Johnson's NFL Picks - Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars +9.5  (-110)

The Chiefs have stumbled the past couple weeks, and the Jaguars looked like shit on Monday night.  But I just can't see this game ending with a double digit victory for the Chiefs.  Without David Garrard in there, I see the Jags running the ball quite a bit.  Kansas City still gets the win, but not by 10+

Prediction:  Chiefs  20  Jaguars 13

Atlanta Falcons -3 (-120)

The Falcons are a much better team at home, and I think they will be looking to make a huge statement after last week.  The Bengals had a much needed bye week, but they are still a team with a lot of problems.  I look for the Falcons to pick off Carson Palmer a few times, possibly even one for a touchdown.

Prediction:  Falcons 28  Bengals 17

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Miami Dolphins OVER 40.5  (-110)

Way over here.  Play of the week for me.  Both teams are absolutely rolling coming into this week.  The Steelers got Big Ben his easy layup game last week against the Browns just to shake off the rust.  The Dolphins are high as a kite after their overtime win against the Packers in Lambeau.  The Dolphins allow a lot more points at home, and they will bring out some trick plays in order to keep up.

Prediction:  Dolphins  30  Steelers  27


Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5  (-110)  (Just needed the conversion)

Once again, my favorite trend in sports.  The Bucs have had a great win, then an ugly loss, then a great win, then an ugly loss.  This is their week for a great win.  The Rams are getting a lot of credit, but haven't won on the road.  They lost to a shitty Raiders team and got crushed by an equally shitty Lions team.  The Bucs aren't good against the run, and the Rams have an advantage there...but I don't like a rookie QB on the road in a great stadium.

Prediction:  Bucs  20  Rams 13

Buffalo Bills +14  (-110) 

The Ravens were great last season as double digit favorites...going 5-1.  This season however, they lost as a double digit favorite at home against the Brownies.  It almost seems like the exact same situation once again this week.  The Ravens coming off a tough loss on the road against a rival...returning home to play a team that they should whoop the shit out of.  The Bills don't do a lot of things well, but after watching the Ravens this season, I really cant' see them blowing out a lot of teams this year....even the Bills.

Prediction:  Ravens  23  Bills 13

Adding in:

Cardinals OVER 7.5 2nd half

because of your thread i changed my bet from miami to miami over.  guess it didn't matter but nice job anyway.  good luck the rest of the way.

New England Patriots vs. San Diego Chargers UNDER 47.5  (-110)

I am going to ride the lunch pail Patriots and the UNDER every week until it loses.  I don't see it happening this week.  As we saw last week against a Ravens offense that has some solid weapons, the Patriots defense is getting better every week.  Not sure if they have enough to win the game, but I can't see them giving up or scoring a lot of points.

Prediction:  Patriots  24  Chargers 17

Cardinals OVER 7.5 2nd half 

That was a hell of a game