Derrick Henry Over 19.5 Longest Rush -105
Lamar Jackson Over 15.5 Longest Rush -120
Lad McConky Over 69.5 Receiving Yards
Quinton Johnston Over 39.5 Receiving Yards
Josh Allen Anytime TD Scorer -145
LA Rams +2.5 -120
Bo Nix Over 24.5 Rushing Yards -110
Marvin Mims Jr Over 39.5 Receiving Yards -120
All bets are to win 1 unit unless otherwise posted.
Juice was omitted
Bo Nix rushing prop opened at -19.5. I was snowed in and when I got to Kansas, it was 24.5. Still took it. 3/4 last games went over 25 with the under at 23. Bills got a good D and a good coach will tell his QB to get yards on plays. Don’t force it when you can get 6-7 or a first down. If he has 5 carries at 5 a clip we will win. No chance of a kneel down in Buffalo so no worries about a 1-3 yard loss at the end. Sean Payton is a HOF coach.
Go Broncos!
Mims has increased his targets for the beginning of the year. He went from 1-2 targets to 3-4 to 5 targets now. Idc they played the second string KC Chiefs, the game plan was to still get him the ball. He has scored four TD’s in his last 2 games and Bo will be looking for him with their new found chemistry. Sutton will get all the attention leaving Bo to run and find his second option in Mims.
Lad is the third best rookie WR behind Thomas Jr and Nabors. He has had no less than six targets in all 18 games except TWO! Thats impressive for a rookie. Both those games were against the Titans and Panthers, two teams they did not need him. Texans D is better than last year but I think both these guys eat.
QJ has almost been a bust, but he has got it together after that 0-5 performance five weeks ago. He’s four out of his last six over 40 yards and with the playoffs, I expect him to be laser focused. Jim Harbaugh told him if he keeps dropping passes he won’t be on his team, let alone an NFL roster. He’s a freak athlete who just couldn’t get it together. He does this week.
Josh Allen has scored a TD in 16/18 games this year. He should win MVP and now has me thinking he can come to KC and win. I’ve got a great story from the last great Buff/KC game playoff game that I might share if those two square off. Might take him for two TDs @+360ish as I think these good QB’s play it close to the vest. If they get on the 1-2 yard line, Josh Allen TD.
I whiffed on the Vikings against Detroit. I thought they would show up. Instead Sam Darnold reverted to his former self and Kevin O’Connell might be a good coach, but terrible in game management. He could have had the Vikings close but he didn’t trust his D at all, even tho they were playing good. They had two first half turnovers, came out in the third Q and played well but shit the bed in the 4th. That’s the Vikings MO. My dad is from Minny and they have been even more disappointing than the Lions because they have actually had a chance in the last 40 years.
There are two teams the Vikings lost to this year, Detroit and LA Rams. They are not going in there and beating a Super Bowl coach and QB. Maybe O’Connell will learn for the future. This year ain’t it for him.
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