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**NFC Championship Game** GP and Write Up inside (GP's 29-12-1)

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Posted: #26
I know it takes alot of money to move a line but the line is also moved by who places the bet which means there doesnt have to be a big stack of money wagered all the time.
 
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Posted: #27
Loving both dogs with the points this week, especially since I can get this game at 3.5 here in Vegas. 

TAKE NOTICE PEOPLE:  76% of the money has come in on Philly since the line opened and it hasn't moved one iota. 

While any team can win this game, Philly is the sucker bet of the year.  Fade this home dog at your own peril.


 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by talent888:

Please do not preach key numbers here...

You are very simple minded if you think that enough small money could not move a number off of or to a key number...

Enough small money could and has moved the line off of or to a key number...



Maybe if it was 95% action on Philly.....but thats not the case here...its closer to 50 than it is to 95....
Look up and down the forum, everybody is not on Philly.  Theres alot of guys like you calling for the Cards.  What do you feel is small money BTW ?
 
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Posted: #29
uh --ok--eagles -3 sorry dude
 
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Posted: #30
 

Ok, first off.  Sorry for those last two picks yesterday, I was in a rush and I did not put any time into capping them.  Was 8-1 in the NFL Playoffs ATS up to that point and got a little cocky by thinking I did not have to look that deeply into those games.  That WILL NEVER HAPPEN AGAIN...

 

 
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Posted: #31
why post them then
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by Booshasta:

 

Ok, first off.  Sorry for those last two picks yesterday, I was in a rush and I did not put any time into capping them.  Was 8-1 in the NFL Playoffs ATS up to that point and got a little cocky by thinking I did not have to look that deeply into those games.  That WILL NEVER HAPPEN AGAIN...

 



Hahaha...so whats good this week
 
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Posted: #33
sharp money on zona would not put it in at +3, they'd wait knowing the line is going up. why would they grab a game at a line they know will only get better. sharps come in on favorites early and dogs late. it's common sense fellas. i think the cardinals have a great shot at winning this game, i believe the wrong teams favored. posted this in another thread.

this defense while pretty stout has inflated numbers due to weak offenses, they played the plaxicoless/offensiveless giants twice, skins twice, the afc north, seattle, san fran, chicago, and st. louis. sounds like great offenses there i didn't includue the falcons but any defense worth a damn contained them pretty well as did the eagles. they played the cardinals when every thing that factored into that game favored the eagles. they face a HOT team this week and easily the best QB left in the playoffs.
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by texancapper:

 

Oh, the old Cards don't match up capping again.... Philly backers will spend the rest of their lifetime chasing for that "ring"...ask Kurt how does it feel to wear one or was it 2?

Yea keep capping games based on previous results. Thats exactly what vegas wants you to do.  And btw who gives a shit if some whales dropped a hundred dimes to move a line off three.  Are you saying that "sharp" money that moves lines is another way to cap a game  Would we all not be winners and retired if this were true???  Just follow the sharps right?

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #35
betphoenix is +3.5
 
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Posted: #36
This is simply a HOMER pick. I have not pulled the trigger yet. However, I do believe the EAGLES are "Battle Road Tested"

Tell me how the GMEN and STEELERS won their SB?
They were Battle Road Tested in the Playoffs.
Nuff Said.
 
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Posted: #37
Beating the defending Superbowl Champions on the road was an exceptional feat, I just don't see Zona covering this game.
 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by electricladylnd:

Beating the defending Superbowl Champions on the road was an exceptional feat, I just don't see Zona covering this game.


was it really anymore exceptional than any other road win? how many teams win back to back superbowls? it was a good win, nothing more than that. them winning the superbowl last year has nothing to do with that game.
 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by nflpicker14:

Yea keep capping games based on previous results. Thats exactly what vegas wants you to do.  And btw who gives a shit if some whales dropped a hundred dimes to move a line off three.  Are you saying that "sharp" money that moves lines is another way to cap a game  Would we all not be winners and retired if this were true???  Just follow the sharps right?

