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LOUIS IV's MONDAY NFL PICK

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Posted: #26
 
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Posted: #27
teasers are so profitable well when i play them anyway everyone is different
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by MarkDogg:

teasers are so profitable well when i play them anyway everyone is different

Go back and look at your teasers that won and see how many you would have lost had you not teased.  You might be surprised that most of them would have covered even without teasing them.

Go back and look at how much you lost on teasers and split your bet amount between each team on each teaser and see how much you would have won in you had bet each game individually. 

I read a while back (but I may be wrong) that approx 65% of games are more than 7 points off from the line posted.  

 
 
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Posted: #29
I LIKE THE BOUNCY BLUE BALLS AS USUAL.....BUT I'M GOIN' THE OTHER WAY TODAY..........
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by DA_BOYS:


Go back and look at your teasers that won and see how many you would have lost had you not teased.  You might be surprised that most of them would have covered even without teasing them.

Go back and look at how much you lost on teasers and split your bet amount between each team on each teaser and see how much you would have won in you had bet each game individually. 

I read a while back (but I may be wrong) that approx 65% of games are more than 7 points off from the line posted.  

 

The reason I mention this is that I used to bet a lot of teasers and I realized that the 1 game I would lose on a teaser bet would kill my entire wager and all the other games that I had won on that teaser would have covered the spread without teasing.




 
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Posted: #31
boys im hitting over 70 percent this year in cf when i play them  2 losses i had str8 bets this past saturday. If i would had teased them,I would have been 1 win 1 push instead of 0-2  that 7 points on each side is a big help.You just need to know how to play them right.And i mean alot of times the teams you teased you didnt need to but that little added insurance to me has been very profitable to me.
 
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Posted: #32
Going with Mia +7.5 @-123 and the U43@ -121

Think this game ends 20-17 or 23-17 somewhere in that range.

3rd downs will determine this game.
Miami is dead last in 3rd down conversion and 5th best at stopping them.
Jets are 3rd last in conversions and 2nd best in stopping them.

I think there is going to be a lot of punts tonight.  


 
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Posted: #33
Really thinking money Is on the under here 2 crappy teams 2 crappy qbs
 
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Posted: #34

Umm..has everyone forgotten the Jets were one game from the Super Bowl last year?

Sanchez is not great but not as bad as he gets bashed on these boards...

They win easily tonight.

 
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Posted: #35

Quote Originally Posted by MarkDogg:

teasers are so profitable well when i play them anyway everyone is different

if they offer them in Vegas, they are not there because the majority of them pay the average joe walking up to the counter,  they look soooooooooo gooooooooooood.  you may be an exception though.

 
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Posted: #36
Louis_IV...Nice job on Sunday
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by ShereensPicks:

Umm..has everyone forgotten the Jets were one game from the Super Bowl last year?

Sanchez is not great but not as bad as he gets bashed on these boards...

They win easily tonight.

I'm sure its happened but I can't recall many games where I have watched the guy and said to myself, "Nice game Mark".  The Jets win despite of him, not at all because of him.

I know they have had success in the past, just never been impressed with them.  They have won, but never impressed whatsoever.

 
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Posted: #38
gl buddy 


 
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Posted: #39
 
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Posted: #40

GOIN UNDER 2NITE...MIAMI NEW QT,,RUN THE BALL..................

JETS NO PASSIN GAME.......UNDER THE NUMBERS..

 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by ShereensPicks:

Umm..has everyone forgotten the Jets were one game from the Super Bowl last year?

Sanchez is not great but not as bad as he gets bashed on these boards...

They win easily tonight.

  Umm. So were the Da Bears. Means Nothing
 
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Posted: #42
GL bro.
 
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Posted: #43
Dolphins +7   gl tonight LOUIS....Cap
 
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Posted: #44
Bottom line... Dolphins are on the Andrew Luck plan... and that plan does not include playing a tight game on Monday night football against the Jets. 

Jets by 13 
 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by Secr4mula:

Bottom line... Dolphins are on the Andrew Luck plan... and that plan does not include playing a tight game on Monday night football against the Jets. 

Jets by 13 

let me guess you are playing a teaser or the JETS ML

 
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Posted: #46
Ok....Probably a question you don't want to deal with cause you HATE teasers Louis.....BUT...I have 2 open teasers that I wanted to fill in tonight.  I won't tell you the amounts cause I don't think it would make a difference to you......SO......Jets -1.5 or Fins +13.5?

Thanks....C
 
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Posted: #47
Teaser.. Jets - 1.5  under 48.5 

Easy Money 
 
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Posted: #48

Quote Originally Posted by Cooler999:

Ok....Probably a question you don't want to deal with cause you HATE teasers Louis.....BUT...I have 2 open teasers that I wanted to fill in tonight.  I won't tell you the amounts cause I don't think it would make a difference to you......SO......Jets -1.5 or Fins +13.5?

Thanks....C

why do you have to fill them tonight?  May be better games down the line.  I think the Jets win is more likely then the Dolphins not getting blown out.  I would play the Jets -1.5 if had too here.

 
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Posted: #49
Tough game to call. BOL tonight
Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad
 
 
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