Even with Taysom hill starting the offense is still bad.. Miami during their win streak is giving up under 17PPG… Hill is a RB playing QB.. they won last week because of the D… offense did Nothing.. look at his stats last 3 games.. Miami Defense is just as good as the Saints..
It's wild if you think about it.. Miami should easily be 9-5 (losses to ATL and Jags 
) If's and or but's I know.. Early in the season they were playing better competition for sure, but the defense was completely out of sync, something was off. The defense is now playing the way that was expected coming into the season. As I said I'm on Miami ML -165 for a decent amount.
@davemsh
I am not disagreeing with you my friend. If there is anything I do, is be patient and see who is active and who isn't before game time and see how the line reacts. Not going premature on this game before all the information is out, but Saints D is not the same as past years, and Miami on the road is 2-3 ATS and the Saints 1(TB)-4 ATS(Dallas, Buffalo, Giants, Atl) at home supports a Miami cover. Momentum supports a Miami Win. My point is is if Saints have a shot to cover the +3 is with a healthy defense, even with a struggling offense..
@racone
I get it. If I do ML like the Bears today it was +260. I really try and stay away from ML -130 or more. But, even in a -3 ML(-170) juice is high for a reason, thus supporting your ML Dolphin win. JETs -2 ML(-125) today, which I thought was a bargain and covered(didn't bet it though). If the same team shows up prime time as in the Ravens game, I do think they win. BOL
Understand where you're coming from (laying heavy juice isn't good for the bankroll, long term.. this is a spot bet). Miami is better and has more overall talent than the Bears or Jets. Jets/Jags was a tank fight today (Jets should have let them walk in 1st and goal and lost the game). As far as the primetime Ravens game, this is one of my reasons for laying the juice in this situation. People have seen during the winning streak the only real team they beat was the Ravens (other 5 were Jets 2x, Texans, Panthers, NYG). Saints would be the next strongest opponent since they beat the Ravens. I believe Miami is playing with a huge chip overall and their defense will show up big time against Book
@tweets50
You are right... but I took many factors in consideration... still seems too easy... Miami’s D is rock solid against a first time QB.. and Miami will be able to score enough points to win... plus with Cam Jordan out and other factors.. I just don’t see how the Saints win this.. I’d be more hesitant if Hill was starting..
Absolutely would not lay the juice that i'm laying if Hill was starting. Feel very comfortable MIA defense gives Book problems.
@MLMaverick
Agreed. Only point I am trying to make is wait till game-time and see who is active especially from the saints defense. Book was a sub par QB that did not win big games but still has the most wins at ND. If Saints have a shot to cover 3, it will be with a full defense and pretty much the same will to win as against TB. Playoff implications apply for both teams...Not easy as it seems like you say.
Based on what I've seen from Ian Book, he's going to struggle against Miami. But I'm not crazy about Tagovailoa either. He threw 2 INTs vs. the Jets.
Question for you guys: I've got the under in this game as the last of a 6-team tease for one unit to make 5 ($100/500). The number is 44 (tie loses). So let it ride or would you insure it and play the over for a couple of units, now at 37 - or buy down to 36 1/2, with a 7 point middle?
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