Panthers +14 (-120) over Eagles --- 2.4 units
Panthers 1st half - +7.5 --- 1.1 units
Eagles in regression. Possible SU win for Panthers
ML very much in play for Panthers on both 1st half and game. Thus far when ML has been in play it is 6-3-1 or 6-4-1, I forget, this on dogs and some good size dogs.
Wait out the line, possible it could get to 14 without buying up.
New BF method.
This is not my new BF II which went 0-1-1 on Posted plays but is 3-1-1 this season . But does not make many plays.
Using the same advanced metrics this regression method gets more plays.
2 plays this week........
9ers -3 (-115) over Bears
Falcons +6 over Vikes
When a team gets over 22 they become a play.....
9ers +25.3
Falcons +27.3
If we add together opps regression and look at mismatch ....... over 22 is a good play as well.
9ers by 29 over Bears
Falcons by 24.6 over Vikes
The 9ers 29 is the highest I've seen using this method. Play has to be on the 9ers or a pass.
I saw this regression method online.
Teams off 4 straight wins scoring 30 or more in each win are only 43% next game. So 57% fading these teams.
Bill off 6 games scoring 30 pts or more. They did fail to regress in the 5th and 6th game but did play KC in the 5th game, a team they wanted badly to beat.
But remember it is only 57% not an overly high % to regress.
Now Bills are 2-0 ATS VS this method which again pts to regression.
We add this in, Bills off 3ATS wins while scoring their 2cd most pts over any 3 games this season. And off scoring their 2cd most pts in any single game while at the same time giving up their fewest Pts of any single game.
And we add in they play at Lions next week .
Play has to be on the Rams here in this spot or a pass.
I really like this method when we add in other factors to it as I did here.
Bills very likely come out flat here in this game, got chance to take under on Bills team pts. Not sure what they are but sharps may have bet the number down. Sharps do like the Rams.
Rams +4 (-120) over Bills --- 1.2 units
By the way I forgot to add the 9ers are a reverse Bator method play, having scored 10 pts and giving up 30 or more back to back games.
Everything pts to the 9ers but with a rash of Injuries and other issues affecting this team might be a spot I'd look to pass on the game in the future.
When regression calls I like to play it regardless but some spots might need more consideration for a pass.
I liked the Steelers over the Browns with Browns beating them SU couple weeks ago and Steelers in a dog fight for division title they need to win these division games.
Most I see on you tube like the Browns.
But if we look at Steelers schedule they have a brutal stretch ahead.
Play Eagles next week then play Ravens for quite possibly the division title in Saturday so 1 day less then normal.
But then play KC on Xmas day a weds only 4 days. So back to back weeks of fewer days to prepare.
Boy oh boy. Not sure if they'll be looking ahead and not taking g this game so serious but having lost I'd think they know they can't over-look this team again.
I'd lean Steelers here
the one thing I noticed this year is the Rams tend to sleepwalk in games at home when coming off a road game. Then you look at the Bills schedule and they only have one game all year on grass - @ Ravens. That loss was a Bator game but the only non-turf field of play all year. Well, I guess you could make an argument with the snow covered field vs 49er and footing was non-existent. The point is they play on a fast track every week. The Rams can lose this game and still be in their DIV with 3 games still left, but that +4 can cash with a loss too
maybe a Bills 1stQ - 0.5 +110 for me if I play it
any thoughts with the Cards/Seahags? I have a good size wager on -2.5 in that game 
Not by any methods I use, they don't have any extreme poor games only poor games but not extreme enough.
They would be more of a play on team then anything but not extreme enough for my methods.
Yes so do alot of guys on you tube. Mostly because 9ers mass of injuries any other issues but they do say this is a spot historically they'd play 9ers but can't do it .
Maybe this suggest 9ers really hitting a low pt as well as my other info....................
The only thoughts on Zona/Seahawks is looking at football reference SOS has Zona with the strongest schedule in the league at +3.2 and Seattle a 0 schedule..........
Too many regression indicators on the Bills for me to back them and with Lions next week this is a classic sandwich spot .......
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