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NFL Picks by VegasWikiLeaks

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Posted: #201

good thread. keep winning.

 
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Posted: #202
Vagas,

Do you cap any other sports or just focus on NFL during the football season?

 
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Posted: #203
Was wondering the same thing??  
 
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Posted: #204
GREAT PICKS CANT WAIT FOR COLLAGE HOOPS                                                  THANKS  VIETNAM VET.$
 
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Posted: #205
Looking forward to hearing your opinion on TNF 
 
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Posted: #206
TNF. wind and rain for an under?
 
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Posted: #207
Quote Originally Posted by Hawky:

TNF. wind and rain for an under?

Wondering this too. 

 
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Posted: #208
cin 13-0-1 last 14 at home. break the streak!
 
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Posted: #209
#109 CLE Browns +6.5  -110

Why? 

6.5 points are way too much for a divisional game in this sort of the match up played at this time of the season and as the game will have implications on both team's playoff inspirations. Having the Steelers and the Ravens in the same division - playing each other is considered as "easy" games and the Bengals who may very well win tonight - still will have a hard time covering an inviting 6.5 deficit for a nettors standing point. The absence of the players on both teams will bring in even more poised players who will be eager to prove themselves using this chance. Very physical game with lots of penalties will give the refs the opportunity deciding the game.

275$ to win 250$
 
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Posted: #210
BOL
 
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Posted: #211
Vagaswikileaks do u cap any other sports like nba or nhl?
Been following you as well good stuff with u on the Cleveland pic took them first half
 
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Posted: #212
Thinking of any second half bets?
 
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Posted: #213
Good call!!
 
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Posted: #214
Well done Vagas 
 
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Posted: #215
your areal SHARPSHOOTER !  THANKS VIETNAM VET
 
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Posted: #216
  very nice pick! congrat......!
 
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Posted: #217
Good work!
 
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Posted: #218
 emag elttaes htiw luferac eb
  yaw eht lla stnaig si ti
 
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Posted: #219
Bump
 
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Posted: #220
Quote Originally Posted by Mozart:

Vagaswikileaks,

I've been reading your thread with interest and truly appreciate your input here. Welcome to covers.

Good picks are always appreciated, but what's more valuable are the little tidbits of betting wisdom that successful professionals use in their endeavors as bettors who gain far more than they'd lose season after season.

I had been to hell and back with betting, but now have been able to increase my initial bankroll from $10K, just like your bankroll, to well over $20K in one year, starting with last year's football season.

That was not a huge gain, I'll admit, but this time around I did not lose my bankrolls like I have in the past. I played it a bit conservatively, but that's ok with me because I've lost entire bankrolls in the past with all sorts of errors, mainly in the MM arena.

What changed for me was that I started to take very close looks at the "ratings" that you share by keeping track ... by hand on charts up on the wall ... the margins of wins that teams win above the ATS margins.

Surely there are computer programs that can enable one to keep track of such ratings, aren't there? I sure can use one, as keeping track by hand takes a bit of time.

But it's cool to see the graphs/charts that I use that are color coded, plus I move the charts around in accord to what teams are consistently getting the highest ratings of wins above the ATS bars that are set for each game.

The real money maker that I've discovered is college basketball, as there are far fewer opportunities for fixing/altering the outcomes of games, imo; plus, the college players play their hearts out, many of whom would be auditioning for the NBA drafts.

Vagaswikileaks, please do keep on sharing what you can with regards to the mindset of good quality professional betting. Good picks are one thing ... the wisdom of how to make good picks and how to handle MM is another.

Picks are like fish ... give someone a fish and you feed 'em for a day; however, if you teach someone how to fish (i.e. secrets of successful professional bettors), you see them be able to feed themselves for a lifetime.

So, feel free to keep on teaching us how to fish for and handle good sports betting.

BOL you, bro.

~Mozart
Thanks Wolfgang
 
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Posted: #221
Quote Originally Posted by MrMoneyBags11:

good thread. keep winning.

 
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Posted: #222
Quote Originally Posted by vagaswikileaks:

#109 CLE Browns +6.5  -110

Why? 

6.5 points are way too much for a divisional game in this sort of the match up played at this time of the season and as the game will have implications on both team's playoff inspirations. Having the Steelers and the Ravens in the same division - playing each other is considered as "easy" games and the Bengals who may very well win tonight - still will have a hard time covering an inviting 6.5 deficit for a nettors standing point. The absence of the players on both teams will bring in even more poised players who will be eager to prove themselves using this chance. Very physical game with lots of penalties will give the refs the opportunity deciding the game.

275$ to win 250$
CIN Bengals 3 - CLE Browns 24
Win (+27 tating)
+250$
 
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Posted: #223
At the beginning I thought to quote all who kind worded me - but then I saw it takes a valuable time I can cap at - so - Thanks everyone for the props.
I am not there yet but it is a good feeling. Only that for that last TNF - I was wrong in my write up about everything but the Outcome. So, I did not really figure that game out but thanks anyway
 
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Posted: #224
What are ur picks for Sunday?
GL 2 u
 
 
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Posted: #225
#256 BUF Bills - KC Chiefs  Under 42  -110

Why? 

The Bills rank 8th in Defense against the rushing and 13th against the passing. They have a massive front and will force Alex Smith to use the niddle for his passing. Both teams are well coached and disciplined and this will be a battle of the field goals more than the touch downs.

275$ to win 250$
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