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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Oh how I needed that fkn f.g..

    «First Previous 12
    scalabrine
    gambleholic63
    Alien-1
    incognegro
    bk1374
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 2493
    Posts: 33
    «First Previous 12
     
    scalabrine
    scalabrine
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    Posts: 28221
    Posted: Jan. 14, 2019 - 12:10 PM ET #26

    The Saints went out of their way not only to not cover but to lose outright, which they were fortunate not to do.

    Not even 6 SECONDS into the game and Brees throws an INT.

    Right there you have to worry for the next 60 minutes whether you’ll cover...

    Look to dogs first in the playoffs and then pick the right dog. It is SO much easier watching the game with a sizeable spread in your back pocket.
    Reply
    The Saints went out of their way not only to not cover but to lose outright, which they were fortunate not to do.

    Not even 6 SECONDS into the game and Brees throws an INT.

    Right there you have to worry for the next 60 minutes whether you’ll cover...

    Look to dogs first in the playoffs and then pick the right dog. It is SO much easier watching the game with a sizeable spread in your back pocket.
     
    gambleholic63
    gambleholic63
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    Posts: 4412
    Posted: Jan. 14, 2019 - 12:26 PM ET #27

    Quote Originally Posted by nieldellacroce:

    Quote Originally Posted by SaeHeyKid:

    hear ya!needed -8 saints to cover. Lutz shanks.win by 6. 4 way parlay has me down major for whole season.i mean out 5k for season. worst season of all time. new rules, refs and no consistency from all my usual winners. has me really wondering what is going on. I mean FG misses is so suspicious, not just cuz of new rules.FCK spreads!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    Not to bad I'm in the whole for almost 17k..been on one of the worst losing streaks in years...since early December I been losing week after week...cant stop now cause I know I'm going to heat up...slowing down on my parlays..I missed about 8 to 10 of them by 1 game or a few points last 3 weeks or so...big payouts at that..

    I know most people here don't like it when I say this, but I'm going to say it again. Gamble for entertainment, not as a "job" or a way to get rich. I realize that entertainment has a different price for everyone, but my typical wager is 1/10,000th of my net worth, but I still enjoy the "entertainment" it provides. Winning a bet is equivalent to taking my girl out for a nice dinner. Keep it in perspective so you don't end up losing so much that you feel so terrible. There are some on this site placing $3,000 wagers and some even more. Unless they are in the 0.25% of the population that actually makes money gambling, then there are certainly more profitable ways to invest their money. 

    Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by nieldellacroce:

    Quote Originally Posted by SaeHeyKid:

    hear ya!needed -8 saints to cover. Lutz shanks.win by 6. 4 way parlay has me down major for whole season.i mean out 5k for season. worst season of all time. new rules, refs and no consistency from all my usual winners. has me really wondering what is going on. I mean FG misses is so suspicious, not just cuz of new rules.FCK spreads!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    Not to bad I'm in the whole for almost 17k..been on one of the worst losing streaks in years...since early December I been losing week after week...cant stop now cause I know I'm going to heat up...slowing down on my parlays..I missed about 8 to 10 of them by 1 game or a few points last 3 weeks or so...big payouts at that..

    I know most people here don't like it when I say this, but I'm going to say it again. Gamble for entertainment, not as a "job" or a way to get rich. I realize that entertainment has a different price for everyone, but my typical wager is 1/10,000th of my net worth, but I still enjoy the "entertainment" it provides. Winning a bet is equivalent to taking my girl out for a nice dinner. Keep it in perspective so you don't end up losing so much that you feel so terrible. There are some on this site placing $3,000 wagers and some even more. Unless they are in the 0.25% of the population that actually makes money gambling, then there are certainly more profitable ways to invest their money. 

     
    Alien-1
    Alien-1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2008
    Posts: 5045
    Posted: Jan. 14, 2019 - 12:43 PM ET #28

    Quote Originally Posted by gambleholic63:

    Not to bad I'm in the whole for almost 17k..been on one of the worst losing streaks in years...since early December I been losing week after week...cant stop now cause I know I'm going to heat up...slowing down on my parlays..I missed about 8 to 10 of them by 1 game or a few points last 3 weeks or so...big payouts at that..

    I know most people here don't like it when I say this, but I'm going to say it again. Gamble for entertainment, not as a "job" or a way to get rich. I realize that entertainment has a different price for everyone, but my typical wager is 1/10,000th of my net worth, but I still enjoy the "entertainment" it provides. Winning a bet is equivalent to taking my girl out for a nice dinner. Keep it in perspective so you don't end up losing so much that you feel so terrible. There are some on this site placing $3,000 wagers and some even more. Unless they are in the 0.25% of the population that actually makes money gambling, then there are certainly more profitable ways to invest their money. 


    Some words of advice.....STOP playing parlays trying to hit the big payout. Stick to single game wagering.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by gambleholic63:

    Not to bad I'm in the whole for almost 17k..been on one of the worst losing streaks in years...since early December I been losing week after week...cant stop now cause I know I'm going to heat up...slowing down on my parlays..I missed about 8 to 10 of them by 1 game or a few points last 3 weeks or so...big payouts at that..

    I know most people here don't like it when I say this, but I'm going to say it again. Gamble for entertainment, not as a "job" or a way to get rich. I realize that entertainment has a different price for everyone, but my typical wager is 1/10,000th of my net worth, but I still enjoy the "entertainment" it provides. Winning a bet is equivalent to taking my girl out for a nice dinner. Keep it in perspective so you don't end up losing so much that you feel so terrible. There are some on this site placing $3,000 wagers and some even more. Unless they are in the 0.25% of the population that actually makes money gambling, then there are certainly more profitable ways to invest their money. 