 

 

 

Can you give me a reason why or how this Eagles defense that has been kicking teams in the dick for the past 7 weeks holding them to 20 pts or less is just going to fall apart?  Did you watch the game today? Did you notice that the Giants' offense scored only 9 pts? Did you not see the matchup between these 2 teams earlier in the year?  The Eagles will only need to score 21pts to win this game.  I am not buying into all this ARI hype. 
 
 
 
SOUND LIKE YOU ARE CAPPING THE ZONA/EAGLES GAME BASE ON PREVIOUS RESULTS YOURSELF.
 
 
BUT REALLY, YOU DON'T HAVE TO BUY THE ARIZONA HYPE, THE HYPE IS ON EAGLES AFTER THEY GOT THROUGH BEATING THE DEFENDING SUPERBOWL CHAMPIONS. 
 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by Booshasta:

 

Ok, first off.  Sorry for those last two picks yesterday, I was in a rush and I did not put any time into capping them.  Was 8-1 in the NFL Playoffs ATS up to that point and got a little cocky by thinking I did not have to look that deeply into those games.  That WILL NEVER HAPPEN AGAIN...

 

Boo, I take it that you are having a tough time understanding...So, I will help you out a little.  I was 73% throughout the whole season in GP plays and 8-1 throughout the NFL playoffs.  I was basically saying sorry to anyone, if they took my last 2 plays and either followed, or let them influence their picks.  I did not do enought research and basically just went off of gut feeling.  I should never have posted them and apoligizing for doing so.

If you still do not get it Booshasta,

It's like you being on a roll during the bowls and then going to complete donky by going 1-6 (1-6 on one game) on the last bowl game.  I'm sure there were a lot of people that saw you rolling and followed those plays. 

I was simply saying sorry to anyone if they did let my plays influence their picks... 

Hope you get it now... 

 
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Posted: #41

Here is a little something for all of you saying "WOW, they beat the defending Super Bowl Champions!"

Teams that beat the defending Super Bowl Champions in the playoffs are 0-10 SU and 1-9 ATS in their next game.

Things that make you go hmmmmmmm.....  I love you Vegas!

 

 
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Posted: #42

eagles kill the cards i know there might be a couple real fans and i respect that 70 percent dont care untill know

 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by talent888:

Here is a little something for all of you saying "WOW, they beat the defending Super Bowl Champions!"

Teams that beat the defending Super Bowl Champions in the playoffs are 0-10 SU and 1-9 ATS in their next game.

Things that make you go hmmmmmmm.....  I love you Vegas!

 

A man or a woman will tell a lie! BUT NUMBERS DON"T!! I LOVE THE CARDS!!!

 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by texancapper:

Give me some more reasons to take Zona here.
 
----------------
 
Kurt Warner = 2 superbowls
McNabb = 0
 
WTF are you talking about ? Warner won 1 superbowl and lost 1. McNabb has lost 1.
 
Also Warner is what 5 years older? come on dude, you are a typical Cowpuke fan..
 
 
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Posted: #45

Phark - you are just dying for a Pennsylvania bowl aren't you, you are as blind as a bat.

 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by nflpicker14:

This one will be another   EAGLES in a route. Cards just dont matchup.  You'll see

This sounds like the same thing that Carolina Backers were saying as well.

 
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Posted: #47

Quote Originally Posted by landis1717:



was it really anymore exceptional than any other road win? how many teams win back to back superbowls? it was a good win, nothing more than that. them winning the superbowl last year has nothing to do with that game.

Yes it was.  It was because the Giants are the defending Champions, defending Champions are very, very hard to put away.  That is what makes it exceptional.  Hey, if you think beating the defending Champs is the same as beating some other team than you are very wrong.

 
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Posted: #48
I love how everyone is puting so much on the Eagles defeating the Giants last week.  Loooove it.
 
I could have played better at QB than Eli did that game.
 
 
 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by talent888:

I love how everyone is puting so much on the Eagles defeating the Giants last week.  Loooove it.
 
I could have played better at QB than Eli did that game.
 
 

Did Philly's defense have anything to do with that?

 
 
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by electricladylnd:

Did Philly's defense have anything to do with that?

Not one sack.  He was pressured some, however, I saw Manning many times with no pressure and completely miss wide open receivers.

That will not happen with the Warner and the best trio of receivers in the NFL.

 

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