The coin flip theory.
Have you ever hit that point of desperation (a la John Anthony in the movie
Two For the Money) where you make a wagering decision based on a coin flip? Where your own research, statistical
breakdowns, expert advice, etc., etc., all equated to a loss at the end of the
game? Many of us have latched on to the
hottest prognosticator on this or other websites to ride their coattails to
victory. However I’ve read that even a
great handicapper will only win about 55-60% of their total picks over the
course of a season. I predict a coin
flip can do better.
Pschaw you say?? Let’s
see how you do against the coin.
Here’s my experiment.
Just for the sake of science, I will flip the same coin for
every game of the season and post the results here before the Thursday night
game. I will post the lines I am picking
against and we will see how the coin flip does over the course of each week and
season. To keep things consistent, the
home team will always be heads as will the over (thus visitors will be tails as
will the under). Keep in mind, I will be choosing lines based
their postings Thursday….so if there are last minute changes to the lines prior
to game time, those will not be reflected.
Also, if a game is off the board pending an injury update, that will not
be accounted for either unless I feel like doing it Sunday morning (don’t count
on that).
Let’s see how it goes……
The darn man.
Hot Forum Topics
