You don't give the Green Bay Packers 9 points at Lambeau and not expect them to cover every time. I don't care if this Vikings team today is like the 1985 Bears playing against the 2017 Browns. Green Bay easily covers today and shows the folly of that line. The team and tradition, the history and that hallowed ground ... most revered stadium in the NFL ... makes picking the Packers +9 the best bet of week 16. Even my system supports it!!
Both my system and me concur this week on Packers. It's the systems 1st or 2nd best pick of the week. Good question by the way. My opinion is not as shrewd as the system. But 9 points for Pack at home? Jeeeeez.
Both my system and me concur this week on Packers. It's the systems 1st or 2nd best pick of the week. Good question by the way. My opinion is not as shrewd as the system. But 9 points for Pack at home? Jeeeeez.
Abe Lincoln (like the image by the way) ... I'm not into gambling. I'm into contests and establishing if this system works over a statistically large enough sample. Not betting 10k does not make a person a coward. It makes a brave and sensible person lik e Abe Lincoln save their hard earned money :-))
Nothing is easy in picking teams against a spread. The default for any game is a 50% chance. When the system shows, as in this case, about a 63% chance of success, we jump on it. But that also means that 37% of the time ... almost half ... we are dead wrong. So to be a good capper I believe you have to fail a ton ... but over time come out a little on top. And that's still hard to do. It's never a 95% chance. In a perfect set up according to my system, chances of success are around 74 to 78 percent but that is very rare. And sports is so fickle. The packers could still lose this game by 30 or win it by 10 ... and I still say it's one of the best picks of the week given that line at Lambeau and about 9 other factors that make it attractive m.. but a great pick like this can still easily be wrong.
No way I would but a penny on GB with that scrub Qb. Minnesota Defense will shut him down.
U are totally right Doc. I tend not to worry about idiot posts. I'm a serious capping researcher with what I believe could be a very successful prediction machine ... So I need some forum to post and record picks. Along the way I expect to bump into the lowest and highest of humanity. The bottom line: I am doing this right and it will take time ... So I am not concerned with riff raff who either think there is a quick profit ... or those with no clue about proper statistics and probability. Now let's GO PACK!!
Wonder, what's the percentage of a home team dog like GB cover after losing on the road against the same team? Week 6 Min won GB by scores o 24 - 17. I think it's 67% for home dog to cover. But I'll let someone who has access to stats show me otherwwise.
Week 12 TB 20 @ ATL 34
Week 24 ATL 24 @ TB cover 7 pts spread... Any more example of this happening this season?
Theres nothing great about picking the packers. Last chance at the playoffs and rodgers blows it. Hundley was probably happy to get out of the spotlight after that disaster of a job he did. Now he has to retake the reigns. The entire team was crushed last week after being hopefull that rodgers would lead them to the playoffs. Vikings are the better with or without rodgers playing. The only way the packers cover is if the vikes are off tonight and a whole lot of luck.
Established in 1995,
When will you guys learn
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