NFL WEEK 14 ..............................2024

I would disagree on calling it a sandwich spot. SF and LAR both out of conference, and SF came in about as banged up as a team could be. I think for sure if you're ever going to oppose the Bills it's this week, with Lions next week and then three division games against chaff (NE, NYJ, NE). Their last sandwich spot was the Colts (between Miami and KC), which they covered.

@theclaw

 Nice Post. A lot to digest.

Thanks.

CLAW 

I like LAR.  Good luck this week.

Yep ....... Rams the right play. .........

Did you have a querry on the game ?

Giants +5 over Saints --- 2.2 units

Giants 1st half +3 (-105) --- 1.05 units

Giants a BF play on team with many on you tube thinking they are so pathetic and even suggesting they are throwing in the towel and giving up.

Indicates to me they have really hit the bottom. I have seen many teams over the years hit this bottom with people thinking they are giving up only for them to rise and surprise alot of people.

@theclaw

 Just bet me and we can save the juice

Interesting I watched Steve Fezzik last night and he really likes the Jets this week +6. I see it at +6.5 now juiced a bit.

My new regression  method has a mismatch of Jets by 26.

Anything over 22 is a play. I didn't mention this game because neither team is over 22. In this game both teams are due regression  but neither as big as I like to see.

Jets are over +12 while Dolphins are over -12, neither team being extreme but combined they do equal extreme. I don't have any research on this.

This might finally be the week the Jets play a decent game and surprise people.

Interesting  on Rams/Bills game. Guy on you tube I follow who has back the Rams quite a bit this season and recently in Rams ATS losses says Rams are the right play but he cannot  back them anymore. He gave up and basically admits defeat on the team.

He has done this before and I think it has been every time he gives up on a team either backing or fading them he would of finally won had he done the same that week.

When a good capper gives up that is very telling as far as a team reaching the bottom or the top.

Another reason I like the Rams today. Combined with so many other reason to like the Rams.

@theclaw

 I read Derick Carr is 1-14-1 ats as a road favorite.His one cover came indoors at  Indy.

@theclaw

Niners have definitely hit rock bottom. Everyone thinks Bears win this one but they have Minnesota on deck on Monday night and I suspect that will be the game they shine in. I’m hoping for Vikings win and another Chicago loss to back them next week. 

Can you list all of your official plays in one post?  I am confused as to whether some are plays or if you are merely suggesting for other reasons. It gets confusing with the long threads. Thanks!

Bol Claw

I can think of one reason to dislike the Rams: They're in the Westgate top five plays (29-36 on the season).

Appreciate your time and efforts Claw.     Tip of the cap.  

@theclaw

 Thank you for all the very solid info Claw. I totally agree on Carolina+14 here as well. Best of luck on each play today.

Steelers -6 over Browns --- .55 units

Jets +7 (-140) over Dolphins --- .7 units to win .5 units

Excellent job sir… appreciated….  

@theclaw

 Nice picks today