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Johnson's Week 6 NFL

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Legend
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Posted: #1
OVERALL RECORD:   12-13 (-7.6u)

Record vs. Spread: 3-9  (-13.6u)
Record vs. O/U:  8-4  (+4.6u)
Record vs. Props:  1-0  (+1.4)
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Definite improvement with a 4-2 in Week 5 including a chase loss with the 2nd half under in Broncos/Cowboys.  Hopefully this is a start of a nice run.
 
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Posted: #2
so have u looked at the spread and pretend to predict lines?
 
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Week 6 Line Projections:

NY Giants vs. Chicago  (-6.5)   44.5

Cincinnati (-1.5)  vs. Buffalo   41
Detroit  vs.  Cleveland  (-2)   40
Philadelphia  vs.  Tampa Bay  (-2)  42
Green Bay  (-5)  vs.  Baltimore  47.5
St. Louis  vs.  Houston  (-3.5)  45
Oakland  vs.  Kansas City  (-9)  44.5
Carolina  vs.  Minnesota  (-4.5)  42
Pittsburgh  vs.  NY Jets  (-3)  39
Tennessee  vs.  Seattle  (-8.5)  43.5
Jacksonville  vs.  Denver  (-27)   55
Arizona  vs.  San Francisco  (-10)   45.5
New Orleans  vs.  New England (PK)   49.5
Washington  vs.  Dallas  (-3.5)  52

Indianapolis  (-2.5)  vs.  San Diego  46.5
 
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Quote Originally Posted by accexpert:

so have u looked at the spread and pretend to predict lines?


No I have not...the only spread I"m aware of is the Broncos/Jaguars spread because it's been highly publicized for the past couple of weeks.

I look on ESPN.com NFL Schedule page.  Don't look ahead to any spreads.
 
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Thursday night game I would lean towards the points...Giants have to put up a fight at some point...and Cutler is good for a few interceptions.

Would take a hard look at the UNDER in Philly/Tampa with two young inexperienced QBs

Whether you like it or not the Jets are rolling right now...and the Steelers are not...why are they favored?

Carolina couldn't contend with Arizona on the road, and the Vikings are a similar team, I would expect a similar result.

I am really liking Buffalo getting a ton of points


 
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Posted: #6
See some value on Houston , the over in philly/Tampa  and Baltimore
 
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We shall see...not sure what to make of the Texans right now...they are a hot mess
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

We shall see...not sure what to make of the Texans right now...they are a hot mess

Texans should rely heavily on their hard nosed run game this Sunday. Rams are terrible against the run, which sets up the Texans play action style of offense that Schaub is so accustomed to. Sort of how the 49ers got their mojo back against the Rams, with a tough, straight forward run game, Texans should follow that similar formula this week. 
 
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Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

We shall see...not sure what to make of the Texans right now...they are a hot mess

 

Actually the Texans are not a hot mess.  Texans let a very good Seattle team back in the game and then next Sunday was a very tough spot to bounce back...San Fran off 10 days rest wanting to prove they are still a powerhouse.  Texans will bounce back and prove they are still a very good team.

 
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Posted: #10
Internally they are a hot mess...fans want Schaub and Kubiak gone and have been booing like crazy.
 
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Do you think Schuab's teammates have turned on him completely or they are hoping he shapes up a bit?  If his teammates have lost confidence him then that's a major problem.  I hope I can find something online about that on twitter or local papers. 

 I don't really care what the fans think but if players want him out then we have a major problem.  In my opinion you stick with Schuab.  Kubiak?  Get him out of there.

 

 
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By the way I'm not trying to debate or contradict what you're saying.  Just trying to get a conversation going about the Texans' situation cause I'm considering betting on them Sunday.
 
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Texans are a good bet Sunday. Schaub won't have to do much as the Rams are terrible against the run. Foster and Tate will have huge games. On offense, the Rams offensive line can't protect and they can't run the ball. Perfect matchup for the Texan's defense.

The Texans are still a good team, their squad is loaded with talent. 
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by Dubfire:

Texans are a good bet Sunday. Schaub won't have to do much as the Rams are terrible against the run. Foster and Tate will have huge games. On offense, the Rams offensive line can't protect and they can't run the ball. Perfect matchup for the Texan's defense.

The Texans are still a good team, their squad is loaded with talent. 

My thoughts exactly. The Texans have shown some weakness against the run this year, but the Rams are having some issues running the ball. They are starting a new running back, who had his first start last week and although he looked good, it was against the Jags. 
 
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I think the Texans are the perfect "fake good" candidates this year.  Yeah, they are great on paper, but on the field have they shown us a single thing that is positive other than one half against the Seahawks?
 
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Posted: #16
giants are the worst defensive team in the nfl - I don't see them covering. As for texans - they can still go 8-3 the rest of the way. Rams will be lambs come Sunday.
 
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Buffalo Bills +7.5  (1.1 to win 1)

Bengals are coming off an emotional home upset victory against the Patriots and now have the next 4 out of 5 games on the road.  Bills defense is no pushover, and the Bengals offensive line has struggled this year at times.  The Bills on the other hand are 3-0 ATS at home this year and have 10 days off to prepare for this one.  They are one of the younger teams in the league, and I just don't think they were able to prepare well enough for the Browns.  They should be more than ready for this one.  Possible SU upset here.

Prediction:  Bengals 23  Bills 20
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by punjabi:

 

Actually the Texans are not a hot mess.  Texans let a very good Seattle team back in the game and then next Sunday was a very tough spot to bounce back...San Fran off 10 days rest wanting to prove they are still a powerhouse.  Texans will bounce back and prove they are still a very good team.

Im not gonna hijack your thread here Johnson.
But this is a very good point.
Last week was an horendous spot for Houston,so is this week tho...This team is loaded...the QB however is not.I havent looked ahead but I wanna be on the Texans the week after they hit the niners buzzsaw.
 
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I agree they are all very good points and yes on paper the Texans are loaded.  I just get a funky feeling with them.
 
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Posted: #20
My first point about Thursday night was true...just couldn't trust the Giants for obvious reasons
 
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Green Bay Packers -1  (1.1 to win 1)

Just the better team.  I'm not really going to look into this one too much.  The Packers need to stay hot to keep up with the Bears who seem to be legit this year.  The Ravens are at home, which is their best aspect going into this game.  I just see too much offense from the Packers for the Ravens to really keep up.  Only way Ravens win is if Ray Rice goes for 200+.

Prediction:  Packers 27  Ravens 17
 
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Rodgers better be ready to run...a lot...Suggs and Dumervil will hunt him down all afternoon.....Rice and Pierce get 150 total yards,they'll find a way to get it done...
 
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Posted: #23
like your picks
 
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Quote Originally Posted by shrimp1958:

Rodgers better be ready to run...a lot...Suggs and Dumervil will hunt him down all afternoon.....Rice and Pierce get 150 total yards,they'll find a way to get it done...


One or two long pass plays should back them off a bit. 
 
 
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