If the sharp money was always right.... But it's not. Neither am I always right.
The Giants know they can't keep the pace game up against the Colts because in point exchange match they stand no chance against high powered Colts. On the other hand the Colts have the just right amount of defense to handle the Giants
No you're not always right but no one is including Vegas, or as you stated, including the 'Sharp Money'; the key is to be right over 55% of the time and you're doing a good job of that so far. I was really curious to see where you were going to go tonight, glad to see you going against the 'sharp money' on this one as my gut said Colts but I probably would have just not played this game. Anyway lets get this
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Quote Originally Posted by vagaswikileaks:
If the sharp money was always right.... But it's not. Neither am I always right.
The Giants know they can't keep the pace game up against the Colts because in point exchange match they stand no chance against high powered Colts. On the other hand the Colts have the just right amount of defense to handle the Giants
No you're not always right but no one is including Vegas, or as you stated, including the 'Sharp Money'; the key is to be right over 55% of the time and you're doing a good job of that so far. I was really curious to see where you were going to go tonight, glad to see you going against the 'sharp money' on this one as my gut said Colts but I probably would have just not played this game. Anyway lets get this
Sure would like to see IND run the ball more. Feels like they're passing to set up the run once achieving a big lead. Maybe in the 2nd half we'll see more run.
Very strange first half in general while both offenses doing everything they can to less offensive
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Quote Originally Posted by meganbob:
Sure would like to see IND run the ball more. Feels like they're passing to set up the run once achieving a big lead. Maybe in the 2nd half we'll see more run.
Very strange first half in general while both offenses doing everything they can to less offensive
All those "almost" Red Zone plays will become Red Zone plays resulting in at least 3 TD's and 2 FG's. I calculated by the play action in the first half translated into one better offensive play in every two possessions.
275$ to win 250$
0
SECOND HALF
#473 NY Giants - IND Colts Over 26 2nd Half -110
Why?
All those "almost" Red Zone plays will become Red Zone plays resulting in at least 3 TD's and 2 FG's. I calculated by the play action in the first half translated into one better offensive play in every two possessions.
Because of that play on the Giants' first possession when Eli Manning could easily get the first down by running free to the imaginary yellow line on our screens but shose to unleash a throw into open field
210$ to win 200$
0
SECOND HALF
#473 NY Giants +0.0 -105 2nd Half
Why?
Because of that play on the Giants' first possession when Eli Manning could easily get the first down by running free to the imaginary yellow line on our screens but shose to unleash a throw into open field
Because of that play on the Giants' first possession when Eli Manning could easily get the first down by running free to the imaginary yellow line on our screens but shose to unleash a throw into open field
210$ to win 200$
0
SECOND HALF
#474 NY Giants +0.0 -105 2nd Half
Why?
Because of that play on the Giants' first possession when Eli Manning could easily get the first down by running free to the imaginary yellow line on our screens but shose to unleash a throw into open field
All those "almost" Red Zone plays will become Red Zone plays resulting in at least 3 TD's and 2 FG's. I calculated by the play action in the first half translated into one better offensive play in every two possessions.
275$ to win 250$
Beast mode
0
Quote Originally Posted by vagaswikileaks:
SECOND HALF
#473 NY Giants - IND Colts Over 26 2nd Half -110
Why?
All those "almost" Red Zone plays will become Red Zone plays resulting in at least 3 TD's and 2 FG's. I calculated by the play action in the first half translated into one better offensive play in every two possessions.
vagaswikileaks..I waited as long as I could to call my local. I took G-men+3.5 only due to tonight being a heavy public action play. Although I did take Game Under 51. Not looking good either.darn it i'm taking an ambien and a few beers and watch the rest..I was just off missing your plays. I had to leave my appt to get my GF dinner,.garbage i'm pissed!.colts are kicking behind, and I missed your play by 4 min...good luck buddie..C34
Bet with your wallet,not your heart
0
vagaswikileaks..I waited as long as I could to call my local. I took G-men+3.5 only due to tonight being a heavy public action play. Although I did take Game Under 51. Not looking good either.darn it i'm taking an ambien and a few beers and watch the rest..I was just off missing your plays. I had to leave my appt to get my GF dinner,.garbage i'm pissed!.colts are kicking behind, and I missed your play by 4 min...good luck buddie..C34
Simply the Colts are a better team with a better offensive coordinator and Conklin's time is over as his charm does not work anymore. The Giants' offense needs one more year to season and the Colts after losing in Pit are not the same prone to mistakes defensive unit. Watch for Manning being sacked time after time.
550$ to win 500$
NY Giants 24 - IND Colts 40
Win (+13 Rating)
+500$
0
Quote Originally Posted by vagaswikileaks:
#473 IND Colts -3 -110
Why?
Simply the Colts are a better team with a better offensive coordinator and Conklin's time is over as his charm does not work anymore. The Giants' offense needs one more year to season and the Colts after losing in Pit are not the same prone to mistakes defensive unit. Watch for Manning being sacked time after time.
All those "almost" Red Zone plays will become Red Zone plays resulting in at least 3 TD's and 2 FG's. I calculated by the play action in the first half translated into one better offensive play in every two possessions.
275$ to win 250$
NY Giants 24 - IND Colts 40
Win (+19 Rating)
+250$
0
Quote Originally Posted by vagaswikileaks:
SECOND HALF
#473 NY Giants - IND Colts Over 26 2nd Half -110
Why?
