We often talk about "key numbers" when betting football - these are line numbers that are the most important because they are the most common result numbers.
The NFL has changed with the 2 point conversion and with more modern approaches to strategy decisions. Have key numbers changed also?
Below is a chart (unfortunately, covers 1998 technology doesnt let me post a chart without it being a garbled mess so I will type it out and do my best) that shows the full seasons (including playoffs) for 2010 and 2021 (current), and the most common margin of victory:
Margin of victory, Times it happened in that season, percentage of that margin vs all games played that season
2010 2021
1. 3, 47, 16.5% 3, 43, 15.1%
2. 7, 18, 6.3% 6, 20, 7.0%
3. 4, 16, 5.6% 7, 19, 6.7%
4. 10, 15, 5.3% 2, 16, 5.6%
5. 14, 13, 4.6% 10, 16, 5.6%
6. 6, 12, 4.2% 4, 11, 3.9%
7. 8, 10, 3.5% 8, 11, 3.9%
8. 18, 10, 3.5% 15, 10, 3.5%
9. 5, 10, 3.5% 12, 9, 3.2%
10. 2, 9, 3.2% 14, 9, 3.2%