LOUIS IV's MONDAY NFL PICK

Sports Quote of Day

"You need to play with supreme confidence, or else you'll lose again, and then losing becomes a habit."
Joe Paterno

NFL Record 22-16     + 28.8 units

Sunday 4-1

Winners

  The Miami Dolphins +6.5  (5 units)

****  I think the Jets are garbage team.  I think that Miami is garbage as well.  Thus, I'll take the team with the points in this shit matchup.  Sanchez is one of the worst QB's out there.  He MAY shut me up tonight, good for him,  but I bet against the JETS because of him being at the helm almost every chance I get.  Need that Miami D to step it up and force Sanchez into some turnovers.

gL covers

Yesterday I placed 5 units on Chicago -2 (my max bet) and also teased Chicago +4 & Jets -.5 for 500.

I actually think the FINS will be able to keep it close, so this is what I am debating;

(1) Leave it be, let the 500 ride on the Jets winning SU

(2) Take Fins +7.5 (at my book) for 500, thus risking $50 to win $1,000

(3) Place $250 on the Fins (Worse case I lose / $250 (if the Fins win).. best case win $750 (Jets win / Fins cover 7pt middle).. or Win $250 Jets win / cover the spread..

Louis, what would you do?

Quote Originally Posted by phark:

 Jets will be hungry after 3 straight road games...Great trends.

They always seem hungry, hunger too me is not the issue.  There issue is they have a qb that blows.  Like I said, he may show me up tonight, God Bless him if he does.  I think if Miami plays with any fire on D this can easily be a 3 point game either way. 

You tell 'em Louis.

stay put, jets likely win, cheer for them to win outright get paid on the 500 tease.  No need to complicate things, hedge or do anything else.  Profit/Live to fight again next week.

seems like an optimal scenario.  However, I don't play teasars.  I learned early in my sports picking career to never play teasers. You pick up certain things over your time in this underworld.  The book pays you even money to win two plays that in many cases you would have won straight up.  I was with a fella yesterday that played 5 seperate teasers, lost all 5.  Some you win some you lose.  I don't play them, never will.

seems like an optimal scenario.  However, I don't play teasars.  I learned early in my sports picking career to never play teasers. You pick up certain things over your time in this underworld.  The book pays you even money to win two plays that in many cases you would have won straight up.  I was with a fella yesterday that played 5 seperate teasers, lost all 5.  Some you win some you lose.  I don't play them, never will.

hey Jets may win and cover, would not surprise me...

I firmly believe Sanchez sucks balls though

Sportscenterdoing MY thinking....good one...