***Monday Night Football Write Up***

So after looking at every angle, I don't see anyway in hell this game isn't a shoot out. Pretty much every Philly road game was high-scoring last year, & the Colts played some shoot outs in the dome as well (Seattle, Denver, KC). What's the trend there? They play shoot outs with playoff teams. The Eagles trailed Jacksonville 17-0 in first half last week before scoring 34 unanswered in second half. I think the whole NFC East is pretty bad as a whole, despite some wins today. The Eagles lost two of their offensive lineman last week+Lane Johnson who is out. The Colts and Andrew Luck have NEVER lost back to back games & Andrew Luck always plays great on Monday Night at home. The Colts coming off a loss, & the Eagles coming off kind of a sloppy win. Neither team will generate much of a pass rush here. Especially with Mathis out. Andrew Luck is in his third year & I expect him to blow up this year. He's a smart QB & also mobile. He'll have all day against the Eagles. Hakeem Nicks, Reggie Wayne, Ty Hilton. Not a bad trio of WRs at all. The Colts secondary is better than the Eagles is. The Eagles secondary is bottom 5 in the league. For that reason, the Colts win this game 34-27.

Indianapolis Colts -2.5 & the OVER 54

1000 to win 2500

Solid write up and solid reasoning. 

Like these plays as well.

every outfit in town is posting a "3"

u buying it down?

Yup. Buying it down just in case it's 30-27. Very confident in this game being a shoot out. The Colts can play conservative at times, but Chip Kelly runs the hurry up & tries to score as fast as possible so that'll help the over.

Reggie Wayne's knee isn't right yet, he was very slow and indecisive in his routes LW against Denver. Doesn't have the confidence yet

Reggie Wayne is still a reliable target & still caught 9 passes for 98 yards while being targeted 13 times vs Denver. Not to mention that was on Aqib Talib...a corner way better than Philly has to offer. No he's not too big of a "YAC" guy right now but I certainly expect him to catch everything that comes his way.

I actually thought the Colts were impressive last week and I think will feature deep into playoffs

colts

2 OL guys out and youre betting the over ..
WOW...Good luck man.....1 guy is guge but to lose 2 is disastrous and the offensive timing will be in shambles tonight...I dont see Philly over 17 ao u bett hope Colts put up 38

I'm on both as well. Don't see any way the Colts don't win this one.  I think they win pretty easily but the Eagles are a tricky team. I teased the Colts to +3 and took the over at 49.

Teasing from -3 to +3 is really no value at all. Like wasting 6 points, but I do like teasing that over down. If the Colts had a pass rush, the two lineman out would be a big deal but the backups did solid last week & I don't think it'll be a huge factor. The Eagles will score more than 17 points. This game could be 21-17 at half time.

BOL

"Andrew Luck always plays great on Monday Night at home".

This is Andre Luck's first Monday NIght HOME game. So even more reason to take them right?

Just some constructive criticism as I appreciate the time and though that goes into any write-up.

1.  The NFC East has nothing to do with this game.  This is just the Eagles vs. the Colts.

2.  The injuries the Eagles have to the O-line will be negated for a few reasons.  The pace at which the Eagles play allow Foles to get the ball out quickly.  This is not a drop back and wait to throw it offense...many predetermined places to go with the ball.  The O-line the Eagles will put on the field tonight actually grades out better than the Colts D-line.  Won't get into specific match-ups as that can get pretty boring.  For a team with already no pass rush and having Mathis out, it gets worse.  ILB Jerrell Freeman is out which is a big blow.  The Colts run a 3-4 defense which relies on the linebackers to make plays.  The Eagles offense puts tons of pressure on the opponents linebackers bc they are so good at putting players in space and you must have athletic linebackers that can move quickly.  They do not have the reserves to handle the Eagles.  The Colts also have some other key injuries...starting center  Khaled Holmes is a game time decision (ankle)...nose tackle Josh Chapman is questionable (ankle)

3.  The Eagles came out flat last week but I wouldn't necessarily call it "sloppy".  If anything I believe they have some momentum after pitching a shutout (albeit to the Jags) and scoring 34 unanswered. 

4.  I never (and probably never will) understand why people get so hung up on the "they can't go 0-2" or "they have NEVER lost b2b games in so and so time".  Teams do go 0-2 (Saints) and teams do lose b2b.  That has nothing to do with this game tonight.  Nor does someones history on Monday Night Football. 

I have not made a play on this game and not sure I will just offering up some food for thought.  I do see a high scoring game and don't see very many situations where this doesn't reach 50+. 
The Eagles have a healthy backfield and receiving core on a fast track against a regressing defense. The Eagles and Colts secondary are relatively equal...no real advantage for either team here...The Eagles will run the ball, open up the pass, and I'm not sure how Indy stops them.  I see Philly getting a few more stops and winning a shootout.  Too much is asked of Luck (whom I think is great) and it will show throughout the year.  They didn't get any better in the off-season and are still perceived a little high in my opinion

Thanks for you input.

The Saints losing 2 in a row is not a big surprise to me. They are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games. The one win coming from a pick 6 at Tampa Bay where they back door covered. The Eagles are coming off a win & the Colts are coming off a loss so they will be more hungry. The Colts have beaten some really good teams in the Dome. They beat Denver one a Primetime game last year while scoring 39. They also beat the Seahawks at home Sunday afternoon 34-27. I think Ahmad Bradshaw is the better RB for the Colts & think the Colts will move the ball w/ short passes out of the backfield too. The Colts take momentum from last week's second half into this game, too. Only difference is the Colts played the AFC champs...and the Eagles beat the pathetic Jags without their top WR who just lost 41-10 to the Deadskins. The Eagles secondary finished in the bottom 3 of the NFL last year. Bradley Fletcher & Nate Allen will get absolutely shredded tonight. The only way the Eagles win is if they pick Luck off twice and Foles doesn't turn the ball over. This line should be closer to 5.5 but is being over-exaggerated for the Week 1 performances. Take Indy.

Bad spot for the Eagles with the suddenly highflying Skins coming to town next week. Like that Colts coming off a loss but why line not moving esp with 62% on Colts. Thinking Eagles +2.5 FH then Colts SH.  

Does the Jags getting beat 41-10 to the Deadskins not bring some worrisome to Eagles backers?

The Colts are the play. I don't give a $hit who the public is on. You don't bet against Andrew Luck in this spot.

with all dues respect, some things i would like to point out.

In response....

BOL bud

 BOL