Quick question Do you have a reason or method between a 3.5 unit bet vs a 2.5 unit vs a 1.75 unit etc etc A system? Or a gut feeling? Value? What fuels the small differences in your wager sizes?
Staking for me is 80% system driven. Lots of factors like projected margin of victory and standard deviations. The other 20% is my eyes.
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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Quote Originally Posted by glyde69:
Quick question Do you have a reason or method between a 3.5 unit bet vs a 2.5 unit vs a 1.75 unit etc etc A system? Or a gut feeling? Value? What fuels the small differences in your wager sizes?
Staking for me is 80% system driven. Lots of factors like projected margin of victory and standard deviations. The other 20% is my eyes.
What's your reasoning with the Saints Van? The history of the Saints when they are a big favorite,it doesn't turn out good..They are a good underdog team..I know the Bears are bad bur are the Saints really tht better?
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@vanzack
What's your reasoning with the Saints Van? The history of the Saints when they are a big favorite,it doesn't turn out good..They are a good underdog team..I know the Bears are bad bur are the Saints really tht better?
Does this suggest you trust a ( most likely) backup QB for the Rams to carve out the GB defense ? Seems to me a huge wildcard. Interested to hear your thoughts..
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Van, surprised to see the pick on the Rams.
Does this suggest you trust a ( most likely) backup QB for the Rams to carve out the GB defense ? Seems to me a huge wildcard. Interested to hear your thoughts..
Quote Originally Posted by brn2loslive2win: @vanzack Hey van. I know you’ve talked a lot about trying to isolate games where you think the spread won’t be a factor. So I’m curious as to why Philly is your play of the day? I like them as well but I’m surprised to see it’s at the top of your list today. What is the average margin of victory in your sims? 9.5 with a low SD Good number
wow! Can’t wait to see how it plays out. Fly eagles fly!
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Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:
Quote Originally Posted by brn2loslive2win: @vanzack Hey van. I know you’ve talked a lot about trying to isolate games where you think the spread won’t be a factor. So I’m curious as to why Philly is your play of the day? I like them as well but I’m surprised to see it’s at the top of your list today. What is the average margin of victory in your sims? 9.5 with a low SD Good number
wow! Can’t wait to see how it plays out. Fly eagles fly!
GL today Van...I love the Birds today...the only thing I don't like is Lamb in the slot and the eagles are weak there. But nothing is perfect the eagles have the better team overall with both Lines probably the leagues best...
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GL today Van...I love the Birds today...the only thing I don't like is Lamb in the slot and the eagles are weak there. But nothing is perfect the eagles have the better team overall with both Lines probably the leagues best...
Good Luck looking a bit rough although still early in the morning.
@glyde69
Very good questions, curious myself. I remember seeing somewhere he do not play anything he believes is a one score game or close game, and he makes no action wagers. Would love to catch why the unit size differences.
Taipei-Tony
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@vanzack
Good Luck looking a bit rough although still early in the morning.
@glyde69
Very good questions, curious myself. I remember seeing somewhere he do not play anything he believes is a one score game or close game, and he makes no action wagers. Would love to catch why the unit size differences.
Lot of head scratching plays if you follow Vanz weekly, taking a big spread isnt his style, you had the Browns with a stout D but he went with the NO Saints with bad coaching and while I haven't seen T bag last week playing the Chargers some say he played better than Herbert.
The Rams I would love to HEAR!! He said 20% is his eyes, I truly what made him feel like the Rams were a play today.
Pats with Mac Jones another one.
I truly felt like there were a bunch of better games to cap this week.
Hope he wins his last 2 for some damage control, never want to see an elite poster lose like this
Taipei-Tony
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@ActionMagnet
Lot of head scratching plays if you follow Vanz weekly, taking a big spread isnt his style, you had the Browns with a stout D but he went with the NO Saints with bad coaching and while I haven't seen T bag last week playing the Chargers some say he played better than Herbert.
The Rams I would love to HEAR!! He said 20% is his eyes, I truly what made him feel like the Rams were a play today.
Pats with Mac Jones another one.
I truly felt like there were a bunch of better games to cap this week.
Hope he wins his last 2 for some damage control, never want to see an elite poster lose like this
Bounce back big dawg! Didn't mean to sound I am questioning your capping skills, more I am a big fan would want to pick your brain on a couple of selections today.
Taipei-Tony
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Bounce back big dawg! Didn't mean to sound I am questioning your capping skills, more I am a big fan would want to pick your brain on a couple of selections today.
Wow you just have all the answers AFTER the game don't you? Why don't you bless us with your clairvoyance BEFORE the games start? Better yet start posting plays and keep a record
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@Taipei-Tony
Wow you just have all the answers AFTER the game don't you? Why don't you bless us with your clairvoyance BEFORE the games start? Better yet start posting plays and keep a record
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