YTD 0-0-0
YTD 0 units
Don't believe I was actually able to hold down the fort these past 5 weeks with no betting. Really liked a few games these past couple weeks and feel like it can't get any closer to how I feel about this season. Those that been following, this is be closer to what I do in the NBA season and something close to what I do in the MLB, try to avoid paying juice at all cost, of course lots of talk how that can happen with most books offering -106 to -110 lines, I use a pinnacle copy cat site and most times if the spread is at a number I don't care much about I will short change myself for the better juice line. I range 1 unit to 10 units most bets, there will be a seldom very high unit play, but those normally comes when I have a high payout and I am hedging a win win type of outcome on the game.
I will target a few games each week, and post the leans, but will not post my BET until closer to kickoff for NFL, I like to watch how the line moves prior to game day, along with the injury reports.
Leans-
TB +105 Hard not to like what Baker is doing with this team, that Irving RB is beast too. Love where the Dirty birds are heading but don't see them winning many games this season yet.
NYJ +125 Prime Euro time game so I will drop my thoughts although not sure I will bet this game, not a single arrow is pointing towards the Jets, but Sam Darnold have got to come back down to earth soon.
HOU +100 Joe Mixon and Tank Dell playing this game will have me on the Texans, Love Josh Allen, but Texans have more weapons and imho an equal talented QB, siding with the home team here.
BAL -2.5 No questions about the Bengals being able to score points, especially at home, but their defense is fucking horrible! I dont buy the we dont need to ride D. Henry bullshit, ride him to the point where the defense can't focus on Lamar and shit will start looking good for them. End of the day which team can have more stops? I am going against the the home team here with the Ravens D.
SF -7.5 The midget sucks at playing QB, their D is soft as shit, backdoor is possible? but ... might be a good teaser pick here with the 9ers.
GB -3.5 This Rams team without Kupp and Nacua is trash, their D is sorry as fuck too, and we all know we can count on a couple game killing mistakes from Stafford.
PIT -2.5 Would not even have a lean on this game but SNF right? I will side with the home team, but straight up coin flip for me as of now.
KC -5 One of these fucking undefeated teams got to keep it going right? If KC's D can keep balling they got this game, especially if they can get a pass rush going and make Carr feel that pressure, but if not Saints can go score for score with them for the upset.
Final picks will have a slightly different spread.
Happy to engage in any conversation with any of thee games. Constructive criticisum is welcome as well.