL 2016

7-4-2 (65% trend plays)

Total = $6600

4-4 (program percentage plays)

Total = $-250

Bankroll Total = $6350

65% trend plays still profit halfway into the season. Gotta love how 8k was moosed with the colts who could not stop that fluke 14 pts under 3 minutes against the Texans .  The cardinals game by far the worse moose ever since watching the NFL. 

Obviously program percentage plays have been a push. I guess I can admit it's my degenerate in me that wants to play these games. It actually keeps me busy which at this point -250 I can live with the hit to the bankroll...

Packers @ Falcons (Falcons 65% to win)

A buddy of mine asked wtf is up with the packers? Told him just wait till they are dogs this season  Made a play on the Falcons against the panthers even took the moneyline a few weeks ago....same situation here but I'm gonna pass on the ML plays and just double up on the spread because at this rate anything and I mean ANYTHING can happen in the NFL 

Pick Packers $4300 to win $4000 ( waited on the public to push it to +3) 

NFL 2016

8-4-2 (65% trend plays)

Bankroll Total = $10,350

Falcons @ Bucs (Falcons 65% chance to win)

Took Falcons against panthers and won....faded the Falcons last week and won....now Falcons are road chalk for a position to increase the bankroll....waited on public to push it to +4 

Pick Bucs +4 $4450 to win $4000

Bills @ Seahawks (Seahawks 65% chance to win)

Percy Harvin coming out of retirement is all I have to say....

Pick Bills +7 $4800 to win $4000


 
Prospect
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Posted: #236
that was a long post and this is a long tread, makes me dizzy after reading 
 
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Posted: #237
GL AFN
i can't follow this play as of now, too many mixed messages on my part.  regardless, i hope it hits for you.  keep up the good work.

 
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Posted: #238
Great job AFN! I'm with you all the way!

 
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Posted: #239
where you at bro.

Game starts in little over an hour from now. 

post your pics son.

turn this garbage around 
 
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Posted: #240
Interesting system! Following and jumping in with you! Any plays today?
 
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Posted: #241
 
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Posted: #242
NFL week 10

Patriots 55% chance to win 

Seahawks $2400 to win $2000 
 
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Posted: #243
What about your system needing to spit out a 65% probability of winning in order for there to be a bet??. Safe to assume this is an opinion??     
 
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Posted: #244
Quote Originally Posted by dogstyle:

What about your system needing to spit out a 65% probability of winning in order for there to be a bet??. Safe to assume this is an opinion??     


DONT need a system for tonight, seahawks win SU
 
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Posted: #245
Quote Originally Posted by dogstyle:

What about your system needing to spit out a 65% probability of winning in order for there to be a bet??. Safe to assume this is an opinion??     

Was a typo I meant to type 65% I actually had steelers at 65% but been busy this week to post early  will not count Cowboys as a win for the record....
 
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Posted: #246
Quote Originally Posted by Jrod6:



DONT need a system for tonight, seahawks win SU

Good call on the SU 
 
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Posted: #247
 
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Posted: #248
Posting in ebin thread so I can find it again later


 
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Posted: #249
Panthers 65% to win 

Pick Saints +3.5 $2200 to win $2000

The bucs beat panthers in Carolina...the offense numbers are double that with Brees and company 
 
 
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Posted: #250
Good cull bud 
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