Monday Night gift for you degens....

2nd half 

Pure gold to have you on this forum 

BTW - what you are witnessing is the blueprint to beat the Raiders.  

It took 3 weeks for NFL coaches to figure it out - but if you have a good enough defense to take the over the top stuff out - and keep everything short and in front - the Raiders will be forced to run the ball which they just can't do.

Look for better defenses to play this exact way against this team all season.

***Not every team can stop this even though they want to.  The Chargers adjusted SOS stats told me they could.  Chargers were 16th in NFL in passing defense (non-adjusted), but 3rd adjusted.  

ADJUSTED STATS ARE CRITICAL TO HANDICAPPING.

@vanzack

great job

excuse my ignorance but what's the difference between "adjusted stats" and where do you find this ? I've never seen/heard of adjusted vs non-adjusted defensive stats

Very nice so far sir 

Adjusted stats are simply raw statistics that are adjusted for the quality of the opponent.  They can be as simple as a strength of schedule adjustment, and as detailed as a segment adjustment which has to not only do with SOS, but also the relative strength of that particular stat against competition segment.  Example: deep middle passing defense adjusted for which offense they played and that offenses relative strength with deep middle passing.

You can get basic ones several places - a good start is footballoutsiders.  Fortunately, I use a computer modeling system that I paid for that allows for all kinds of scenarios like this - and I can use intuition or stats or both to model out how I want to see stats.

GL

Great capping !!!!!

Van 

thanks man

On fire! Great work, Van!

@vanzack

 you are the best in this forum

Thanks guys.

@vanzack

 Impressive. I’ll keep an eye out for you. 

You shouldn't be so kind to the degens next week, I don't see enough praise for such a beautiful gift

Great work with your picks for Monday night, Thanks for helping out a fellow degenerate.. Much Appreciated..

@vanzack

Hey Mr Vanzack thank you for you insight and for sharing greatly appreciated keep up the great work Thank You