Hey guys what's happening ? .................................
Another NFL season is on us once again.
Last season we rode regression madness to the tune of hitting 5 parlays in 7 weeks, including 2..5 teamers and winning our parlay play of the year and our play of the year using nothing more then regression methods.
Hopefully we can duplicate some of that success this season.
We start off week 1 with 3 regression methods, expected wins, year over year improvements and close wins.
By determining how teams did last season we can reach very strong conclusions about those teams that others simply can not see.
That's regression, going against the grain.
These methods are based on very strong handicapping principles that have been proven meaningful over many many,years of NFL play.
Here's The Deal.......................................................
Backing the top 2 largest mismatches in week 1 in each method has produced a strong 34-14 ATS record past 10 years.
Backing any team that qualifies at the minimum in 2 of 3 methods has produced a 25-10 ATS record past 10 years, 71.4%.
Top 2 Teams in the 3 methods in 2015...........................................
Giants, Saints, Raiders, Jets, KC (Giants in top 2 in 2 methods)
Teams qualify in 2 of 3 methods not in top 2.............................
Ravens
We have 6 plays week 1.
This method has not finished with a losing record in any year past 10. 9 Winning years and 1 .500 year.
7 of 10 times it's finished at least 2 games over .500.
So we're coming large with best bet plays.ets
Gives us a great oppurtunity to get off to a great start this season.
Jets -3 (-125) over Browns --- 12.5 units to win 10 units
Ravens +4.5 over Broncos --- 11 units
Chiefs +1.5 over Texans --- 11 units
We'll wait-out the other lines and try and grab another .5/1 point or so.
Best of Luck This Season Guys and Enjoy Another NFL Season...........................................