NFL 2024 Picks

Week 18 prop leans

Henry o92.5 rush yards @1.85...worried he gets pulled in a blowout

Evans o98.5 rec.yards @1.80...needs 85 for 1k season could come out after that in blowout

Bucky o85.5 rush yards @1.80...could get pulled in blowout

Bijan o95.5 rush yards @1.80...good matchup

1 locked in

Bijan o95.5 rush yards @1.80  0.5 to win 0.4

Over this in 2 of last 5 with 90+ in 5 straight

Good matchup, Panthers worst run D in league

Expect him to get 85+ so ill take a chance on 96+

GL all

2 locked in

Kyler o31.5 rush yards @1.85  0.5 to win 0.425

Over this in 3 of 5

Had 80 vs 49ers earlier this year

Needs 50 rush yards and 1 rush TD for a 750k payday

Expecting him to chase that 750k payday

Sutton o77.5 rec.yards @1.80   0.5 to win 0.4

Had 70 vs kc starters earlier this year. Gets kc backups this time with kc resting starters 

Needs 82 rec.yards for 500k payday.

Expecting nix to find him for his 500k payday 

GL all

1st time trying the contract incentive angle...missed Mike evans, was hoping for 85-90 yards but it opened at 96 and is already at 100 for me so ill pass incase they pulled him with 90 in a blowout

More leans

Btj o80.5 rec.yards @1.88

Nabers o73.5 rec yards @1.85

Sutton o5.5 receptions @2.05

Jefferson o6.5 receptions @1.80

Gibbs o89.5 rush yards @1.88

Waiting on a few more props

1 locked in

Dobbins o66.5 rush yards @1.85  0.5 to win 0.425

Over this in 4 of 6 road games

Had 76 last week on 19 carries in return from injury 

Edwards out again so he should see 16+ carries

Needs 58 yards for a 150k incentive which is a little extra motivation for him and OL

Like him to get 60+ so ill take chance on 67+

GL all

@dubz4dummyz - GL today  

@Cyrax

   ended up trading sideways  yesterday

Bets 2-2 tiny loss.. .shoulda been 3-1 but Harbaugh fucked me again this year by pulling Dobbins 4 yards short....pulled as soon as he got his 58 yards for 150k...they actually put him back in for 1 more rush...assuming in case they adjusted his yardage and fucked him...

Leans went 11-11...ats 1-3...totals 4-2...rush 4-2 bet both losers ffs....rec 2-4 

Bets Overall 20-20   -1.14 units

 1-1        -0.02   1-unit plays

17-17    -1.12    0.5-unit plays

Leans Overall 109-113

Ats 14-15...basically always been .500 ATS bettor

Totals 32-31...actually decent since I like unders and it was the year of the over

Ml 0-1

Pass props 3-10

Rush props 26-21

Rec props 27-30...usually better here, looking to tidy this up next year

Td prop 2-1

Fg prop 5-3

Sgp 0-1

Looking at 4-5 props for WC round