2 locked in
Kyler o31.5 rush yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Over this in 3 of 5
Had 80 vs 49ers earlier this year
Needs 50 rush yards and 1 rush TD for a 750k payday
Expecting him to chase that 750k payday
Sutton o77.5 rec.yards @1.80 0.5 to win 0.4
Had 70 vs kc starters earlier this year. Gets kc backups this time with kc resting starters
Needs 82 rec.yards for 500k payday.
Expecting nix to find him for his 500k payday
GL all
1 locked in
Dobbins o66.5 rush yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Over this in 4 of 6 road games
Had 76 last week on 19 carries in return from injury
Edwards out again so he should see 16+ carries
Needs 58 yards for a 150k incentive which is a little extra motivation for him and OL
Like him to get 60+ so ill take chance on 67+
GL all
@Cyrax
ended up trading sideways yesterday
Bets 2-2 tiny loss.. .shoulda been 3-1 but Harbaugh fucked me again this year by pulling Dobbins 4 yards short....pulled as soon as he got his 58 yards for 150k...they actually put him back in for 1 more rush...assuming in case they adjusted his yardage and fucked him...
Leans went 11-11...ats 1-3...totals 4-2...rush 4-2 bet both losers ffs....rec 2-4
Bets Overall 20-20 -1.14 units
1-1 -0.02 1-unit plays
17-17 -1.12 0.5-unit plays
Leans Overall 109-113
Ats 14-15...basically always been .500 ATS bettor
Totals 32-31...actually decent since I like unders and it was the year of the over
Ml 0-1
Pass props 3-10
Rush props 26-21
Rec props 27-30...usually better here, looking to tidy this up next year
Td prop 2-1
Fg prop 5-3
Sgp 0-1
Looking at 4-5 props for WC round
WC Leans
Nix o221.5 pass yards @1.88...expect denver to be pass-heavy
Herbert o230.5 pass yards @1.88...like nix more but Herbert comes in hot and LAC run game has been struggling
Herbert o30.5 pass attempts @1.85...comes in hot, should have 28+ attempts
Nix o23.5 rush yards @1.85...he should scramble multiple times
Mcconkey o5.5 receptions @1.80...herbert comes in hot, herbert #1 target
Evans o5.5 receptions @1.70...baker fave target...terrible odds
Evans o75.5 rec.yards @1.88...should get close to this, if lattimore plays they have history which could motivate him
Jefferson o6.5 receptions @1.92...does darnold bounce back and find his best WR
Puka o7.5 receptions @1.75...terrible odds...stafford #1 target
Puka o88.5 rec.yards @1.88...if he gets 8+ catches he should push this number
Saquon o102.5 rush yards @1.88...GB prob stacks the box and makes Hurts beat them...if Eagles lead/win game this should hit
I hope you win "bigly" 
1 locked in
Mcconkey o5.5 receptions @1.80 0.5 to win 0.4
Over this in 5 of last 7
Herbert comes in red hot, should find his #1 target
Indoor game, dont gotta worry about weather
Little extra motivation vs his old college teammate Lassiter
Like him to get 5+ catches so ill take a chance on 6+
GL all
1 locked in
Lac/hou o3.5 field goals @1.95 0.5 to win 0.475
2 of the top 5 kickers in made FGs this season
4+ FG in 8 straight chargers games
Neither team in top 15 for red-zone TD %
Lac #1 in league for red-zone TD % allowed at only 45%
Indoor game, no need to worry about weather
Think we see 3+ FG so ill take a chance on 4+ FG
GL all
WC leans went 8-4...pass 2-1...rush 2-0...rec 3-3...fg 1-0
Saquon locked in above...already locked in great closing line value...seeing 116.5 now so 108.5 is wild value
Debating kelce but hou D pretty good vs TEs...also debating hou/kc o3.5 field goals but don't love the temps we supposed to see
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