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Lines dictates the game....

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Posted: #751
No goddamm lines dont dictate any game. Its THE GAME SCENARIO that dictares the OUTCOME. . so work to find each unique gm scenario.

Gd lk
 
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Posted: #752
Research ....read....read....read mk system read observe.....select team
 
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Posted: #753
Who is Celtic on tonight?
 
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Posted: #754
I like the under for tonights game. They gotta stop the over from ticking in that frequently on the night games, so i think they will want tonights game to go under the 40.5 points. I didnt play anything in the Boys @ Saints game, i was just a spectator coz i couldnt figure out what was going on. I was leaning Saints, but i couldnt back it up with any argument as to why i thought so, it was just a feel, so i stayed away from the game. If yesterdays game had gone under i would have stayed away from tonights game as well, but now ive really fallen in love with the under. 

Under 40.5 


 
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Posted: #755
boston seems like u are playing law of averages?
 
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Posted: #756
No. Theres a difference. A person believing in Law of averages would think that e.g. the latest 4 games have gone over - so now it would go under. Im not saying that. Im saying it will go UNDER, because Vegas cannot allow the over to hit as much as it does for the NIGHT games. People are pounding the overs rather than under during night games because they want action and because its the only game they are keen to watch/follow so why not bet the over, its more fun than that under right. So thats why i think Vegas wants a winner on the under here. Good luck to u Kaboons 
 
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Posted: #757
It's funny, because the line is sure as hell dictating this Tb - Miami game. ALMOST EVEN MONEY ON A TEAM THAT HAS LOST 8 CONSECUTIVE GAMES this season!?!?!? And now, all of a sudden, on the FIRST DRIVE OF THE GAME, Bucs start out with a touchdown - thats the first time this season they got a touchdown on the first drive IN EITHER OF THE HALVES  And all of a sudden they can move the ball and Miamis D is all of a sudden non exisiting? 

Yep. This is how lines dictates the game.

Theres one thing u know, and theres one thing u must learn of all time:

If a team has lost 8 times in a row, and now almost favored at home, THEN U CAN BE ABSOLUTELY SURE THEY WILL NOT GET BLOWN OUT. They may lose - but NO WAY it is possible for them to get blown away, books does not allow those things to happen. Its no gift shop. 
 
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Posted: #758
and now a safety 
 
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Posted: #759
Kaboons - Gr8 call on the Rams. I listened to u, but was too scared to pull the trigger so i just took the Rams with the points. I also took Jaguars with the points because when i realized Jaguars was 0-5 i looked at their schedule to see when it was realistic for them to pick up a win, and then i said to myself; i think they can win against Tennessee on the road. Too scared to take the Jags straight up tho, so i just took the jags with the points as well. 
 
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Posted: #760
I see ur view on the under. 

Look at the standing colts slightly ahead of titans they play Thursday only 3 pt spread looks like a great spot for Tennessee to win and make things interesting. NFC east already interesting it will come down to final week Philly Dallas. 
 
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Posted: #761
Kaboons - agreed. I like ten there too! 
 
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Posted: #762
Under not tonight 
 
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Posted: #763
Under over right on the money that saftey pushed it over.  Let's see what happens thurs
 
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Posted: #764
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101745563

Hope u locked it in @ 17-6. 

You gotta look for these small indications, some things just indicate when they want a team to win and when they want a team to cover. In the end of the quarter when i saw that flag i just knew something fishy was up, so i bought it @ 17-3 and then they got a field goal @ 17-6 to tie the garbage up. 

Even the +7.5 can be worth it.
 
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Posted: #765
And now, please tell me that the line DOES NOT. Dictate the game. Funny how we are now sitting at a 20-17 lead now. And what is the spread in the game? Yeah, you are right about that, it is -3. 

Oh some people will never accept the facts. 
 
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Posted: #766
YEAP... ANDREW LUCK COMES IN AS A CHOSEN GOLDEN CHILD... BEATS EVERY SINGLE TOP TIER TEAMS.. AND LOSES TO STL ON A BLOW OUT... AND HAS THESE LAST SECOND CLUTCH WINS GAME AFTER GAME... 
 
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Posted: #767
Great point, for example in basketball over under 216 and you tie it even with your star player hurt. they tie the over under all the tyme in every sport amd millions play the lottery every week and cant pick 6 numbers...vegas should set the odds on lottery numbers
 
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Posted: #768
You guys have any idea who's andrew lucks dad is? 
 
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Posted: #769
No clue who his dad is. But a guy named luck on a team that their mascot is a horseshoe, tell me funny shits not going on lol 
 
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Posted: #770
 
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Posted: #771
Bears second half is the bet. Lions lost makes division more competitive rain delay my azz 
 
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Posted: #772
Kaboons - Its EXACTLY those things u want to look at. Here is some arguments as to why that was such a good bet.


1. Ravens won last week in a spot they should have lost in. Yeah they were ahead, but after the game got into OT bungles were down on like ravens 34 yard line wtf? And still they manage to blow it away. This was obv. fixed for Ravens to beat the bungles here u could tell. So the fact that they get a close lucky win, means they will have to lose the following week.

2. The fact that Lions and Bears played last week in an almost 50/50 spot means that the loser of that match was going to win the following week, and the winner of the match was going to lose the following week as well so that they are "tied" after these 2 games. They both lost.

3. Pittsburgh Steelers had to beat the Lions to make the division somewhat closer, just like the Chicago/Lion NFC north division.

So basically, we can ask ourselves - what was good for NFL in these 2 matches:

- Pittsburgh Steelers Won (Good for NFL - division gets closer)
- Chicago Bears Won (Good for NFL - division gets closer)
- Baltimore Ravens Lost (Good for NFL - division gets closer)
- Detroit Lions Lost (Good for NFL - division gets closer)


You have to look at all these kind of things. 
 
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Posted: #773
" They both lost. " I obv. mean that both things happened
 
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Posted: #774
Yup just wait to pick ur spots. Panthers were the play tonight saints panthers at the top now.

Cowboys this week is in a great spot. Gmen have been hot talk about NFC east is a toss up. It's not a toss up the division is coming down between Philly Dallas last game of the season, 

Gmen is a pump and dump.
Cowboys win 
 
 
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Posted: #775
Quote Originally Posted by kaboons:

Yup just wait to pick ur spots. Panthers were the play tonight saints panthers at the top now.

Cowboys this week is in a great spot. Gmen have been hot talk about NFC east is a toss up. It's not a toss up the division is coming down between Philly Dallas last game of the season, 

Gmen is a pump and dump.
Cowboys win 

This game will be a tricky one when Den plays in Ne... I had this one picked out since i won the Car-Ne game.. I think brady won't show again Kaboons... 
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