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Johnson's Week 4 NFL

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Legend
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Posted: #1
OVERALL RECORD:   6-7 (-5.1u)

Record vs. Spread:  1-6  (-10u)
Record vs. O/U:  5-1  (+4.9u)
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Thank goodness for the O/U's this year!  Still early on and plenty of time for a nice run.  A lot of surprises in Week 4, I've found that after a week of surprises it generally goes back to normal.


Week 4 Line Projections:

San Francisco (-4)  vs. St. Louis    41
Baltimore  (-2.5)  vs.  Buffalo    42.5
Cincinnati  (-5.5)  vs.  Cleveland   46.5
Chicago  (-3)  vs. Detroit    47
NY Giants  vs.  Kansas City   (-7)   44.5
Arizona  vs.  Tampa Bay  (-2.5)   40
Indianapolis  (-8.5)  vs.  Jacksonville   48
Seattle  (-5.5)  vs.  Houston   50
Pittsburgh  vs.  Minnesota  (-3)   45
NY Jets  vs.  Tennessee  (-5)   44
Washington  (-2.5)  vs.  Oakland   45.5
Philadelphia  vs.  Denver  (-8.5)   52.5
Dallas  (-3)  vs. San Diego   47.5
New England  (-2)  vs. Atlanta   50
Miami  vs.  New Orleans  (-4.5)   46
 
Legend
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Posted: #2
Looking like some totals are the farthest things off on my predictions.  Early bigger leans would be the OVER on Seattle/Houston and the OVER in Indy/Jacksonville
 
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Posted: #3
I know everyone said it last week and Carolina took it to them, but are the giants really a td dog against the chiefs?  I think not 
 
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Posted: #4
If the Giants put up 0 against the Panthers on the road and looked that awful...how much  can they put up against the formidable Chiefs defense?  Manning, Cruz, and Nicks are great players but outside of that they don't have much.
 
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Posted: #5
GMen beat KC straight up dude.. Dont know why people preception on a teams last game lingers to the next wk. Carolinas strength was their d line giving Eli no time to throw, KC d line is good, not great and ELI will exploit KC secondary. GMen by a TD. easiest bet of the wk dude..
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by WussieMan:

GMen beat KC straight up dude.. Dont know why people preception on a teams last game lingers to the next wk. Carolinas strength was their d line giving Eli no time to throw, KC d line is good, not great and ELI will exploit KC secondary. GMen by a TD. easiest bet of the wk dude..


My perception on the Giants is coming from their first 3 weeks, not just last week. 

24th in yards allowed per game
27th in rushing yards allowed per game
32nd in points allowed per game
T32nd in sacks

They have arguably the worst defense in the league right now.  They can't rush the ball worth a damn because they are generally playing from behind. 

Eli Manning is ranked 27th in the league in QBR and has 8int's this season.  Kansas City is ranked 5th in the league in pass defense despite going up against Tony Romo and Michael Vick...two of the more pass happy offenses in the league. 

The Giants are just not good right now, while the Chiefs do the simple things very well.  They buckle down on defense, and they don't turn the ball over.
 
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Posted: #7
Chicago Bears +3  (2.3 to win 2)

Jumping on this one now as I feel as though it will be bet down throughout the week.  Lions just lost a veteran leader and offensive weapon with Nate Burleson.  Lions haven't been a legitimate playoff team this year, and have lost the last three meetings against the Bears.  Bears are for real this year, while the Lions are not.

Prediction:  Bears 27  Lions 23
 
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Posted: #8
Like the Bears as well, way to move before it dropped. At 2.5 already on my book. Gonna wait and see what the line does now that its off 3 before making a play. GL this week!
 
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Posted: #9
leaning on Ravens here!
They starting to get their groove back after an emotional win with their leader Ray Lewis watching.
not pulling the trigger yet though.

 
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Posted: #10

Quote Originally Posted by WussieMan:

GMen beat KC straight up dude.. Dont know why people preception on a teams last game lingers to the next wk. Carolinas strength was their d line giving Eli no time to throw, KC d line is good, not great and ELI will exploit KC secondary. GMen by a TD. easiest bet of the wk dude..

dude....if eli were to exploit a defense, it should've been the panthers...yea their front seven is good and they created a lot of pressure but so is KC's....KC's defense as a whole is much better than panthers....dontari poe is real nice with it right now...especially houston..that boy already has 7.5 sacks...paired up with tamba hali??? forget about it bro..lets not forget about derrick johnson...brandon flowers/sean smith/ dunta robinson trio with main man eric berry....what you SHOULD'VE said is that eli's o line is playing like some b*tches and cant protect him for sh*t....but this is the NFL and its any given sunday...and i guess the G men are "due" but i wouldn't even touch them until they get their sh*t straight

