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NFL Picks by VegasWikiLeaks

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Posted: #51
dont lose your spirit over this santino (just kiddin - i know you won't). it was crazy game and pretty enjoyable 3 minutes although it was against my pick for the game and yours too.
get ready for tnf. some game is awaiting us
 
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Posted: #52
I can't believe it, they were better off spiking the ball lol.
 
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Posted: #53
I really like your picks WikiLeaks! Dont mind the trolls.. They are just jelly.
Looking forward for your next post! 
 
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Posted: #54
This thread is like deja vu. Hasn't there already been a Kosher Boys squabble on this site before...



 
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Posted: #55
Quote Originally Posted by vagaswikileaks:

KC Chiefs 23 - SD Chargers 20
Win (won by 3 line was +4 = +7 rating)
+750$

DAL Cowboys 31 - NY Giants 21
Loss (Rating -4.5)
-275$

IND Colts 27 - CIN Bengals 0
Win  (Rating +24)
+250$

DEN Broncos 42 - SF 49ers  17
Win (+18.5 rating)
+250$

3 - 1   (Rating +45)  +925$

(Rating means the ease the picks have won. The wisdom is not taking hard games and pad our ego but to look for easy winners and finding them. +45 rating on 4 games means more than 10 points over the spread in average per game which is excellent rating or "index". Both terms are used as a handicapper rating at the professional sports handicapping services)
Very Nice Job gl next week bro
 
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Posted: #56
Quote Originally Posted by Lucrative:

This thread is like deja vu. Hasn't there already been a Kosher Boys squabble on this site before...



yeap. you remember right. Bog Vic. Big Vic (Victor Panov) and this dude's dad and meraby before enlisting and forever disappearing with special navy unoits were part of the kosher boys
 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by vagaswikileaks:

#477 HOU Texans +3  -125

Why?

Ease of schedule the Steelers had compared with the Texans and the they are still 3-3. The players they have released this season signaled the remaining players that this is the financial season with no direction. Big Ben is hardly holding his feet on the ground for the whole game and his weakness in the final quarters is enigmatic.
On the other hand - the texans do not play great football and I do not see this one as an easy game. The ball protection on Texans part is crucial to the success of this pick and that is a gamble I have to take because it is a single night game and I do not expect the miraculous rating coming out of this. 
Watch for the special teams plays in this game and the refs favoring the guests. If they do it in the first half - you can trash this write up. But if the refs favor the Steelers in the first half reserving their strange holding penalties for the Steelers for the second half - the meaning will be that line of -2.5 for the Steelers in the first half was released by someone who knew it beforehand.

I risk 250$ for this one to win 200$ as this is a must participate game for me more than one I really want to bet on. But it is a MNF and who wants to watch those two without the bets. Right?
PIT Steelers 30 - HOU Texans 23
Loss (-4 Rating)
-250$

 
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Posted: #58
Altogether Week 7

KC Chiefs 23 - SD Chargers 20
Win (won by 3 line was +4 = +7 rating)
+750$

DAL Cowboys 31 - NY Giants 21
Loss (Rating -4.5)
-275$

IND Colts 27 - CIN Bengals 0
Win  (Rating +24)
+250$

DEN Broncos 42 - SF 49ers  17
Win (+18.5 rating)
+250$

PIT Steelers 30 - HOU Texans 23
Loss (-4 Rating)
-250$


3 - 2   (Rating +41)  +675$

(Rating means the ease the picks have won. The wisdom is not taking hard games and pad our ego but to look for easy winners and finding them. +41 rating on 5 games +8.2 RAPG over the spread  which still is excellent rating or "index". Both terms are used as a handicapper rating at the professional sports handicapping services. Maintaining that rate will without the doubt result in a profitable venture as anything positive is considered a good rating and above 5 RAPG is a "Major League" numbers)
 
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Posted: #59
1-0 on 3 Unit Plays
2-1 on 1 Unit Plays
0-1 on Less Than a Unit Plays

My Unit is 2.5%+Juice of my Initial Bankroll ($10K)

Began with 10,000$ and after 5 plays have 10,675$. That is an average profit of 135$ per game. Slightly lower than I expected (150$ profit per game is a reasonable number for $10K investment as 750$ gains per week are 3,000$ per month which is 30% monthly increase of a bankroll)

Remember that a proper management is the key to a successful enterprise in Sports Gambling. If you do that right - it is no more gambling but betting and is considered a way of life and good business for some.

Don't be a degenerate gambler! Become a Sports Betting Professional Businessman!
 
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Posted: #60
Bet with your wallet,not your heart
 
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Posted: #61
Don't even reply to this "mick" Santino
 
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Posted: #62
#103 DEN Broncos - SD Chargers  Over 51.5  -110

Why?

Peyton Manning will be coming as a greatest Quarterback at least record wise and would want to make sure the celebrations will end up with more Touchdowns. The Chargers do not have the stamina for this to answer defensively only and since Rivers' favorite away venue is Denver - they will be all offense as well. I do not usually take Totals as the rating is usually low but I do see value here.

