NFC Championship Play

Line seems fishy huh.

Probaly because it is.

Everybody wanted GB to be underdogs by 3. Well they are -3.

THEY WONT EVEN WIN THE FUCKING GAME, NONE THE LESS COVER.

This is a classic ploy. I dont like to talk in terms of TRAP PLAYS, but if there was ever one, this is it. What, you guys think GB just gonna come into Soldier field and take it. Forget all this crap about Rodgers. He threw on an injured Philly (CHI beat them too) secondary (yea folk, samuels been hurt damn near all season), a horrible ATL TEAM (thats right, TEAM, any team that almost loses to the BUCS twice is dirt, Im sorry, they were over-rated from the get go)

They lost six games for a reason. (and Rogers being out was one, but not an a real excuse, they coulda beat NE with Flynn)

The MM is in full swing about Rodger being an elite QB. He IS good, dont get me wrong, but its easy to hit 31/36 300+ yards when ur damn recivers are runnin wide fuckin open all over the place. GB is hot, real HOT, and I would not be suprised to see them win the game, BUT, CHI does remarkably well against GB and Peppers makes all the diference in the world. Rogers struggles dearly against the cover two (DONE RIGHT) (see BUCS game from last year and both CHI games) Keep waiting for Cutler to have a bad game and Ill keep waiting for the public to drive the spread up.

BITCH

Im not gonna do a fancy write up b/c you bitches need to do the reasearch on your own. Vegas in screaming for you to take the points with GB. Ill take the home dog with the better defense, special teams and run game. GB has a better offense. Defense wins championships BITCH. Rodgers is gonna need Finley and Grant back to take it all the way.

BITCH

Take that shit to the bank.

BITCH

More time on the clock. I love getting paid to do write-ups and go to covers.  Thanks Boss.

You BITCH.

The play is CHI +3, unless somebody changes my fuckin mind.

Playoff lines should always be regarded as fishy.

The line is there to establish action. It rarely, very rarely comes into play once the playoffs start. I checked since the 2008 season, it has it not foretold anything...

Only once in all those games, all rounds, has it mattered. You would be surprised who the one cover was engineered by... (did not win but covered)...

All you have to do is pick the winner. Not talking Super Bowls, I have not researched that and frankly, it's a neutral field and never gets much action from me.

You're picking the Bears, fine. But the spread won't matter.

Saying "the Bears defense is better" is a little questionable.   

Packers give up less points  15 to 18

Packers give up less total yards  309 to 314  (to small a difference to matter)

Packers have far more sacks   47 to 34

Bears give up less rushing yards   90 to 115

Packers give up less rushing TD's  6 to 14

Packers give up less passing yards  194  to 224

Bears give up less passing TD's  14 to 16

Packers have more Interceptions  24 to 21

Bears forced more fumbles   23 to 14

Packers gave up less first downs rushing   82 to 88

Packers gave up less first downs passing   163 to 183

Here's the stats.    LINK     If I made any mistakes let me know.  

If you look at the Offensive stats between these two teams in that link I posted,   The Packers are better than the Bears in almost every category.    I'll post them later if I get a chance.

And these two teams basically play the same schedule so the stats might be a little more pertinent than another game.    

Packers have the better QB.

It will probably be a close game but there's little doubt the Packers should be favored.   

I like the Packers chances but I wouldn't be surprised if they lost.   Bears play them tough.   

Packers committed 18 penalties for 153 yards in the first game in Chicago.    That's probably not going to happen again.   

Here's another thing I was thinking about.      You know how the Bears didn't lay down in that final regular season game against the Packers.    That may have been a good thing for the Packers because they were fighting for their lives in that game and they didn't dominate Chicago and it was a close game.    They know that they are going to have to bring their A game on Sunday or they are going to get beat.    They know the Bears are tough.

If the Bears would have layed down in that game and the Packers won 35 -7 or something,   wouldn't the Packers be more susceptible to overconfidence?      

Maybe I'm crazy but I think that game helps the Packers this week.  

So what I'm saying is that even after blowing out Atlanta and beating Philly,  I doubt that the Packers aren't going to be ready to play this week even though they are the darlings of the media now.    This is for the Super Bowl and they have played the Bears twice and it's been close both times. 

I think the Packers are the better team and they are going to be ready but a few mistakes or turnovers can change any game.   

would've been tough game to capp if Pack +3,

but  Pack at -3 is easy money

BEARS + 3   

Quote Originally Posted by URISS2302:

seems to me "vegas" bitched u around all year... didn't you quit like half way through the year and make a cry baby thread... now here you are calling people bitches ...gonna be a rough weekend for you

Yeah, I got bitched in December, I wont lie. My account was down to $20 and I was ready too quit. I lost confidence after losing some BIG bets. A month later, Im at over 6k (my personal greatest comeback) and I guess you can say Ive been thrust out of retirement. And yeah, Im still angry about blowing the first 8k I won earlier this year. I started out on fire, then went through holy hell in December.

Come on Hound, CHI DID LAY DOWN that final game. The media and Lovie Smith would have you believe the Bears went all out, but do you REALLY believe that the PLAYERS went all out with nothing to gain? Just because the score was low it does not mean the Bears went all out. And even more, what does that say for the Packers? If this game was thier biggest game of the year, and they barely won? That raises red flags for me. Just like Indy and all the other teams that "snuck" into the playoffs. I personally think the books laid GB out there at -3 (now 3.5) because they know heavy action will come in on GB. Lets forget about the regular season shit and focus on the playoffs. GB's running game is suspect, I dont believe in GB's run game quite yet and GB is not even a full strength.

So you think the Bears layed down in that last game huh?   Couple questions for you?    Cutler got sacked 6 times in that game.    If the Bears layed down in that game,  why did Lovie allow that to happen?

And second,  who exactly do you think the Bears are?       You think they can play half assed and hang with one of the best teams in the league?     And the Packers ARE one of the best teams in the league.   There is no doubt about that.     There is no way they stay within 7 points of the Packers in that last game if they aren't trying.

And even if the Bears weren't trying ,which is complete nonsense, you're proving my point that the Packers learned from that game that they can't take the Bears lightly.    And from the first game between these two teams.   The Packers are in a position right now where they might be overconfident after destroying Atlanta.    But those two games with the Bears will keep them grounded in my opinion.