If the Ravens could have gotten into the endzone with 4 chances from the one yard line I would have went 7-0 last week, instead I will settle for 5-2. The last two weeks I have not made a pick for one game, but the way I had leaned was correct. I will continue that streak this week.
Speaking of streaks, I must keep the streak alive for Tim Tebow jokes. Now that he has tons of time hopefully he can solve the one problem that Jay-Z doesn’t have: https://www.thepostgame.com/blog/dish/201201/tim-tebow-admits-bad-habit
The Superbowl has a lot of potential great stories. A 2000 rematch of the Giants vs. Ravens. The worst QB Superbowl match up since that 2000 Superbowl in an Alex Smith vs. Joe Flacco game. An all Harbaugh Superbowl in which all of Superbowl week will consist of the Harbaugh family saying, “screw everyone, we’re just better than you.” Then, there is the chance of one of the best defenses in the NFL vs. one of the best offenses in the NFL. And of course the rematch of 2007 in which David Tyree became a household name.
Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots
The Pats have not beaten a single team the whole year with a record that is above .500 (lost to the Giants at home 24-20 and at the Steelers 25-17). While the Ravens only faced one team the entire year that had a top 10 offense (a 34-14 loss on the road to the Chargers on a Sunday night). This is a rematch of 2 years ago when the Ravens were able to go into Gillette Stadium and pulled off the upset. The Patriots averaged 32.3 ppg at home, while giving up 18.2 ppg. The Ravens averaged 19.9 ppg on the road and give up 18.4 ppg on the road. The Ravens lost 4 games all year. All four of those games came on the road (Titans, Jaguars, Seahawks, Chargers). I think we all can agree that none of those teams (maybe even combined) aren’t the Patriots. They lost these games by an average of 10.75 per games, scoring an average of 12.75 in these games and giving up 23.5 in these games. Based off of these stats we can give the Ravens 17 and the Patriots 25. The way you beat the Patriots is by throwing the ball. The way the Ravens win is by running the ball. I think the Patriots take this 33-23.
Pick: Patriots -7
Pick: Over 50
New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers
I could not watch the Giants/Packers game because I was working, so I did not see how much the Gmen dominated. I know the Packers had a lot of dropped passes, but I still think the death of Joe Philbin’s son affected the team similar to the death of the Oklahoma State’s women’s basketball coach dying. Oklahoma State lost to Iowa State that week and the next week Iowa State lost at Oklahoma by 20. Obviously, the Giants are a good team (unlike Iowa State) and are clicking at the right time, but I think the Giants could still possibly be let down. The Giants give up 26.1 ppg on the road and score 27.2 ppg. The 49ers averaged 28.6 ppg at home and gave up 13.2 ppg at home. When these teams played earlier in the year the 49ers won at home 27-20 (which is coincidentally the average of each teams points given up and points scored). I’ll take the San Fran to win this one 20-17 (49ers are a 2.5 point favorite). The weather forecast calls for rain, which will hugely favored the 49ers defense and offense.
Pick: Under 41
Two games being played 2,686 miles apart will meet in two weeks in the middle in Indianapolis.
With the passing of Joe Paterno, we all should remember that at the end of the day football is just a sport that helps distract us with the hardships of life. Here is a great article by Rick Reilly about someone who always remembers this: https://espn.go.com/espn/story/_/id/7455943/believing-tim-tebow
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