Hey boys - 5-1 yesterday picking up 9.5 units - congrats if followed 
Interesting divisional game featuring two QB's playing well. I do think one team has a superior defense holding Dallas and KC (two of the better offensive teams in the league) 20 and 24 respectively. Love to hear your thoughts on the game.
Let's cap off a very good weekend.
Im biased ofcourse but i dont agree that the chargers have the superior Defense. They rank last i think in rushing defense. They really didnt play that great against the chiefs offense as it was more the chiefs screwing things up . The raiders defense in the past has been a joke but i think they have atleast become average at this point which is a major improvement from previous years. I think we have a high scoring game probably decided on who has the ball last. Ill say 31 to 27 raiders 
Bolts. Not sold on Raiders yet. Balt win was impressive, but it also was 1st game of season, and at home. Pitt sucks and Miami is Miami and had Brissett at QB (and they still almost beat LV). I think LAC has played better competition (yeah, yeah 2 NFC East chumps), but Dallas Offense is one of the best, and KC is AFC Champs 2 years in a row. The win at KC last week could be a huge momentum booster for the Bolts.
I am thinking about:
LAC -3 small (1/2u)
Over 51.5 small (1/2u)
I agree the Raiders defense is better - I don't always look at the stats and rely more on my eyes when watching. Chargers defense is better so don't think anything else. Does that mean they will win tonight? Raiders are playing with confidence but this game is huge for Diego tonight. They are already trailing by 1 game in the loss column and a loss tonight puts them back another plus the tie breaker.
GL with your wager - appreciate your insight
I feel there is some bias in the line towards the Raiders and laying 3 pts with the home side is good value.
Realistically, we should be seeing two 3-0 teams going at it. The Chargers were duped out of the W vs Dallas (through officiating and their own doing). I don't think there is a lot of difference between LV and Dallas and the Chargers played Dallas well enough to win and they're coming off a confidence booster vs KC. LV has caught a couple of teams (Pitt and MIA) on the down. Today sees them stepping up in class since week 1.
At 3-0 (both teams), are we still sitting at -3? I think we'd open at -4... Hence the value I believe we're getting with the -3.
Chargers -3, -112 tonight.
GL All.
LEANING UNDER ALSO ... JUST HARD TO TAKE UNDER IN THESE PRIMETIME GAMES UNLESS ITS RAIN LIKE LAST NIGHT. SOME HOW THESE PRIME TIME GAME ALWAYS FINE A WAY TO GO OVER. SEEMS NFL LIKES POINTS AND SO TO THE REFS AND THERE FLAGS 
@oldwiseone
Gruden has won 3 of the last 4 straight up and covered 3 of the last 4.. lone loss was an OT game by a fg.. these teams play close games and raiders have had the upper hand.. i would take points +3.5 tho .. but you can no longer get that .. is essentially a home game for the raiders .. my numbers say 26-26 at a neutral site .. I don’t play primetime games typically unless the playoffs but just my two cents if I had to bet it I’m taking points ..
The game should be competitive- motivation has to be on the Chargers side. If they lose they are basically 2.5 games back of Raiders. It’s early but that’s a big deficit against a team playing well. I’ll take my chances with Chargers.
GL
Established in 1995,
Bol tonight
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