 
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Posted: #11

oh yea i forgot to mention that panthers secondary is some trash...that was the main point of my arguement but i forgot bout it and got carried away talking bout kc defense

 

BOL though

 

 
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Posted: #12
bad teams do show up and surprise people  gmen may take a lot of peoples cash this weekend
 
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Posted: #13
no homer patriots bet? lol

i remember u in nba forums. u were always taking celtics. man u were horrible and it seems ats here in nfl is no different.

let me take an obvious guess. u took pats first 2 games and went 0-2 with those? lololol
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by fruit20:

bad teams do show up and surprise people  gmen may take a lot of peoples cash this weekend


SMARTEST THING I HAVE HEARD ALL DAY IN THIS FORUM
 
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Quote Originally Posted by infamous-mobb:

no homer patriots bet? lol

i remember u in nba forums. u were always taking celtics. man u were horrible and it seems ats here in nfl is no different.

let me take an obvious guess. u took pats first 2 games and went 0-2 with those? lololol

lol dude im sorry but i dont think anyone can take u seriously with that avatar picture of yours...please tell me thats not you LOL....thats some serious wigger-ness right there

 
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Posted: #16
I agree with the gmen. I watched every play of the boys/chiefs game and they r not as good as their record. I just don't see that O with a smith doing much and eli and the o will do enough. Its not that I think the giants r a great team but I think the chiefs t way overvalued here.
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by infamous-mobb:

no homer patriots bet? lol

i remember u in nba forums. u were always taking celtics. man u were horrible and it seems ats here in nfl is no different.

let me take an obvious guess. u took pats first 2 games and went 0-2 with those? lololol


I bet on them week 1 when Jeff Tuel was supposed to be the QB and bet against them in Week 2. 

I am one of the better NBA cappers year in and year out as well.  Thanks for your opinions though, clearly a valuable member of the forums.
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

Chicago Bears +3  (2.3 to win 2)

Jumping on this one now as I feel as though it will be bet down throughout the week.  Lions just lost a veteran leader and offensive weapon with Nate Burleson.  Lions haven't been a legitimate playoff team this year, and have lost the last three meetings against the Bears.  Bears are for real this year, while the Lions are not.

Prediction:  Bears 27  Lions 23


I like the bears to go 6-0 in the start of this year... Cutler looks real confident in the team has has right now. should ride them for a while...
 
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Posted: #20
Cm, Bears Sprinkle small on ML... Bears win SU...... A rusty and Crusty Redskins team played em tooth and nail... Bears have much more experience and a better roster to defend Staford to Johnson + the bears are finally protecting Cutty and the results are in .... 



Concerning Thurs NIght: Was planing on sterring clear as both teams are laying stinkers on tape but after looking at some stuff the niners and STL are playing about as bad as each other... That being said STL is coming off a longish road trip with Fishers foot in their behind... they always measure themselves against 9ers and Hawks... SF lost A. Smith and is now heading into STL.... Seems too me when teams are even and home team still getting three points... gotta take the points..... Let me know what you think....

Haters hate B/c they aint........

MOBb-Squeak im lookin at u
 
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Posted: #21
Bears away looking sharp
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by BadGnOmens:

Cm, Bears Sprinkle small on ML... Bears win SU...... A rusty and Crusty Redskins team played em tooth and nail... Bears have much more experience and a better roster to defend Staford to Johnson + the bears are finally protecting Cutty and the results are in .... 



Concerning Thurs NIght: Was planing on sterring clear as both teams are laying stinkers on tape but after looking at some stuff the niners and STL are playing about as bad as each other... That being said STL is coming off a longish road trip with Fishers foot in their behind... they always measure themselves against 9ers and Hawks... SF lost A. Smith and is now heading into STL.... Seems too me when teams are even and home team still getting three points... gotta take the points..... Let me know what you think....

Haters hate B/c they aint........

MOBb-Squeak im lookin at u


The only thing I'm looking at for that game would be the UNDER...same as the past couple of weeks.
 
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Posted: #23
I went heavy on the Bears last game but I decided to stay away from this game.  I knew they could beat the Steelers but the Lions may be a tougher opponent to beat.   Good luck though. 
 
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Posted: #24
Best of Luck.....
 
 
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Posted: #25
BOL Bud like the Bears as well
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