Quote Originally Posted by IsThisReality17: @vanzack Yes, I see a generic formula that doesn't seem to take into account strengths and weaknesses of the teams. It just says with this much time on the clock, with this particular score, including the down and distance, any team should be able to win X percentage of the time if they choose one scenario over the other. All things are not created equally with these teams, especially when it comes to play-calling and how good/bad teams are on offense/defense.
I realize your perception and judgement are more accurate than mathematics....
Who's math? It's a lie. It's fiction