All those "almost" Red Zone plays will become Red Zone plays resulting in at least 3 TD's and 2 FG's. I calculated by the play action in the first half translated into one better offensive play in every two possessions.
Because of that play on the Giants' first possession when Eli Manning could easily get the first down by running free to the imaginary yellow line on our screens but shose to unleash a throw into open field
210$ to win 200$
NY Giants 24 - IND Colts 40
Loss (-3 Rating)
-210$
0
Quote Originally Posted by vagaswikileaks:
SECOND HALF
#474 NY Giants +0.0 -105 2nd Half
Why?
Because of that play on the Giants' first possession when Eli Manning could easily get the first down by running free to the imaginary yellow line on our screens but shose to unleash a throw into open field
Personal self padding: Multiple Unit Wins against single and even less unit losses. Maintaining the winning ratio and rating week after week. All 3 weeks have been winners.
Personal self kicking: Moving too slow ahead. Too conservative. If I'd be losing the same will be opposite but if that is all I have to kick myself with - we're OK. And remind myself not to get too cocky as there is nothing to be cocky about. Anyone can have three winning weeks in a row.
0
NFL Weeks 7,8,9
11-8 (+124 Rating) +2302$
Personal self padding: Multiple Unit Wins against single and even less unit losses. Maintaining the winning ratio and rating week after week. All 3 weeks have been winners.
Personal self kicking: Moving too slow ahead. Too conservative. If I'd be losing the same will be opposite but if that is all I have to kick myself with - we're OK. And remind myself not to get too cocky as there is nothing to be cocky about. Anyone can have three winning weeks in a row.
I've been reading your thread with interest and truly appreciate your input here. Welcome to covers.
Good
picks are always appreciated, but what's more valuable are the little
tidbits of betting wisdom that successful professionals use in their
endeavors as bettors who gain far more than they'd lose season after
season.
I had been to hell and back with betting, but now have
been able to increase my initial bankroll from $10K, just like your
bankroll, to well over $20K in one year, starting with last year's
football season.
That was not a huge gain, I'll admit, but this
time around I did not lose my bankrolls like I have in the past. I
played it a bit conservatively, but that's ok with me because I've lost entire bankrolls in the past with all sorts of errors, mainly in the MM arena.
What
changed for me was that I started to take very close looks at the
"ratings" that you share by keeping track ... by hand on charts up on
the wall ... the margins of wins that teams win above the ATS margins.
Surely
there are computer programs that can enable one to keep track of such
ratings, aren't there? I sure can use one, as keeping track by hand
takes a bit of time.
But it's cool to see the graphs/charts that I
use that are color coded, plus I move the charts around in accord to
what teams are consistently getting the highest ratings of wins above
the ATS bars that are set for each game.
The real money maker
that I've discovered is college basketball, as there are far fewer
opportunities for fixing/altering the outcomes of games, imo; plus, the
college players play their hearts out, many of whom would be auditioning
for the NBA drafts.
Vagaswikileaks, please do keep on sharing
what you can with regards to the mindset of good quality professional
betting. Good picks are one thing ... the wisdom of how to make good
picks and how to handle MM is another.
Picks are like fish ...
give someone a fish and you feed 'em for a day; however, if you teach
someone how to fish (i.e. secrets of successful professional bettors),
you see them be able to feed themselves for a lifetime.
So, feel free to keep on teaching us how to fish for and handle good sports betting.
BOL you, bro.
~Mozart
0
Vagaswikileaks,
I've been reading your thread with interest and truly appreciate your input here. Welcome to covers.
Good
picks are always appreciated, but what's more valuable are the little
tidbits of betting wisdom that successful professionals use in their
endeavors as bettors who gain far more than they'd lose season after
season.
I had been to hell and back with betting, but now have
been able to increase my initial bankroll from $10K, just like your
bankroll, to well over $20K in one year, starting with last year's
football season.
That was not a huge gain, I'll admit, but this
time around I did not lose my bankrolls like I have in the past. I
played it a bit conservatively, but that's ok with me because I've lost entire bankrolls in the past with all sorts of errors, mainly in the MM arena.
What
changed for me was that I started to take very close looks at the
"ratings" that you share by keeping track ... by hand on charts up on
the wall ... the margins of wins that teams win above the ATS margins.
Surely
there are computer programs that can enable one to keep track of such
ratings, aren't there? I sure can use one, as keeping track by hand
takes a bit of time.
But it's cool to see the graphs/charts that I
use that are color coded, plus I move the charts around in accord to
what teams are consistently getting the highest ratings of wins above
the ATS bars that are set for each game.
The real money maker
that I've discovered is college basketball, as there are far fewer
opportunities for fixing/altering the outcomes of games, imo; plus, the
college players play their hearts out, many of whom would be auditioning
for the NBA drafts.
Vagaswikileaks, please do keep on sharing
what you can with regards to the mindset of good quality professional
betting. Good picks are one thing ... the wisdom of how to make good
picks and how to handle MM is another.
Picks are like fish ...
give someone a fish and you feed 'em for a day; however, if you teach
someone how to fish (i.e. secrets of successful professional bettors),
you see them be able to feed themselves for a lifetime.
So, feel free to keep on teaching us how to fish for and handle good sports betting.
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...good luck buddie..C34
Thursday? 
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