    Some words of advice.....STOP playing parlays trying to hit the big payout. Stick to single game wagering.
     
    gambleholic63
    gambleholic63
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    Posts: 4412
    Posted: Jan. 14, 2019 - 1:54 PM ET #29

    Yeah, most people don't realize that for every game they add to a parlay the juice magnifies by another 10%. The odds on parlays are the worst odds you can get. The true odds on a 4 team parlay, assuming line wagering, is (1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2) a whopping 16 to 1 but your book is probably paying you 11 to 1, 12 to 1 at BEST if you gamble with a reduced vig shop. 

    THOSE ARE HORRIBLE INVESTMENTS!

    Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
    Reply

    Yeah, most people don't realize that for every game they add to a parlay the juice magnifies by another 10%. The odds on parlays are the worst odds you can get. The true odds on a 4 team parlay, assuming line wagering, is (1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2) a whopping 16 to 1 but your book is probably paying you 11 to 1, 12 to 1 at BEST if you gamble with a reduced vig shop. 

    THOSE ARE HORRIBLE INVESTMENTS!

     
    incognegro
    incognegro
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2009
    Posts: 910
    Posted: Jan. 14, 2019 - 2:12 PM ET #30

    In fairness you probably thought you had lost anyway after the first quarter so it was just a ball-tickle that you had a shot anyway. 
    Reply
    In fairness you probably thought you had lost anyway after the first quarter so it was just a ball-tickle that you had a shot anyway. 
     
    bk1374
    bk1374
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2011
    Posts: 7891
    Posted: Jan. 14, 2019 - 2:41 PM ET #31

    Quote Originally Posted by gambleholic63:

    Yeah, most people don't realize that for every game they add to a parlay the juice magnifies by another 10%. The odds on parlays are the worst odds you can get. The true odds on a 4 team parlay, assuming line wagering, is (1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2) a whopping 16 to 1 but your book is probably paying you 11 to 1, 12 to 1 at BEST if you gamble with a reduced vig shop. 

    THOSE ARE HORRIBLE INVESTMENTS!



    I see people say all the time that they are "reducing their risk" by parlaying two (or more) things together to get to even money (or higher) and that's such flawed logic.  Any game/bet you add to your wager increases risk, regardless of the payout and people don't get it.  
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by gambleholic63:

    Yeah, most people don't realize that for every game they add to a parlay the juice magnifies by another 10%. The odds on parlays are the worst odds you can get. The true odds on a 4 team parlay, assuming line wagering, is (1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2) a whopping 16 to 1 but your book is probably paying you 11 to 1, 12 to 1 at BEST if you gamble with a reduced vig shop. 

    THOSE ARE HORRIBLE INVESTMENTS!



    I see people say all the time that they are "reducing their risk" by parlaying two (or more) things together to get to even money (or higher) and that's such flawed logic.  Any game/bet you add to your wager increases risk, regardless of the payout and people don't get it.  
     
    gambleholic63
    gambleholic63
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    Joined: Jan, 2012
    Posts: 4412
    Posted: Jan. 14, 2019 - 3:12 PM ET #32

    The math doesn't lie! Parlays are horrible wagering choices as not even the reduced vig shops will give you reduced vig on parlays. They are bankroll eaters. 

    Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
    Reply

    The math doesn't lie! Parlays are horrible wagering choices as not even the reduced vig shops will give you reduced vig on parlays. They are bankroll eaters. 

     
     
    MushKing
    MushKing
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    Joined: May, 2017
    Posts: 946
    Posted: Jan. 14, 2019 - 4:22 PM ET #33

    Agree with everything that's been said in here.  I do it as recreation as well, and the bills get paid first.  If there's something left over, I'll place a wager.

    The parlay thing I'm conflicted on.  Long term, absolutely right.  Thing is, why it's so hard is, when I turned my $150 deposit into over $10,000, it was mostly because of parlays.

    I'd take the Sixers live @ +800, down 7 points early in the 4th quarter, and parlay it with the Thunder live @ +300 down 5 midway through the 4th.  Put something like $200 I'm them for a payout of something like $2,200, and was hitting a couple a week at least.  Even if I was hitting 1 out of 5, I was still coming out WAY ahead.  Just looking for big favorites playing at home or against inferior teams, teams that were -500 before the game starts to +800 and still within 6-8 points of taking the lead.

    It worked for 2 months, made a killing, now I'm cold, so I slow down.  Smaller wagers until I build up my bank roll, than just keep increasing my wagers if they keep hitting, that's all
    Reply
    Agree with everything that's been said in here.  I do it as recreation as well, and the bills get paid first.  If there's something left over, I'll place a wager.

    The parlay thing I'm conflicted on.  Long term, absolutely right.  Thing is, why it's so hard is, when I turned my $150 deposit into over $10,000, it was mostly because of parlays.

    I'd take the Sixers live @ +800, down 7 points early in the 4th quarter, and parlay it with the Thunder live @ +300 down 5 midway through the 4th.  Put something like $200 I'm them for a payout of something like $2,200, and was hitting a couple a week at least.  Even if I was hitting 1 out of 5, I was still coming out WAY ahead.  Just looking for big favorites playing at home or against inferior teams, teams that were -500 before the game starts to +800 and still within 6-8 points of taking the lead.

    It worked for 2 months, made a killing, now I'm cold, so I slow down.  Smaller wagers until I build up my bank roll, than just keep increasing my wagers if they keep hitting, that's all
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