I am risking one unit here meaning 275$ to win 250$
 
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Posted: #63
#260 CAR Panthers  - SEA Seahawks  Under 45  -110

Why

The line is telling me the story here and again I go for totals. No, LVSC did not make a mistake here by setting such low line while if applying correct rules for setting the line - it should figure between 51 and 50 points (27-23 or 27.35 - 23.1 Seattle of course). If they would apply last season's (12-7 Seattle) and the season before (16-12 Seattle) scores - the line would be set at 39 to 41 but it was not. This is a set line as high as possible but yet not as high as not to bet over for most as it really is. But almost 10k bets so far did not move the line a bit up and that tells me that the books are interested to get as much as Over bets as they can get their hands on. 
The way the teams are playing each other with the same coaches and the same coordinators as in past two meeting in most places - the result should figure somewhere in TD area under the totals.

I am risking a unit here. 275$ to win 250$
 
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Posted: #64

do u make a new thread every week or are u gonna keep this one going? ill be tailing. hard to tail the under in car though because im biased. thanks!

 
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Posted: #65
Quote Originally Posted by vagaswikileaks:

#260 CAR Panthers  - SEA Seahawks  Under 45  -110

Why

The line is telling me the story here and again I go for totals. No, LVSC did not make a mistake here by setting such low line while if applying correct rules for setting the line - it should figure between 51 and 50 points (27-23 or 27.35 - 23.1 Seattle of course). If they would apply last season's (12-7 Seattle) and the season before (16-12 Seattle) scores - the line would be set at 39 to 41 but it was not. This is a set line as high as possible but yet not as high as not to bet over for most as it really is. But almost 10k bets so far did not move the line a bit up and that tells me that the books are interested to get as much as Over bets as they can get their hands on. 
The way the teams are playing each other with the same coaches and the same coordinators as in past two meeting in most places - the result should figure somewhere in TD area under the totals.

I am risking a unit here. 275$ to win 250$

quick question; when you say 10k bets so far.. where are you seeing that data? is there a website out there? I would also want to see whose betting on what with actual hard earned money. not a meaningless pick at a covers contest page.
 
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Posted: #66
He knows a few places that might happen to take wagers.... large ones. His point it that these larger wagers have not moved the line. Pretty simple.
And no... that info isnt just published for all to see
 
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Posted: #67
GLuck
 
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Posted: #68
I also had Houston, no excuse for what happened. Everyone should strike that game from their stats. Reminds me of the time Peyton and Marvin came from (if I recall rightly) behind T.B. ,scored 5 touchdowns in 5 minutes and won. Nice write-ups  BOL
 
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Posted: #69
Following thread intently. Thanks and keep it up
 
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Posted: #70
Quote Originally Posted by vagaswikileaks:

#260 CAR Panthers  - SEA Seahawks  Under 45  -110

Why

The line is telling me the story here and again I go for totals. No, LVSC did not make a mistake here by setting such low line while if applying correct rules for setting the line - it should figure between 51 and 50 points (27-23 or 27.35 - 23.1 Seattle of course). If they would apply last season's (12-7 Seattle) and the season before (16-12 Seattle) scores - the line would be set at 39 to 41 but it was not. This is a set line as high as possible but yet not as high as not to bet over for most as it really is. But almost 10k bets so far did not move the line a bit up and that tells me that the books are interested to get as much as Over bets as they can get their hands on. 
The way the teams are playing each other with the same coaches and the same coordinators as in past two meeting in most places - the result should figure somewhere in TD area under the totals.

I am risking a unit here. 275$ to win 250$

Any thoughts on the spread here? I rarely bet on Panther games as they are my team. I will only bet them if Im very confident they have a chance to cover. I can see Seattle coming in and righting their ship against a struggling Panther squad, tho the same can be said about Carolina, which makes the under a good choice as well. Both defenses tighten up this weekend. Panthers replaced Godfrey so hopefully that will help somewhat.

GL with the picks wiki..

 
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Posted: #71
Quote Originally Posted by vagaswikileaks:

#103 DEN Broncos - SD Chargers  Over 51.5  -110

Why?

Peyton Manning will be coming as a greatest Quarterback at least record wise and would want to make sure the celebrations will end up with more Touchdowns. The Chargers do not have the stamina for this to answer defensively only and since Rivers' favorite away venue is Denver - they will be all offense as well. I do not usually take Totals as the rating is usually low but I do see value here.

I am risking one unit here meaning 275$ to win 250$

DEN Broncos 35 - SD Chargers 21
Win (+4.5 Rating)
+250$

 
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Posted: #72
4 - 2   (Rating +45.5)  +925$
 
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Posted: #73
Great call Wiki! Slow start to game was all emotion. Once that was out of the way... it was business as usual
 
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Posted: #74
Welcome aboard VWL! Best of luck to you my friend.
 
 
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Posted: #75
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